Results January-September / 2010 |
Disclaimer This document contains statements that constitute forward looking statements about Telefonica Group (going forward, "the Company" or Telefonica) including financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations which refer to the intent, belief or current prospects of the customer base, estimates regarding, among others, future growth in the different business lines and the global business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the activity and situation relating to the Company. The forward-looking statements in this document can be identified, in some instances, by the use of words such as "expects", "anticipates", "intends", "believes", and similar language or the negative thereof or by forward-looking nature of discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Such forward-looking statements, by their nature, are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and other important factors that could cause actual developments or results to differ from those expressed in our forward looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include those discussed or identified in fuller disclosure documents filed by Telefonica with the relevant Securities Markets Regulators, and in particular, with the Spanish Market Regulator. Analysts and investors, and any other person or entity that may need to take decisions, or prepare or release opinions about the securities issued by the Company, are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Except as required by applicable law, Telefonica undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telefonica's business or acquisition strategy or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Neither this presentation nor any of the information contained herein constitutes an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities, or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities. Finally, this document may contain summarized information or information that has not been audited. In this sense, this information is subject to, and must be read in conjunction with, all other publicly available information, including if it is necessary, any fuller disclosure document published by Telefonica. 1 |
Solid execution, delivering on 2010 priorities GROUP FINANCIALS Sustained acceleration of organic revenue growth vs. H1 10 driven by: Strong commercial push Continued strength in mobile data revenue growth Strong profitability: Contained margin erosion despite higher commercial costs on rapid customer growth Benefits from our integrated business model and scale Solid OpCF generation with sound financial position Full year and mid-term outlook confirmed: Improving revenue and OIBDA y-o-y growth under guidance criteria in 9M 10 2.10 EPS in 2010 Growing DPS reiterated (2010: 1.40; 2012: minimum of 1.75) DPS minimum target of 2012: Dividend targeted under current guidance hypothesis. 2 |
25% 18% 15% 42% 41% 42% 46% 40% Sustained earnings momentum fuelled by diversification Organic growth assumes constant exchange rates as of 9M 09 (average fx) and excludes changes in the perimeter of consolidation. Therefore, it excludes the consolidation of HanseNet (since mid February 2010), Jajah (January-September 2010), Telyco Marruecos in January-September 2009, and Manx Telecom in July-September 2009 and includes Tuenti (August-September 2009). OIBDA and OI figures do not include the impact of capital gain registered in the second quarter of 2010 from Manx Telecom disposal and in the third quarter from the revaluation of our pre-existing stake in VIVO. CapEx excludes the spectrum acquisition in Germany in Q2 10 and in Mexico in Q3 10. Figures exclude hyperinflationary accounting in Venezuela in both years. 