MTGE 9/30/2013 Form 10Q



UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
FORM 10-Q
ý
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF
THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2013
OR
o
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF
THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Commission file number 001-35260
AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Maryland
 
45-0907772
(State or Other Jurisdiction of
Incorporation or Organization)
 
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
2 Bethesda Metro Center
14th Floor
Bethesda, Maryland 20814
(Address of principal executive offices)
(301) 968-9220
(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter earlier period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  ý    No  ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).    
Yes ý   No  ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer or a smaller reporting company. See definition of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer
ý
 
Accelerated filer
o
 
 
 
 
 
Non-accelerated filer
o
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
Smaller Reporting Company
o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).    Yes  ¨    No  ý
The number of shares of the issuer’s common stock, $0.01 par value, outstanding as of October 31, 2013 was 52,902,109




AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


1



PART I
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements

AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(in thousands, except per share amounts)

                     
 
September 30, 2013

December 31, 2012
 
(unaudited)
 
(audited)
Assets:
 
 
 
Agency securities, at fair value (including pledged securities of $8,096,145 and $6,276,993, respectively)
$
8,397,883

 
$
6,367,042

Non-agency securities, at fair value (including pledged securities of $834,441 and $545,665, respectively)
927,914

 
681,403

Treasury securities, at fair value (including pledged securities of $854,482 and $0, respectively)
855,815

 

Cash and cash equivalents
204,129

 
157,314

Restricted cash and cash equivalents
36,725

 
28,493

Interest receivable
26,924

 
18,265

Derivative assets, at fair value
154,510

 
23,043

Receivable for securities sold
201,968

 

Receivable under reverse repurchase agreements

 
418,888

Other assets
3,997

 
1,692

Total assets
$
10,809,865

 
$
7,696,140

Liabilities:
 
 
 
Repurchase agreements
$
9,248,346

 
$
6,245,791

Payable for securities purchased
186,621

 

Derivative liabilities, at fair value
99,480

 
63,726

Dividend payable
37,031

 
32,368

Obligation to return securities borrowed under reverse repurchase agreements, at fair value

 
421,077

Accounts payable and other accrued liabilities
55,050

 
7,616

Total liabilities
9,626,528

 
6,770,578

Stockholders’ equity:
 
 
 
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value; 50,000 shares authorized, 0 shares issued and outstanding, respectively

 

Common stock, $0.01 par value; 300,000 shares authorized, 52,902 and 35,964 shares issued and outstanding, respectively
529

 
360

Additional paid-in capital
1,231,797

 
772,008

Retained earnings (deficit)
(48,989
)
 
153,194

Total stockholders’ equity
1,183,337

 
925,562

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
$
10,809,865

 
$
7,696,140

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.


2



AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(in thousands, except per share data)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Interest income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency securities
 
$
54,587

 
$
37,311

 
$
145,823

 
$
82,938

Non-agency securities
 
15,847

 
6,949

 
39,871

 
12,518

Other
 
77

 
95

 
311

 
196

Interest expense
 
(10,949
)
 
(7,329
)
 
(28,098
)
 
(13,779
)
Net interest income
 
59,562

 
37,026

 
157,907

 
81,873

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other gains (losses):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Realized gain (loss) on agency securities, net
 
(71,179
)
 
23,566

 
(83,484
)
 
46,633

Realized gain on non-agency securities, net
 
5,884

 
952

 
15,610

 
952

Realized loss on periodic settlements of interest rate swaps, net
 
(14,449
)
 
(6,855
)
 
(32,228
)
 
(11,711
)
Realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net
 
65,258

 
(29,132
)
 
86,675

 
(45,957
)
Unrealized gain (loss) on agency securities, net
 
80,894

 
95,477

 
(290,810
)
 
164,994

Unrealized gain (loss) on non-agency securities, net
 
(424
)
 
33,118

 
6,303

 
34,506

Unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net
 

 

 

 
3,384

Unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net
 
(105,138
)
 
(3,118
)
 
92,918

 
(64,300
)
Total other gains (losses), net
 
(39,154
)
 
114,008

 
(205,016
)
 
128,501

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Management fees
 
4,725

 
2,945

 
14,248

 
6,633

General and administrative expenses
 
1,781

 
1,415

 
5,486

 
3,509

Total expenses
 
6,506

 
4,360

 
19,734

 
10,142

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before excise tax
 
13,902

 
146,674

 
(66,843
)
 
200,232

Excise tax
 
200

 
432

 
377

 
441

Net income (loss)
 
$
13,702

 
$
146,242

 
$
(67,220
)
 
$
199,791

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) per common share—basic and diluted
 
$
0.25

 
$
4.03

 
$
(1.26
)
 
$
7.86

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding—basic and diluted
 
54,515

 
36,262

 
53,348

 
25,411

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Dividends declared per common share
 
$
0.70

 
$
0.90

 
$
2.40

 
$
2.70

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.


3



AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
(in thousands)
(unaudited)

 
 
Preferred Stock
 
Common Stock
 
Additional
Paid-in
Capital
 
Retained
Earnings (Deficit)
 
Total
 
Shares
 
Amount
 
Shares
 
Amount
 
Balance, December 31, 2012

 
$

 
35,964

 
$
360

 
$
772,008

 
$
153,194

 
$
925,562

Net loss

 

 

 

 

 
(67,220
)
 
(67,220
)
Issuance of common stock

 

 
23,000

 
230

 
583,685

 

 
583,915

Issuance of restricted stock

 

 
8

 

 

 

 

Repurchase of common stock

 

 
(6,070
)
 
(61
)
 
(123,996
)
 

 
(124,057
)
Stock-based compensation

 

 

 

 
100

 

 
100

Common dividends declared

 

 

 

 

 
(134,963
)
 
(134,963
)
Balance, September 30, 2013

 
$

 
52,902

 
$
529

 
$
1,231,797

 
$
(48,989
)
 
$
1,183,337

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Balance, December 31, 2011

 
$

 
10,006

 
$
100

 
$
199,038

 
$
9,663

 
$
208,801

Net income

 

 

 

 

 
199,791

 
199,791

Issuance of common stock

 

 
26,250

 
263

 
579,710

 

 
579,973

Issuance of restricted stock

 

 
6

 

 

 

 

Stock-based compensation

 

 

 

 
56

 

 
56

Common dividends declared

 

 

 

 

 
(74,281
)
 
(74,281
)
Balance, September 30, 2012

 
$

 
36,262

 
$
363

 
$
778,804

 
$
135,173

 
$
914,340

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.