56% Jan-Sep 2010 Revenues Operating Income (OI) Chg 9M 10/9M 09 Net income +6.0% +36.8% in millions Operating Income before D&A (OIBDA) +22.5% +65.6% +7.1% OIBDA Margin +6.2 p.p. Organic chg 9M 10/9M 09 OpCF (OIBDA-CapEx) 44,280 20,368 13,624 8,835 13,127 46.0% +2.5% -2.3% -1.9 p.p. +0.1% -5.2% Group Contribution by regions Rev OpCF Ex-spectrum and VIVO's capital gain 32% T. Espana T. Latam T. Europe 9M 10 67% 60% GROUP FINANCIALS OIBDA Ex-capital gain VIVO (IFRS3 Revised) Positive impact in OIBDA in Q3 10 from the revaluation1 of our pre-existing stake in Vivo Positive effect of forex across the P&L despite Venezuelan Bolivar devaluation 9M 10 CapEx includes spectrum acquisition in Germany (Q2 10) and Mexico (Q3 10) 1 IFRS 3 Revised -Business combinations 3 |
Robust bottom line 4 GROUP FINANCIALS Revaluation of stake in Vivo (IFRS 3 Revised): 3.8 Bn Restructuring costs in Germany: 202 m 9M 10 EPS 1.95 vs. 1.17 in 9M 09 January-September 2010 in millions (% change y-o-y) -321 m tax effect related to the revaluation of stake in Vivo 20,368 -6,744 (+1.2%) D&A OIBDA +22.5% 68 (+43.6%) -1,974 (-13.2%) -2,730 +19.2% -153 +37.8% 13,624 8,835 OI Associates Financial expenses Taxes Minorities Net Income +36.8% +65.6% -191 m due to difference in market value of BBVA stake |
Sound commercial performance across the board Organic figures and growth: exclude Medi Telecom customers in 2009, HanseNet in 2010 and Manx Telecom both in 2009 and 2010. Cumulative net adds also exclude the disconnection of inactive customers made in the second quarter of 2010. 5 GROUP FINANCIALS Healthy gross adds to September up 15.3% y-o-y despite commercial push in Spain from Q3 09 Continued churn contention at 2.3% in 9M 10 (flat y-o-y) Robust organic net adds at 13.5 m, up 71.5% vs. 9M 09 Focus on contract, driving 58% of organic mobile net adds in 9M 10 (64% in Q3 10), to 31% of the base Outstanding MBB increase on rapid adoption of smartphones Sustained momentum in FBB: Q3 10 organic net adds 2.4x Q3 09 Improved trends in fixed line in all regions, halving net line losses (-54.5% y-o-y organic in Q3 10) Customer growth: exploiting growth levers Sep-10 y-o-y organic growth Mobile MBB FBB Pay TV Fixed accesses -4.1% 215 m 67 m 19 m 17 m 41 m 3 m 9.2% 15.9% Contract 73.4% 10.7% 7.0% Total Accesses: 282 m (+7.1% organic y-o-y) Accesses |
Strong sales, ramp up in growth rates 6 Organic revenue (y-o-y growth) Reported revenue (y-o-y growth) Reported revenue (y-o-y growth) Contribution to organic revenue growth (9M 10) FY 09 Q1 10 9M 09 H1 10 9M 10 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 3.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.7% Ex-MTRs +2.7 p.p. +0.9 p.p. -1.4 p.p. T. Espana T. Europe T. Latam +2.5% TEF Group +0.3 p.p. Others & Eliminations Positive effect from forex and changes in the perimeter of consolidation Reaping the benefits of customer growth T. Espana T. Latam T. Europe -5.7% +4.2% +7.4% H1 10 -4.5% +10.2% +10.8% Q1 10 9M 10 -4.2% +11.8% +10.7% Enhanced growth across all regions along the year Organic growth assumes constant exchange rates as of 9M 09 (average fx) and excludes changes in the perimeter of consolidation. Therefore, it excludes the consolidation of HanseNet (since mid February 2010), Jajah (January-September 2010), Telyco Marruecos in January-September 2009, and Manx Telecom in July-September 2009 and includes Tuenti (August-September 2009). Figures exclude hyperinflationary accounting in Venezuela in both years. GROUP FINANCIALS 5.4% FY 09 Q1 10 9M 10 -2.1% 1.7% H1 10 6.0% Q3 10 7.3% |
Booming mobile data revenue on increased MBB adoption 7 Rapid adoption of MBB, boosted by growing penetration of smartphones and high-end devices Strong commercial push across markets Attractive commercial offers to monetize the growth opportunity through segmentation/tiered pricing based on offers with data control Enlarging portfolio of devices through collaboration with suppliers & new operating systems to further boost MBB revenues MBB penetration: Active MBB users in the last 3 months over total mobile customers. Aggregate figures for Group mobile service revenue, mobile data revenue and non P2P SMS data revenue. GROUP FINANCIALS Total mobile data revenue/MSR MBB penetration 5% 9% 2% 4% 9% 18% 14% 19% T. Group T. Latam T. Espana T. Europe Sep-10 Sep-09 14% in Venezuela 6% in Chile 5% in Brazil 23% 9M 10 9M 09 26% Total mobile data revenue: +21.2% Non P2P SMS data revenue: +35.8% 9M 10 y-o-y growth ex-fx |
Healthy profitability driven by costs discipline & scale benefits 8 37.4% -1.9 p.p. y-o-y organic OIBDA margin OpEx Organic y-o-y growth OIBDA 9M 10 +6.1% 9M 10 -1.8% ex MTRs ~2/3 of OpEx growth driven by commercial and network costs -2.3% Regulatory and non recurrent effects drag 2.8 p.p. 9M 10 Organic y-o-y growth Lower interconnection expenses (-0.3% y- o-y organic) on MTRs cuts Higher commercial costs (+8.3% y-o-y organic) on increased volumes, focus on contract and retention Growth in other expenses mainly driven by network costs in T. Latam Non recurrent impact from restructuring in Germany Continued progress in organic OIBDA annual decline, in line with Company forecasted trends (-1.1% in 9M 10 excluding personnel restructuring in Germany vs. -2.3% in H1 10) Reaping the benefits from revenue rebound Further benefits from Group integrated management model & scale ( 153 m in OIBDA from centralization of processes) Stable consolidated OIBDA margin vs. H1 10 driven by sequential improvement in revenue trends and cost discipline Contained margin erosion y-o-y despite push in commercial activity. Lower y-o-y decline in 9M vs. H1 ex restructuring in Germany Ex revaluation of stake in Vivo Organic growth assumes constant exchange rates as of 9M 09 (average fx) and excludes changes in the perimeter of consolidation. Therefore, it excludes the consolidation of HanseNet (since mid February 2010), Jajah (January-September 2010), Telyco Marruecos in January-September 2009, and Manx Telecom in July-September 2009 and includes Tuenti (August-September 2009). OIBDA and OI figures do not include the impact of capital gain registered in the second quarter of 2010 from Manx Telecom disposal and in the third quarter from the revaluation of our pre-existing stake in VIVO. Figures exclude hyperinflationary accounting in Venezuela in both years. GROUP FINANCIALS |
High cash flow generation despite increased CapEx 9 Organic growth assumes constant exchange rates as of 9M 09 (average fx) and excludes changes in the perimeter of consolidation. Therefore, it excludes the consolidation of HanseNet (since mid February 2010), Jajah (January-September 2010), Telyco Marruecos in January-September 2009, and Manx Telecom in July-September 2009 and includes Tuenti (August-September 2009). OIBDA figure does not include the impact of capital gain registered in the second quarter of 2010 from Manx Telecom disposal and in the third quarter from the revaluation of our pre-existing stake in VIVO. CapEx excludes the spectrum acquisition in Germany in Q2 10 and in Mexico in Q3 10. Figures exclude hyperinflationary accounting in Venezuela in both years. GROUP FINANCIALS Operating Cash Flow (OIBDA-CapEx) Investing for future growth: CapEx focus in growth & transformation (76% of total in 9M10) Organic CapEx up 5.9% y-o-y in 9M 10 in millions y-o-y growth Solid underlying growth at T. Latam and T. Europe offset by lower contribution from T. Espana and restructuring costs in Germany 13,127 9M 10 Reported +7.1% Reported 9M 10 Ex spectrum and VIVO capital gain -5.2% Organic 1,379 1,010 Acquisition of spectrum in Germany (Q2 10) 11,720 Acquisition of spectrum in Mexico (Q3 10) (3,797) Revaluation of stake in Vivo (Q3 10) |