4



AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
2013
 
2012
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Net income (loss)
$
(67,220
)
 
$
199,791

Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash flows from operating activities:
 
 
 
Amortization of net premium on agency securities
31,141

 
23,816

Accretion of net discount on non-agency securities
(25,390
)
 
(8,443
)
Unrealized loss (gain) on securities and derivatives, net
191,589

 
(137,877
)
Realized loss (gain) on agency securities, net
83,484

 
(46,633
)
Realized gain on non-agency securities, net
(15,610
)
 
(952
)
Realized loss (gain) on derivatives and securities, net
(54,447
)
 
57,668

Stock-based compensation
100

 
56

Increase in interest receivable
(8,659
)
 
(12,226
)
Increase in other assets
(2,305
)
 
(157
)
Increase in accounts payable and other accrued liabilities
47,434

 
4,703

Net cash flows from operating activities
180,117

 
79,746

CASH FLOWS USED IN INVESTING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Purchases of agency securities
(8,316,225
)
 
(7,278,107
)
Purchases of non-agency securities
(438,726
)
 
(458,384
)
Purchases of non-agency securities underlying Linked Transactions

 
(6,589
)
Proceeds from sale of agency securities
5,356,680

 
2,639,053

Proceeds from sale of non-agency securities
160,405

 
4,575

Principal collections on agency securities
507,922

 
256,582

Principal collections on non-agency securities
79,113

 
27,956

Principal collections on non-agency securities underlying Linked Transactions

 
1,987

Net proceeds (payments) on reverse repurchase agreements
418,888

 
(293,512
)
Purchases of U.S. Treasury securities
(7,208,703
)
 
(3,115,389
)
Proceeds from sale of U.S. Treasury securities
5,982,222

 
3,404,355

Proceeds from terminations of interest rate swaptions
42,638

 

Payment of premiums for interest rate swaptions
(46,362
)
 
(10,352
)
Increase in restricted cash and cash equivalents
(8,232
)
 
(12,597
)
Net proceeds (payments) on other derivatives
4,965

 
(45,754
)
  Net cash flows used in investing activities
(3,465,415
)
 
(4,886,176
)
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES:
 
 
 
Dividends paid
(130,300
)
 
(49,650
)
Proceeds from common stock offerings, net of offering costs
583,915

 
579,973

Net payments for repurchase of common shares
(124,057
)
 

Proceeds from repurchase agreements
61,974,922

 
23,592,190

Repayments on repurchase agreements
(58,972,367
)
 
(19,219,900
)
Proceeds from repurchase agreements underlying Linked Transactions

 
91,735

Repayments of repurchase agreements underlying Linked Transactions

 
(89,077
)
Net cash flows from financing activities
3,332,113

 
4,905,271

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
46,815

 
98,841

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period
157,314

 
57,428

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
$
204,129

 
$
156,269

Supplemental non-cash investing and financing activities:
 
 
 
Non-agency securities recorded upon de-linking of Linked Transactions
$

 
$
58,061

Repurchase agreements recorded upon de-linking of Linked Transactions
$

 
$
39,212

See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

5



AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT CORP.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(unaudited)

Note 1. Unaudited Interim Consolidated Financial Statements

The unaudited interim consolidated financial statements of American Capital Mortgage Investment Corp. (referred to throughout this report as the “Company”, “we”, “us” and “our”) are prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) for interim financial information and pursuant to the requirements for reporting on Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of income and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates.

Our unaudited interim consolidated financial statements include the accounts of our wholly-owned taxable real estate investment trust (“REIT”) subsidiaries, which as of September 30, 2013, have had no activity.

In the opinion of management, all adjustments, consisting solely of normal recurring accruals, necessary for the fair presentation of financial statements for the interim period have been included. The current period’s results of operations are not necessarily indicative of results that ultimately may be achieved for the year.
Note 2. Organization
We were incorporated in Maryland on March 15, 2011 and commenced operations on August 9, 2011 following the completion of our initial public offering (“IPO”). We are externally managed by American Capital MTGE Management, LLC (our “Manager”), an affiliate of American Capital, Ltd. (“American Capital”). We do not have any employees. Our common stock is traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol “MTGE.”
We invest in, finance and manage a leveraged portfolio of mortgage-related investments, which we define to include agency mortgage investments, non-agency mortgage investments and other mortgage-related investments. Agency mortgage investments include residential mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations (“CMOs”) structured from residential mortgage pass-through certificates for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a government-sponsored enterprise (“GSE”), such as Federal National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (“Freddie Mac”), or by a U.S. Government agency, such as Government National Mortgage Association (“Ginnie Mae”). Non-agency mortgage investments include residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”) backed by residential mortgages that are not guaranteed by a GSE or U.S. Government agency. Non-agency mortgage investments may also include prime and non-prime residential mortgage loans. Other mortgage-related investments may include commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”), commercial mortgage loans, mortgage-related derivatives, mortgage servicing rights and other mortgage-related investments.
Our objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to our stockholders over the long-term through a combination of dividends and net book value appreciation. In pursuing this objective, we rely on our Manager’s expertise to construct and manage a diversified mortgage investment portfolio by identifying asset classes that, when properly financed and hedged, are designed to produce attractive returns across a variety of market conditions and economic cycles, considering the risks associated with owning such investments.
We have elected to be taxed as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the “Internal Revenue Code”). As such, we are required to distribute annually at least 90% of our taxable net income. As long as we continue to qualify as a REIT, we will generally not be subject to U.S. federal or state corporate taxes on our taxable net income to the extent that we distribute all of our annual taxable net income to our stockholders. It is our intention to distribute 100% of our taxable net income, after application of available tax attributes, within the time limits prescribed by the Internal Revenue Code, which may extend into the subsequent taxable year.