2010 guidance confirmed OIBDA CapEx 4,646 m 9M 10 Revenue 9M 10/9M 09 -0.2% 9M 10/9M 09 2010 GUIDANCE +1%/+3% 2010 GUIDANCE 7,450/7,650 m 2010 GUIDANCE +1%/+4% +3.9% ? ? 2009 adjusted figures for guidance exclude Telyco Marruecos results in T. Espana, Medi Telecom capital gain and write-offs. 2010 guidance assumes constant exchange rates as of 2009 (average FX in 2009) and excludes hyperinflationary accounting in Venezuela in both years. It also includes the consolidation of HanseNet and Jajah in T. Europe. In terms of guidance calculation, OIBDA exclude write-offs and exclude the capital gain from the revaluation of our pre-existing stake in VIVO and the restructuring in T. 02 Germany. Group CapEx also excludes Real Estate Efficiency Program of T. Espana and spectrum licenses. 10 ? Ramp up in commercial activity from Q3 09 Easier y-o-y comps in Telesp and Colombia wireline operation OIBDA growth to accelerate in Q4 as: 2010 EPS target confirmed ( 2.1) GROUP FINANCIALS |
T. Espana: Gradual improvement continues y-o-y TELEFONICA ESPANA Comparable terms for 9M 10 y-o-y change include Tuenti in the period Aug-Sept 2009 and exclude the following effects: USO in Q1 09 and Q3 10, real estate capital gains in Q1 09 and Q3 09, Telyco Morocco in Q1 09 , Q2 09 and Q3 09, TV Tax in Q1 10 , Q2 10 and Q3 10, revision of the estimates in Q2 09 for the personnel commitments provided for in prior periods to 2009, bad debt recovery in Q3 10, application sales in Q3 09 and Q3 10. Previous quarters year-on-year comparable changes published in Company^s press releases. 11 9M 10 y-o-y OIBDA evolution impacted by higher commercial activity, partially offset by cost discipline (-1.2% y-o-y) Sustained benchmark profitability Contained y-o-y margin erosion in a very competitive market, driven by further efficiencies Revenues (comparable y-o-y change) -5.7% -6.9% -6.6% Q1 Q2 Q3 -6.4% 9M +1.8 p.p. 2009 2010 Gap y-o-y variation -3.9% -2.9% -4.6% -3.8% +4.0 p.p. +2.0 p.p. +2.6 p.p. Sustained slowdown in top line y-o- y decline compared with 2009 Q3 10 performance impacted by weaker consumption in a difficult trading environment OIBDA (comparable y-o-y change) -5.0% -8.9% -10.5% Q1 Q2 Q3 -8.2% 9M -2.9 p.p. -7.9% -3.7% -5.9% -5.8% +5.2 p.p. +4.6 p.p. +2.3 p.p. 2009 2010 Gap y-o-y variation OIBDA margin (comparable; y-o-y change) 47.7% H1 10 47.3% Q1 10 -1.2 p.p. y-o-y 9M 10 47.8% -2.1 p.p. y-o-y -1.0 p.p. y-o-y |
Continued strength in contract and MBB Leading the market with the highest gap between access and revenue share: Net adds boosted by contract gross adds (+29.5% y-o-y) and benchmark churn rate in the market (q-o-q reduction) Contract accounting for 67% of total base with stable churn at 1.4% Difficult trading conditions & different summer promotions impacting traffic (-3.0% y-o-y) and outgoing voice ARPM (-2.3% y-o-y) in Q3 10 Enhanced data revenue trends, boosted by wireless connectivity revenues offsetting lower premium SMS due to regulation Further MBB adoption, doubling customer base x 2 y-o-y >4.3 Comparable terms include Tuenti in the period Aug-Sept 2009 and exclude the application sales in Q3 09 and Q3 10. MBB accesses include: Monthly and daily wireless data flat rates. 2.9 Monthly data flat rates 12 Data and Mobile Broadband 68% 66% % non P2P SMS rev. /data revenues +6 p.p. +49.8% +58.7% +6 p.p. MBB Sep -10 9M 10 Q3 10 y-o-y Q3 10 (y-o-y) 9M 10 (y-o-y) TELEFONICA ESPANA Wireless service revenues (comparable y-o-y) -7.3% -8.1% -8.0% Q1 Q2 Q3 -8.1% 9M +0.2 p.p. -7.1% -5.7% -7.0% -6.6% +2.4 p.p. +1.0 p.p. +1.5 p.p. 2009 2010 Gap y-o-y variation 2010 Ex-MTR -3.5% -2.6% -3.8% -3.3% Connectivity Revenues Wireless contract customers Net adds (000) Customer y-o-y growth 16.1 m Sep-10 +7.3% 9M 09 Q2 10 253 Q3 10 318 +26% 441 x 1.7 767 9M 10 |
Enhanced commercial activity across portfolio Comparable terms exclude the following effects: USO in Q1 09 and Q3 10, application sales in Q3 10 and Telyco Morocco in Q1 09, Q2 09 and Q3 09. Total fixed accesses include: Retail wireline telephony accesses, wholesale line rental, fully unbundled loops and naked wholesale ADSL. Pay TV 13 Market share ~19%E Net adds (000) Customer y-o-y growth 9M 09 0.8 m Sep-10 +18.2% Q2 10 15 Q3 10 26 42 x 1.7 70 9M 10 Wireline line losses ('000) -278 Q3 10 Q1 10 -14% -259 Q2 10 ~90% -179 -18% -14% Wholesale net adds/fixed line losses y-o-y 9M 10 -15% -715 Top line evolution in Q3 10 impacted by weaker traffic & lower contribution from subsidiaries amid challenging trading conditions Sustained leadership in FBB on the back of premium quality offer and best-in class churn (y-o-y decline): Share of net adds in Q3 10 increased to its best level since Q3 09 at 36% ARPU erosion (-8.0% y-o-y up in 9M 10) in a very competitive market Further y-o-y reduction in retail line losses on improved value offering, despite lowest wholesale ULL prices in Europe Stabilization of total wireline accesses (-0.6% y-o-y ) as wholesale net adds offset nearly 90% of retail line losses Strengthened competitive position in Pay TV driving ARPU and churn improvement Wireline revenues (comparable y-o-y) FBB Q3 10 Data & IT Subsidiaries Voice & Access -5.6% Internet & BB Contribution to y-o-y variation +1.0 p.p. -5.6 p.p. -0.4 p.p. -0.6 p.p. % Data & IT rev./total % Internet & BB rev./total 15% 25% 40% 17% 26% 43% +2 p.p. +1 p.p. +3 p.p. 9M 09 9M 10 9M 09 Q2 10 42 Q3 10 52 +24% 177 +10% 195 9M 10 Net adds market share (E) Q2 10 Q4 09 22% Q1 10 35% 24% 36% Q3 10 Market share ~54%E TELEFONICA ESPANA x 1.7 Net adds (000) |
TELEFONICA LATAM T.Latam: Revenue and OIBDA growth acceleration Organic growth assumes constant exchange rates as of 9M 09 (average fx) and excludes hyperinflation accounting in Venezuela in both years. OIBDA and OIBDA margin excludes the positive impact in Q3 10 exclude the capital gain from the revaluation of our pre-existing stake in VIVO. OpCF excludes the spectrum acquisition in Mexico. 14 Sustaining positive trends from previous quarter: 179.2 m accesses 10.6 m net adds in 9M 10: 1.9x y-o-y Churn contention across services Ramp up in organic revenue growth (+0.7 p.p. vs H1 10): Continued acceleration for 3rd consecutive quarter Double digit growth in mobile service and Internet & Pay TV revenue Revenue acceleration in businesses accounting for more than 70% of sales Sequential organic OIBDA improvement (+0.9 p.p. vs. H1 10), ahead of revenue acceleration Limited organic OIBDA margin y-o-y erosion (- 0.8 p.p. in 9M 10) despite higher commercial activity and lower profitability in Venezuela Growing OpCF in euro terms y-o-y despite the Bolivar's devaluation +3.4% Q1 10 +3.9% H1 10 36.5% 37.2% OIBDA (Organic y-o-y growth) OIBDA margin +4.8% 9M10 38.1% Revenue (Organic y-o-y growth) +5.3% +5.4% FY 09 Q1 10 +6.2% H1 10 +6.9% 9M 10 Accesses growth (y-o-y growth) +6.5% +8.1% Dec-09 Mar-10 +9.5% Jun-10 +9.4% Sep-10 3.1m net adds 3.7m net adds 3.8m net adds |