6



Note 3. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies

Fair Value of Financial Assets
We have elected the option to account for all of our financial assets, including all mortgage-related investments, at estimated fair value, with changes in fair value reflected in income during the period in which they occur. In management's view, this election more appropriately reflects the results of our operations for a particular reporting period, as financial asset fair value changes are presented in a manner consistent with the presentation and timing of the fair value changes of economic hedging instruments. See Note 9 - Fair Value Measurements.
Interest Income
Interest income is accrued based on the outstanding principal amount of the securities and their contractual terms. Premiums or discounts associated with the purchase of agency securities and non-agency securities of high credit quality are amortized or accreted, respectively, into interest income over the projected lives of the securities, including contractual payments and estimated prepayments, using the effective interest method. We estimate long-term prepayment speeds using a third-party service and market data.
The third-party service estimates prepayment speeds for our securities using models that incorporate the mortgage rates, age, size and loan-to-value ratios of the outstanding underlying loans, as well as current mortgage rates, forward yield curves, volatility and other factors. We review the prepayment speeds estimated by the third-party service and compare the results to market consensus prepayment speeds, if available. We also consider historical prepayment speeds and current market conditions to validate the reasonableness of the prepayment speeds estimated by the third-party service, and based on our Manager’s judgment, we may make adjustments to its estimates. Actual and anticipated prepayment experience is reviewed at least quarterly and effective yields are recalculated when differences arise between the previously estimated future prepayments and the amounts actually received plus currently anticipated future prepayments. If the actual and anticipated future prepayment experience differs from our prior estimate of prepayments, we are required to record an adjustment in the current period to the amortization or accretion of premiums and discounts for the cumulative difference in the effective yield through the reporting date.
At the time we purchase non-agency securities and loans that are not of high credit quality, we determine an effective yield based on our estimate of the timing and amount of future cash flows and our cost basis. Our initial cash flow estimates for these investments are based on our observations of current information and events and include assumptions related to interest rates, prepayment rates and the timing and amount of credit losses. On at least a quarterly basis, we review the estimated cash flows and make appropriate adjustments, based on input and analysis received from external sources, internal models, and our judgment about interest rates, prepayment rates, the timing and amount of credit losses, and other factors. Any resulting changes in effective yield are recognized prospectively based on the current amortized cost of the investment as adjusted for credit impairment, if any.
Repurchase Agreements
We finance the acquisition of agency securities and certain non-agency securities for our investment portfolio through repurchase transactions under master repurchase agreements. We account for repurchase transactions, other than those treated as Linked Transactions (see Derivatives below), as collateralized financing transactions which are carried at their contractual amounts, including accrued interest, as specified in the respective transaction agreements. The contractual amounts approximate fair value due to their short-term nature.
Derivatives
We maintain a risk management strategy, under which we may use a variety of derivative instruments to economically hedge some of our exposure to market risks, including interest rate risk, prepayment risk, extension risk and credit risk. The objective of our risk management strategy is to reduce fluctuations in net book value over a range of market conditions. The principal instruments that we currently use are interest rate swaps, options to enter into interest rate swaps (“interest rate swaptions”), U.S. Treasury securities, and to-be-announced forward contracts (“TBAs”). We may also use forward contracts for specified agency securities, U.S. Treasury futures contracts and put or call options on TBA securities. We may also invest in other types of mortgage derivatives, such as interest-only securities, credit default swaps and synthetic total return swaps.
We also enter into TBA contracts as a means of investing in and financing agency securities. Pursuant to TBA contracts, we agree to purchase, for future delivery, agency securities with certain principal and interest terms and certain types of

7



collateral, but the particular agency securities to be delivered are not identified until shortly before the TBA settlement date. We also may choose, prior to settlement, to move the settlement of these securities out to a later date by entering into an offsetting short position (referred to as a "pair off"), net settling the paired off positions for cash, and simultaneously purchasing a similar TBA contract for a later settlement date. This transaction is commonly referred to as a “dollar roll.” The agency securities purchased for a forward settlement date are typically priced at a discount to agency securities for settlement in the current month. This difference (or discount) is referred to as the “price drop.” The price drop is the economic equivalent of net interest carry income on the underlying agency securities over the roll period (interest income less implied financing cost) and is commonly referred to as "dollar roll income." Consequently, forward purchases of agency securities and dollar roll transactions represent a form of off-balance sheet financing.
We recognize all derivatives instruments as either assets or liabilities on the balance sheets, measured at fair value. As we have not designated any derivatives as hedging instruments, all changes in fair value are reported in earnings in our consolidated statements of operations in unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net during the period in which they occur. Derivatives in a gain position are reported as derivative assets at fair value and derivatives in a loss position are reported as derivative liabilities at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets. In our consolidated statements of cash flows, cash receipts and payments related to derivative instruments are classified according to the underlying nature or purpose of the derivative transaction, generally in the investing section for derivatives not designated in hedging relationships.
Our derivative agreements generally contain provisions that allow for netting or setting off derivative assets and liabilities with each counterparty; however, we report related assets and liabilities on a gross basis in our consolidated balance sheets.
The use of derivatives creates exposure to credit risk relating to potential losses that could be recognized in the event that the counterparties to these instruments fail to perform their obligations under the contracts. We attempt to minimize this risk by limiting our counterparties to major financial institutions with acceptable credit ratings, monitoring positions with individual counterparties and adjusting posted collateral as required.
Interest rate swap agreements
We use interest rate swaps to hedge the variable cash flows associated with short-term borrowings made under our repurchase agreement facilities. Under our interest rate swap agreements, we typically pay a fixed rate and receive a floating rate based on one, three or six-month LIBOR ("payer swaps") with terms up to 15 years. The floating rate we receive under our swap agreements has the effect of offsetting the repricing characteristics of our repurchase agreements and cash flows on such liabilities. Our swap agreements are privately negotiated in the over-the-counter ("OTC") market and may be centrally cleared through a registered commodities exchange (“centrally cleared swaps”).
    