Wireless: growth in voice & data fuel double digit top line y-o-y change Contract net adds/total TELEFONICA LATAM 15 Organic growth assume constant exchange rates and excludes hyperinflation accounting in both years. Gross adds up 20.6% y-o-y in 9M 10 (+34.5% in contract) Flat churn at 2.5% in 9M 10, down in contract Intensified focus on contract: +4.7 p.p. vs. Jun-10 growth rate, leveraging migrations (~2.5 m net) Stable ARPU y-o-y despite fast accesses growth Positive outgoing ARPU driven by strong traffic and data 60% of Q3 10 net adds on contract (17% in Q3 09) 20% of the base on contract (+2.5 p.p. y-o-y) Sustained top line across all services +5.7 p.p. organic y-o-y ramp up in data/service revenues to >21% Revenue growth (9M 10 y-o-y organic change) ARPU & Traffic (9M 10 y-o-y organic change) Mobile KPIs 9M 09 -67% 5.9 9M 10 10.1 x1.7 MBB Total Contract +12.0% +28.0% x2.1 >4% of customer base Accesses growth (Sep-10 y- o-y) Net adds (in million) 21% 53% ARPU +2.8% -0.4% Outgoing ARPU +28% Traffic Data Total Service 48.2% 10.3% 12.5% |
Wireline: Strong commercial performance Latam Retail FBB y-o-y growth Strong growth ramp up in FBB (+5 p.p. vs. Jun-10 growth rate): Q3 10 net adds, exceeding 9M 09 volume Lower churn across countries BB/fixed lines: +4 p.p. y-o-y to 29% Increased contribution from Internet & Pay TV revenue: 2P&3P/BB: +2 p.p. y-o-y to 57% 35.5% Latam 21.7% Brazil 14.5% flat Arg. 23.4% +2.9p.p. Chile 28.4% +2.6p.p. Peru +3.6p.p. +1.1p.p. Col. 22.4% +3.0p.p. Internet & Pay TV rev/ Total rev (9M 10) y-o-y growth 16 Latam Retail Fixed Accesses y-o-y growth Sep-10 24.5 -2.6% Line evolution ('000) Accesses (m) Q3 09 -283 9M 09 -122 Q3 10 -58 9M 10 -536 7.2 Sep-10 +13.9% Net adds ('000) Accesses (m) Net adds ('000) Q3 09 -48 9M 09 237 Q3 10 267 9M 10 756 x3.2 Retail fixed line accesses stabilization driven by enhanced quality and focus on bundles: Positive trend in traditional fixed accesses excluding fixed wireless performance 66% of wireline accesses on bundles Churn reduction on improved quality TELEFONICA LATAM |
Brazil: Gaining momentum across businesses 17 Sustained commercial activity... ....gradually flowing into financials Similar levels of fixed line and FBB net adds on Q2, positive traditional net adds for 7 month in a row OIBDA Revenue FBB Traditional lines -69 -61 -147 +59 +163 -149 +173 +64 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 +42 +165 45 500 9M 10 Net adds (000) TELESP Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 -13.5% -16.1% -14.3% -5.8% -3.8% -1.4% Commercial recovery Q2 10 -0.5% Q3 10 -6.0% +2.4% Financials (y-o-y in local currency) VIVO Financials Net adds up 53% vs. 9M 09, with strong focus in contract (x3.2) Solid financials, acceleration across all metrics vs. H1 10 Data revenue explosion (+70% y-o-y in l.c.) on innovative and high quality offer Robust OIBDA margin, up y-o-y, despite commercial activity and focus on contract -12.1% -339 22 9M 09 Revenue turnaround in Q3 with a better OIBDA performance H1 10 (y-o-y in l.c.) 9M 10 (y-o-y in l.c.) TELEFONICA LATAM Total Contract Contract weight y-o-y increase Net adds Customer y-o-y growth 57.7 m Sep-10 +18.2% 1.7 Q3 10 0.7 6.0 2.3 9M 10 x2.1 x3.8 +7.8% +9.1% Total Rev. Serv. Rev. +8.4% OIBDA +7.2% +9.0% +7.3% +0.2 p.p. OIBDA Margin +0.0 p.p. |
Good performance in key operations Mexico Robust customer growth (+13.6% y-o-y) driven by contract segment (+53.0% y-o-y) MSR grew 6.4% y-o-y in 9M 10 on strong contract performance and despite a weaker evolution in prepay Strengthened position in MBB after recent acquisition of spectrum Venezuela Lower commercial activity y-o-y on limited availability of handsets Solid financials despite devaluation Robust service revenues (+22.0% y-o-y) pushed by data services (+49.6% y-o-y) Improved OIBDA margin vs. H1 10: 46.8% vs. 45.1% 6% customer growth on FBB and mobile Top line acceleration driven by sound performance in mobile OIBDA y-o-y growth turning positive in Q3 10 & 9M 10 Flat accesses in wireline business driven by FBB and Pay TV Strong mobile customer growth, focus in contract (30% of total) Sequential improvement in revenue for 3rd quarter in a row Stable traditional fixed accesses & strong growth in FBB (+17.3% y-o-y) Robust revenue increase (+17.2% y-o-y) driven by the acceleration of MSR and FBB Healthy OIBDA margin at 35.3%, improving from H1 10 Argentina Chile Financial variations in local currency .. 18 PERU Sequential growth in total accesses for the 3rd consecutive quarter Positive top line growth in Q3 in both businesses COLOMBIA TELEFONICA LATAM |
T.Europe: Sound financials driven by commercial momentum TELEFONICA EUROPE Sound organic revenue growth, delivered from our diversified portfolio: Robust non-P2P SMS revenues, up 28.4% y-o-y in 9M 10 in organic terms on increased smartphone and dongle adoption Handsets sales up 21.0% y-o-y organic in 9M 10 Stable margin and ramp up in OpCF: OIBDA margin at 26.1% in 9M 10 (0.4 p.p. lower y-o-y in comparable terms) despite increased commercial investment HanseNet integration ahead of schedule, accelerating restructuring plans (Q3 10 charge) Continued focused customer growth: Maintained commercial push on targeted growth 48% of mobile base on contract (+1 p.p. y-o-y) Strong increase in MBB penetration to 19% of mobile base (+5 p.p. y-o-y) Best smartphone portfolio/selection 9M 10 Profitability (y-o-y growth in comparable terms) OIBDA +2.5% OpCF +14.0% Revenue (y-o-y growth) Organic ex-MTR Organic Accesses (Sep-10; y-o-y growth) Organic 19 +3.0% 9M 09 FY 09 +3.2% Q1 10 +6.5% H1 10 +1.7% +3.2% +1.1% +1.4% +6.4% +3.7% 9M10 +5.4% Organic growth: assumes constant exchange rates and excludes the consolidation of HanseNet (since mid February) and Jajah (January-September), Manx T. in Q3 09 and the capital gain from its disposal in Q2 10 (61 m). CapEx excludes spectrum acquisition in Germany (1,379m). HanseNet and Manx T. customers are also excluded. Comparable growth: organic evolution and excluding one-offs affecting OIBDA: Restructuring costs (42m in 9M 09; 228m in 9M 10), USO (6m in 9M09; 1m in 9M 10), T-Mob settlement (39m in 9M 09) and real estate disposals in the Czech Republic (13m in 9M 09). Total Mobile +13.8% Total Accesses Incl HanseNet +5.5% Mobile Contract +8.7% 22.2 m +5.8% 55.3 m 45.9 m Mobile Broadband +46.2% >8.5 m |
T.O2 UK: Mobile Internet boosting customer lifetime value Profitability (local currency; y-o-y comparable growth) Targeted investment in high value base: Increased upgrading activity in Q3 10 (+19.3% y-o-y) Market leading contract churn at 1.1% in 9M 10 20% of mobile base in 9M 10 on MBB Total revenue growth acceleration to 5.6% y-o-y in 9M 10: Ramp-up in MSR driven by growth in non-P2P SMS revenue: +35% y-o-y in l.c. to 33% of data revenues (+6 p.p. y-o-y) Handset sales up 9.7% y-o-y in l.c. driven by higher demand for smartphones Q3 10 OIBDA impacted by higher number of upgrades: Higher commercial costs supporting MBB adoption to drive data revenue growth 24 months contracts 20 Comparable: Exclude 28 m restructuring charge in Q3 09. Ex-MTRs 9M 10 25.7% OIBDA OIBDA margin +0.1 p.p. comparable y-o-y change Mobile service revenue (local currency, y- o-y growth) Q3 10 9M 10 4.9% 9.3% 6.3% 8.3% Reported TELEFONICA EUROPE Sep-10 Customers Jun-10 Sep-10 34% 41% +4.8% +10.4% Contract Total Mobile customer KPIs y-o-y change Contract net adds/total Q3 10 67% |