We value centrally cleared swaps at the daily settlement price determined by the respective exchange. Centrally cleared swaps are valued by the exchange using a pricing model that references the underlying rates, including the overnight index swap rate and LIBOR forward rate, to produce the daily settlement price.
We estimate the fair value of our "non-centrally cleared" swaps using a combination of inputs from counterparty and third-party pricing models to estimate the net present value of the future cash flows using a forward yield curve in effect as of the end of the measurement period. We also incorporate both our own and our counterparties’ nonperformance risk in estimating the fair value of our interest rate swaps. In considering the effect of nonperformance risk, we consider the impact of netting and credit enhancements, such as collateral postings and guarantees, and have concluded that our own and our counterparty risk is not significant to the overall valuation of these agreements.
The payment of periodic settlements of net interest on interest rate swaps are reported in realized loss on periodic settlements of interest rate swaps, net in our consolidated statements of operations. Cash payments received or paid for the early termination of an interest rate swap agreement are recorded as realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations. Changes in fair value of our interest rate swap agreements are reported in unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations.
Interest rate swaptions
We purchase interest rate swaptions to help mitigate the potential impact of larger increases or decreases in interest rates on the performance of our investment portfolio. The interest rate swaptions provide us the option to enter into an interest rate swap agreement for a predetermined notional amount, stated term and pay or receive interest rates in the future. The premium paid for interest rate swaptions is reported as a derivative asset in our consolidated balance sheets. We estimate the fair value of interest rate swaptions based on the fair value of the future interest rate swap that we have the option to enter into as well as the remaining length of time that we have to exercise the option. The difference between the premium and the fair value of the

8



swaption is reported in unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations. If a swaption expires unexercised, the realized loss on the swaption would be equal to the premium paid and reported in realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations. If we exercise a swaption, the realized gain or loss on the swaption would be equal to the difference between the fair value of the underlying interest rate swap and the premium paid and reported in realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations.

Interest rate swaption agreements are privately negotiated in the OTC market and are not subject to central clearing. We estimate the fair value of interest rate swaptions using a combination of inputs from counterparty and third-party pricing models based on the fair value of the future interest rate swap that we have the option to enter into as well as the remaining length of time that we have to exercise the option, adjusted for non-performance risk, if any.
TBA securities
A TBA security is a forward contract for the purchase ("long position") or sale ("short position") of agency MBS at a predetermined price, face amount, issuer, coupon and stated maturity on an agreed-upon future date. The specific agency MBS delivered into the contract upon the settlement date, published each month by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, are not known at the time of the transaction. We enter into TBA contracts as a means of hedging against short-term changes in interest rates. We may also enter into TBA contracts as a means of acquiring agency securities and we may from time to time utilize TBA dollar roll transactions to finance agency MBS purchases.
We account for TBA contracts as derivatives since we cannot assert that it is probable at the inception and throughout the term of the contract that it will not settle net and will result in physical delivery of an agency security when it is issued. A TBA dollar roll transaction is a series of derivative transactions. The net settlement of a TBA contract is reported as realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net and changes in the fair value of our TBA contracts are reported as unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations.
We estimate the fair value of TBA securities based on similar methods used to value our agency MBS securities.

Linked Transactions
If we finance the purchase of securities with repurchase agreements with the same counterparty from whom the securities are purchased and both transactions are entered into contemporaneously or in contemplation of each other, the transactions are presumed not to meet sale accounting criteria. We will account for the purchase of such securities and the repurchase agreement on a net basis and record a forward purchase commitment to purchase securities (each, a “Linked Transaction”) at fair value on our consolidated balance sheets in the line item Linked Transactions, at fair value. Changes in the fair value of the assets and liabilities underlying the Linked Transactions and associated interest income and expense are reported as unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net on our consolidated statements of operations. If we subsequently finance the securities in a Linked Transaction with a different counterparty, we will regard it as an acquisition of a security and the repurchase financing as a collateralized financing transaction.
Forward commitments to purchase or sell specified securities
We may enter into a forward commitment to purchase or sell specified securities as a means of acquiring assets or as a hedge against short-term changes in interest rates. Contracts for the purchase or sale of specified securities are accounted for as derivatives if the delivery of the specified security and settlement extends beyond the period generally established by regulation or convention for that type of security. Realized gains and losses associated with forward commitments are recognized in the line item realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net and unrealized gains and losses are recognized in unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net on our consolidated statements of operations. We estimate the fair value of forward commitments to purchase or sell specified mortgage-backed securities based on methods used to value our mortgage-backed securities, as well as the remaining length of time of the forward commitment.
U.S. Treasury securities
We may purchase or sell short U.S. Treasury securities and U.S. Treasury futures contracts to help mitigate the potential impact of changes in interest rates on the performance of our portfolio. We may borrow securities to cover short sales of U.S. Treasury securities under reverse repurchase agreements. We account for these as securities borrowing transactions and recognize an obligation to return the borrowed securities at fair value on our consolidated balance sheets based on the value of the underlying borrowed securities as of the reporting date. Realized gains and losses associated with purchases and short sales of U.S. Treasury securities and U.S. Treasury futures contracts are recognized in realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and

9



securities, net, and unrealized gains and losses are recognized in unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net on our consolidated statements of operations.

Comparative Period Statement of Cash Flows
The Company removed non-cash components from two line items within the investing section of the previously reported consolidated statement of cash flows for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2012, with the effect of decreasing cash used for “purchases of agency securities” and an offsetting decrease in cash flows from “principal collection of agency securities.”  These revisions do not affect the amounts previously reported as net cash provided by or used in operating activities, investing activities or financing activities, or the net change in cash and cash equivalents for any period and has no effect on the consolidated balance sheets or statements of operations or net asset value for any period. While the Company has concluded the revisions are not material to the previously reported financial statements, the Company has elected to revise its previously issued statement of cash flows for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2012 in this and future reports.

Note 4. Agency Securities
The following tables summarize our investments in agency securities as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
 
September 30, 2013
 
Fannie Mae
 
Freddie Mac
 
Ginnie Mae
 
Total
Agency securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Par value
$
6,702,758

 
$
1,443,823

 
$
33,000

 
$
8,179,581

Unamortized premium
299,281

 
71,804

 
755

 
371,840

Amortized cost
7,002,039

 
1,515,627

 
33,755

 
8,551,421

Gross unrealized gains
21,702

 
3,970

 
503

 
26,175

Gross unrealized losses
(140,600
)
 
(39,113
)
 

 
(179,713
)
Agency securities, at fair value
$
6,883,141

 
$
1,480,484

 
$
34,258

 
$
8,397,883

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average coupon as of September 30, 2013
3.36
%
 
3.45
%
 
3.00
%
 
3.37
%
Weighted average yield as of September 30, 2013
2.62
%
 
2.72
%
 
2.63
%
 
2.64
%
Weighted average yield for the three months ended September 30, 2013
2.56
%
 
2.73
%
 
NA (1)

 
2.59
%
Weighted average yield for the nine months ended September 30, 2013
2.65
%
 
2.82
%
 
NA (1)

 
2.68
%
—————— 
(1)  
Purchased but not yet settled as of September 30, 2013.

 
 
September 30, 2013
 
 
Amortized Cost
 
Gross Unrealized Gain
 
Gross Unrealized Loss
 
Fair Value
Agency securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed rate
 
$
8,107,048

 
$
21,845

 
$
(179,713
)
 
$
7,949,180

Adjustable rate
 
444,373

 
4,330

 

 
448,703

Total
 
$
8,551,421

 
$
26,175

 
$
(179,713
)
 
$
8,397,883



10



 
December 31, 2012
 
Fannie Mae

Freddie Mac

Total
Fixed-rate agency securities:





Par value
$
4,939,592


$
965,074


$
5,904,666

Unamortized premium
271,729


53,375


325,104

Amortized cost
5,211,321


1,018,449


6,229,770

Gross unrealized gains
114,750


23,543


138,293

Gross unrealized losses
(884
)

(137
)

(1,021
)
Fixed-rate agency securities, at fair value
$
5,325,187


$
1,041,855


$
6,367,042

 
 
 
 



Weighted average coupon as of December 31, 2012
3.40
%

3.57
%

3.43
%
Weighted average yield as of December 31, 2012
2.42
%

2.65
%

2.46
%

As of December 31, 2012, all of our agency securities were fixed-rate securities.
Actual maturities of agency securities are generally shorter than the stated contractual maturities. Actual maturities are affected by the contractual lives of the underlying mortgages, periodic principal payments and principal prepayments. The following table summarizes our agency securities as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 according to their estimated weighted average life classification (dollars in thousands):

September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Weighted Average Life
Fair
Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Weighted Average Coupon
 
Fair
Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Weighted Average Coupon
Less than or equal to three years
$
402

 
$
395

 
1.52
%
 
3.50
%
 
$

 
$

 
%
 
%
Greater than three years and less than or equal to five years
1,545,308


1,534,975


2.42
%

3.48
%

1,759,226


1,731,178


1.94
%

3.09
%
Greater than five years and less than or equal to 10 years
5,982,873


6,123,688


2.65
%

3.37
%

4,484,509


4,375,925


2.66
%

3.57
%
Greater than 10 years
869,300


892,363


2.96
%

3.17
%

123,307


122,667


2.52
%

3.12
%
Total
$
8,397,883


$
8,551,421


2.64
%

3.37
%

$
6,367,042


$
6,229,770


2.46
%

3.43
%
As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, none of our agency securities had an estimated weighted average life of less than 2.4 years. As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, the estimated weighted average life of our agency security portfolio was 7.7 years and 7.0 years, respectively, which incorporates anticipated future prepayment assumptions. As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, our weighted average expected constant prepayment rate (“CPR”) over the remaining life of our aggregate agency investment portfolio was 7% and 9%, respectively. Our estimates differ materially for different types of securities and thus individual holdings have a wide range of projected CPRs. We estimate long-term prepayment rates using a third-party service and market data. We review the prepayment speeds estimated by the third-party service and compare the results to market consensus prepayment speeds, if available. We also consider historical prepayment speeds and current market conditions to validate reasonableness. As market conditions may change rapidly, we use our judgment in developing our estimates for different securities. Prepayments are dependent on many factors and actual prepayments could differ materially from our estimates. Various market participants could use materially different assumptions. Furthermore, changes in market conditions such as interest rates, housing prices, and broad economic factors such as employment can materially impact prepayments. Additionally, modifications to GSE underwriting criteria or programs, GSE policies surrounding the buyouts or modifications of delinquent loans or other factors could significantly change the prepayment landscape.