T.O2 Germany: Solid financials, acceleration of HanseNet integration Enhanced commercial activity: Solid positioning in MBB 48% of customer base on contract, stable y-o-y Q3 10 prepay mobile net adds (+5.8% y-o-y) Strong push in FBB net adds y-o-y (+68.3% in Q3) Customer Base (y-o-y growth) Profitable growth: HanseNet dragging 1.2 p.p. of 9M 10 OIBDA margin Cumulative OpCF close to 3x higher y-o-y in comparable terms HanseNet integration ahead of schedule: Pay back of restructuring costs in 2 years Solid organic revenue increase on the back of: Sustained ramp up in service revenue growth (+3.6% y-o-y in Q3 10: +0.9 p.p. q-o-q) driven by contract segment and data Non-P2P SMS revenue up 34% y-o-y in 9M 10 to 41% of data revenues (+6 p.p. y-o-y) Strong fixed line sales (+10.1% y-o-y organic in 9M 10) Handset sales growth deceleration in Q3 10 due to annualization of My Handy (Q2 09 introduction) Organic growth: excludes the consolidation of HanseNet in January-September 2010 and the acquisition of additional spectrum. Comparable: organic evolution and excluding restructuring costs (Q3 10: 202 m and 7 m in Q3 09). 9M 10 21 Mobile Net Adds Sep-10 Mobile base +7.9% Total Contract +8.0% 9M 10 1.1 m TELEFONICA EUROPE Profitability (comparable y-o-y growth) OIBDA 24.5% 23.8% +9.5% +9.5% Q3 10 9M 10 Q3 10 +0.5 p.p. +1.2 p.p. OIBDA margin (ex-restructuring) Comparable y-o-y change Revenue (y-o-y organic growth) +2.7 p.p. +7.2% 9M 10 -1.0 p.p. Voice Non-P2P SMS Fixed & Others +2.2 p.p. +3.3 p.p. Handsets Contributions to growth |
Leverage ratio within target range after Brasilcel acquisition GROUP FINANCIAL EXPENSES AND DEBT Financing activity YTD Net Financial Debt Evolution Leverage target, including commitments, within target range (2.4x OIBDA) Good access to market: 5 bn facility on Brasilcel acquisition & 3 bn refinancing facility plus bond issues in , $ and £ Average debt life of our total debt standing at 6 years Contained financial expenses at 5% benefiting from floating exposure positioning Leverage ratio: Dec-09: calculated based on FY 09 figure, excluding results on the sale of fixed assets. Sep-10: 9M 10 annualized excluding results on the sale of fixed assets and includes 100% of Vivo's OIBDA for 9M 10. Financial expense rate excluding the transfer of the difference in market value of our stake in BBVA from equity to financial results, which continues to be registered as financial investments available for sale. in millions FCF Post- Minorities 54,504 43,551 +5,170 +3,740 +612 -5,110 Net Fin. Debt Dec-09 Commitments cancellation Shareholder remuneration Net Financial Investments FX, accruals and others +6,540 Net Fin. Debt Sep-10 2.4x OIBDA 1.9x OIBDA Cash & cash equivalents & Current financial assets 6.4 Undrawn Credit lines 12.0 Sep-10 in billions Strong liquidity position Includes pending payments on Brasilcel acquisition Includes undrawn amount on new syndicated to cover pending payments on Brasilcel acquisition 22 Bonds 8.0 LatAm & public entities 5.4 in billions 1.7 Bank lending Average debt life 6.0 years |
Summary 23 Sound financial performance across the P&L leveraging our differentiated profile Continued strength in revenue growth capitalizing on our diversification Strong commercial push with profitability showing sequential stabilization Driving MBB adoption and investing in growth projects to further boost revenue growth Strong cash-flow generation Robust financial position, with leverage ratio in line with Company guidance 2010 and 2012 outlook reiterated Prioritizing shareholder returns, with DPS in line with previously outlined targets Solid earnings momentum GROUP FINANCIALS |
Telefónica, S.A. |
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Date: November 11th, 2010 | By: | /s/ Santiago Fernández Valbuena | ||
Name: | Santiago Fernández Valbuena | |||
Title: | Chief Strategy Officer |