11



Realized Gains and Losses
The following table summarizes our net realized gains and losses from the sale of agency securities during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands): 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 

2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Proceeds from agency securities sold

$
2,076,462

 
$
1,266,425

 
$
5,356,680

 
$
2,639,053

Increase (decrease) in receivable for agency securities sold

39,397

 
(328,216
)
 
201,968

 
(165,241
)
Less agency securities sold, at cost

(2,187,038
)
 
(914,643
)
 
(5,642,132
)
 
(2,427,179
)
Net realized gains (losses) on sale of agency securities

$
(71,179
)
 
$
23,566

 
$
(83,484
)
 
$
46,633

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gross realized gains on sale of agency securities

$
241

 
$
31,223

 
$
18,965

 
$
54,309

Gross realized losses on sale of agency securities

(71,420
)
 
(7,657
)
 
(102,449
)
 
(7,676
)
Net realized gains (losses) on sale of agency securities

$
(71,179
)
 
$
23,566

 
$
(83,484
)
 
$
46,633

Pledged Assets
The following tables summarize our agency securities pledged as collateral under repurchase agreements and derivative agreements by type as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
 
September 30, 2013
Agency Securities Pledged(1)
Fannie Mae
 
Freddie Mac
 
Total
Under Repurchase Agreements
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value
$
6,737,850

 
$
1,358,295

 
$
8,096,145

Accrued interest on pledged agency securities
16,734

 
3,171

 
19,905

Under Derivative Agreements
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value

 

 

Accrued interest on pledged agency securities

 

 

Total Fair Value of Agency Securities Pledged and Accrued Interest
$
6,754,584

 
$
1,361,466

 
$
8,116,050


 
December 31, 2012
Agency Securities Pledged
Fannie Mae
 
Freddie Mac
 
Total
Under Repurchase Agreements
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value
$
5,919,044

 
$
283,882

 
$
6,202,926

Accrued interest on pledged agency securities
15,662

 
774

 
16,436

Under Derivative Agreements
 
 
 
 

Fair value
68,072

 
5,995

 
74,067

Accrued interest on pledged agency securities
183

 
18

 
201

Total Fair Value of Agency Securities Pledged and Accrued Interest
$
6,002,961

 
$
290,669

 
$
6,293,630

—————— 
(1)  
Agency securities pledged do not include pledged amounts of $138.4 million under repurchase agreements related to agency securities sold but not yet settled as of September 30, 2013.


12



The following table summarizes our agency securities pledged as collateral under repurchase agreements by remaining maturity as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Remaining Maturity
Fair Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Accrued Interest on Pledged Agency Securities
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Accrued Interest on Pledged Agency Securities
30 days or less
$
3,286,351

 
$
3,362,001

 
$
8,403

 
$
2,318,609

 
$
2,266,686

 
$
6,401

31 - 59 days
1,724,877

 
1,755,947

 
4,457

 
1,968,955

 
1,924,329

 
5,145

60 - 90 days
1,804,349

 
1,836,451

 
4,040

 
1,511,192

 
1,481,403

 
3,837

Greater than 90 days
1,280,568

 
1,296,948

 
3,005

 
404,170

 
396,497

 
1,053

Total
$
8,096,145

 
$
8,251,347

 
$
19,905

 
$
6,202,926

 
$
6,068,915

 
$
16,436


As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, none of our repurchase agreement borrowings backed by agency securities were due on demand or mature overnight.
Note 5. Non-Agency Securities
The following tables summarize our non-agency security investments as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
September 30, 2013
 
 
Fair
  Value
 
Gross Unrealized
 
Amortized Cost
 
Discount
 
Par/ Current Face
 
Weighted Average
Category
 
 
Gains
 
Losses
 
 
 
 
Coupon (1)
 
Yield
Prime (2)
 
$
177,915

 
$
13,429

 
$
(4,678
)
 
$
169,164

 
$
(225,818
)
 
$
394,982

 
1.97
%
 
6.19
%
Alt-A
 
499,961

 
41,506

 
(4,987
)
 
463,442

 
(218,615
)
 
682,057

 
1.65
%
 
7.07
%
Option-ARM
 
100,761

 
12,886

 
(2,442
)
 
90,317

 
(41,834
)
 
132,151

 
0.47
%
 
7.49
%
Subprime
 
149,277

 
18,490

 
(3,205
)
 
133,992

 
(129,117
)
 
263,109

 
0.42
%
 
7.73
%
Total
 
$
927,914

 
$
86,311

 
$
(15,312
)
 
$
856,915

 
$
(615,384
)
 
$
1,472,299

 
1.41
%
 
7.05
%
————————
(1)
Weighted average coupon rates are floating, except for $14.8 million and $24.4 million fair value of fixed-rate prime and Alt-A non-agency securities, respectively, as of September 30, 2013.
(2) 
Prime non-agency securities include interest only investments with a fair value of $11.4 million and a current face value of $210.5 million.
December 31, 2012
 
 
Fair
  Value
 
Gross Unrealized
 
Amortized Cost
 
Discount
 
Par/ Current Face
 
Weighted Average
Category
 
 
Gains
 
Losses
 
 
 
 
Coupon (1)
 
Yield
Prime
 
$
113,351

 
$
10,338

 
$

 
$
103,013

 
$
(33,406
)
 
$
136,419

 
3.13
%
 
7.15
%
Alt-A
 
403,522

 
30,325

 
(911
)
 
374,108

 
(226,224
)
 
600,332

 
2.02
%
 
7.36
%
Option-ARM
 
68,861

 
12,761

 

 
56,100

 
(38,617
)
 
94,717

 
0.60
%
 
8.08
%
Subprime
 
95,669

 
12,183

 

 
83,486

 
(130,937
)
 
214,423

 
0.38
%
 
7.92
%
Total
 
$
681,403

 
$
65,607

 
$
(911
)
 
$
616,707

 
$
(429,184
)
 
$
1,045,891

 
1.70
%
 
7.47
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
————————
(1)
Weighted average coupon rates are floating, except for $11.3 million and $18.6 million fair value of fixed-rate prime and Alt-A non-agency securities, respectively, as of December 31, 2012.

13



The following table summarizes our non-agency securities at fair value, by their estimated weighted average life classifications as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands): 
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Weighted Average Life
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Weighted Average Coupon
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Weighted Average Coupon
≤ 5 years
 
$
141,042

 
$
134,523

 
5.96
%
 
1.58
%
 
$
90,919

 
$
85,595

 
6.43
%
 
1.53
%
> 5 to ≤ 7 years
 
211,813

 
201,410

 
6.47
%
 
2.39
%
 
266,090

 
240,472

 
7.24
%
 
2.00
%
>7 years
 
575,059

 
520,982

 
7.55
%
 
1.15
%
 
324,394

 
290,640

 
7.96
%
 
1.55
%
Total
 
$
927,914

 
$
856,915

 
7.05
%
 
1.41
%
 
$
681,403

 
$
616,707

 
7.47
%
 
1.70
%

Our Prime securities include investments in securitization trusts issued between 2003 and 2013, with underlying prime mortgage loan collateral. Prime mortgage loans are residential mortgage loans that are considered to have the most stringent underwriting standards within the non-agency mortgage market, but do not carry any credit guarantee from either a U.S. government agency or GSE. The loans backing securities with a combined fair value of $94.2 million issued prior to 2009 were originated during a period when underwriting standards were generally weak and housing prices have dropped significantly subsequent to their origination. As a result, there is still material credit risk embedded in these vintages. As of September 30, 2013, Prime securities include $71.3 million in fair value of securities issued during 2013, with underlying mortgage loans that were originated in a period of fairly stringent underwriting. As of September 30, 2013, our Prime securities have both floating-rate and fixed-rate coupons ranging from 1.0% to 6.5%, with weighted average coupons of underlying collateral ranging from 2.5% to 6.2%.

Our Alt-A securities include senior tranches in securitization trusts issued between 2002 and 2007 and securities with Alt-A collateral that were re-securitized from 2010 to 2013. Alt-A, or alternative A-paper, mortgage loans are considered riskier than prime mortgage loans and less risky than sub-prime mortgage loans and are typically characterized by borrowers with less than full documentation, lower credit scores, higher loan-to-value ratios and a higher percentage of investment properties. As of September 30, 2013, our Alt-A securities have both fixed and floating rate coupons ranging from 0.2% to 6.0% with weighted average coupons of underlying collateral ranging from 2.7% to 6.0%.

Our Option-ARM securities include senior tranches in securitization trusts that are collateralized by residential mortgages that have origination and underwriting characteristics similar to Alt-A mortgage loans, with the added feature of providing underlying mortgage borrowers the option, within certain constraints, to make lower payments than otherwise required by the stated interest rate for a number of years, leading to negative amortization and increased loan balances. This additional feature can increase the credit risk of these securities. As of September 30, 2013, our Option-ARM securities have coupons ranging from 0.4% to 1.0% and have underlying collateral with weighted average coupons between 2.7% and 3.6%. The loans underlying our Option-ARM securities were originated between 2004 and 2007.

Our Subprime securities include floating rate, senior tranches in securitization trusts collateralized by residential mortgages originated during 2003 and 2007 that were originally considered to be of lower credit quality. As of September 30, 2013, our Subprime securities have floating rate coupons ranging from 0.2% to 1.0% and have underlying collateral with weighted-average coupons ranging from 4.1% to 7.9%.

More than 90% of our non-agency securities are rated below investment grade or have not been rated by credit agencies as of September 30, 2013.

14



Realized Gains and Losses
The following table summarizes our net realized gains and losses from the sale of non-agency securities during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands): 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Proceeds from non-agency securities sold
 
$
41,026

 
$
4,575

 
$
160,405

 
$
4,575

Less: non-agency securities sold, at cost
 
(35,142
)
 
(3,623
)
 
(144,795
)
 
(3,623
)
Net realized gains on sale of non-agency securities
 
$
5,884

 
$
952

 
$
15,610

 
$
952

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gross realized gains on sale of non-agency securities
 
$
6,836

 
$
952

 
$
17,543

 
$
952

Gross realized losses on sale of non-agency securities
 
(952
)
 

 
(1,933
)
 

Net realized gains on sale of non-agency securities
 
$
5,884

 
$
952

 
$
15,610

 
$
952


Pledged Assets
Non-agency securities with a fair value of $834.4 million and $545.7 million were pledged as collateral under repurchase agreements as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, none of our repurchase agreement borrowings backed by non-agency securities were due on demand or mature overnight.
Note 6. Repurchase Agreements
We pledge certain of our securities as collateral under repurchase arrangements with financial institutions, the terms and conditions of which are negotiated on a transaction-by-transaction basis. Interest rates on these borrowings are generally based on LIBOR plus or minus a margin and amounts available to be borrowed are dependent upon the fair value of the securities pledged as collateral, which fluctuates with changes in interest rates, type of security and liquidity conditions within the banking, mortgage finance and real estate industries. In response to declines in fair value of pledged securities, lenders may require us to post additional collateral or pay down borrowings to re-establish agreed upon collateral requirements, referred to as margin calls. As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we have met all margin call requirements and had no agency or non-agency repurchase agreements with original overnight maturities. Repurchase agreements are carried at cost, which approximates fair value due to their short-term nature.

15



The following table summarizes our borrowings under repurchase arrangements and weighted average interest rates classified by remaining maturities as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):

 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
Weighted Average
 
 
 
Weighted Average
 
 
Borrowings
Outstanding
 
Interest Rate
 
Days
to Maturity
 
Borrowings
Outstanding
 
Interest Rate
 
Days
to Maturity
Agency and non-agency repurchase agreements
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
≤ 1 month
 
$
2,820,044

 
0.60
%
 
17

 
$
2,547,674

 
0.61
%
 
19

> 1 to ≤ 2 months
 
2,324,368

 
0.46
%
 
46

 
2,035,551

 
0.56
%
 
46

> 2 to ≤ 3 months
 
1,686,793

 
0.42
%
 
77

 
1,315,109

 
0.54
%
 
76

> 3 to ≤ 6 months
 
1,083,261

 
0.53
%
 
154

 
243,877

 
0.51
%
 
143

> 6 to ≤ 9 months
 
35,131

 
0.46
%
 
260

 
14,317

 
0.62
%
 
269

> 9 to ≤ 12 months
 
153,029

 
0.49
%
 
342

 
89,263

 
0.62
%
 
319

> 12 months
 
250,000

 
0.62
%
 
945

 

 
%
 

Total
 
8,352,626

 
0.51
%
 
90

 
6,245,791

 
0.57
%
 
50


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Overnight
 
895,720

 
0.14
%
 
1

 

 
%
 

Total repurchase agreements
 
$
9,248,346

 
0.48
%
 
81

 
$
6,245,791

 
0.57
%
 
50

We had repurchase agreements with 30 and 29 financial institutions as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. In addition, less than 9% and 8% of stockholders' equity was at risk due to collateral pledged in excess of borrowings under repurchase agreements with any one counterparty, with the top five counterparties representing less than 27% and 26% of our equity at risk as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively.
We had agency securities with fair values of $8.1 billion and $6.2 billion and non-agency securities with fair values of $834.4 million and $545.7 million pledged as collateral against repurchase agreements, as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. Agency securities pledged do not include $138.4 million pledged under repurchase agreements related to securities sold but not yet settled as of September 30, 2013. As of September 30, 2013, borrowings of $7.8 billion and $595.9 million, with weighted average remaining days to maturity of 94 and 35, were secured by agency and non-agency securities, respectively.
Note 7. Derivatives and Other Securities
In connection with our risk management strategy, we economically hedge a portion of our exposure to market risks, including interest rate risk and prepayment risk, by entering into derivative and other hedging instrument contracts. We may enter into agreements for interest rate swaps, interest rate swaptions, interest rate cap or floor contracts and futures or forward contracts. We may also purchase or short TBA and U.S. Treasury securities, purchase or write put or call options on TBA securities or we may invest in other types of derivative securities, including interest-only securities, synthetic total return swaps and credit default swaps. Our risk management strategy attempts to manage the overall risk of the portfolio and reduce fluctuations in book value. We do not use derivative or other hedging instruments for speculative purposes. Derivatives have not been designated as hedging instruments. We do not offset our derivatives and related cash collateral with the same counterparties under any master netting arrangements. For additional information regarding our derivative instruments and our overall risk management strategy, please refer to the discussion of derivatives in Note 3- Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.


16



The following table summarizes information about our outstanding derivatives and other securities for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 (in thousands):
 
December 31, 2012
Notional
Amount
 
Additions/ Long Positions
 
Expirations/
Terminations/ Short Positions
 
September 30, 2013
Notional
Amount
Interest rate swaps
$
2,940,000

 
2,900,000

 
(1,450,000
)
 
$
4,390,000

Interest rate swaptions
$
1,150,000

 
2,150,000

 
(1,100,000
)
 
$
2,200,000

TBA securities
$
(522,188
)
 
7,109,859

 
(8,195,521
)
 
$
(1,607,850
)
U.S. Treasuries
$

 
3,865,000

 
(3,005,000
)
 
$
860,000

U.S. Treasury futures
$

 
500,000

 
(650,000
)
 
$
(150,000
)
Short sales of U.S. Treasuries
$
(425,000
)
 
3,200,000

 
(2,775,000
)
 
$


The table below presents the balance sheet location and fair value information for our derivatives outstanding as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (in thousands):
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Interest rate swaps
 
$
80,608

 
$
519

Interest rate swaptions
 
52,788

 
21,944

TBA securities
 
21,114

 
580

Derivative assets, at fair value
 
$
154,510

 
$
23,043


 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps
 
$
22,614

 
$
60,188

U.S. Treasury futures
 
2,743

 

TBA securities
 
74,123

 
3,538

Derivative liabilities, at fair value
 
$
99,480

 
$
63,726


The following tables summarize the effect of our outstanding derivatives on our consolidated statements of operations during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (in thousands):
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
 
Realized Loss on Periodic Settlements of Interest Rate Swaps, net
Realized Gain (Loss) on Other Derivatives and Securities, net
Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Other Derivatives and Securities, net
 
Realized Loss on Periodic Settlements of Interest Rate Swaps, net
Realized Gain (Loss) on Other Derivatives and Securities, net
Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Other Derivatives and Securities, net
Interest rate swaps
 
$
(14,449
)
$
53,365

$
(53,588
)
 
$
(6,855
)
$
(18,430
)
$
(8,996
)
Interest rate swaptions
 

18,625

(32,498
)
 

(1,454
)
137

TBA securities
 

(42,505
)
3,433

 

(2,903
)
7,598

U.S. Treasuries
 

(12,716
)
18,140

 

222


U.S. Treasury futures
 

6,650

(9,930
)
 



Short sales of U.S. Treasuries
 

41,839

(30,695
)
 

(6,567
)
(1,857
)
Total
 
$
(14,449
)
$
65,258

$
(105,138
)
 
$
(6,855
)
$
(29,132
)
$
(3,118
)


17



 
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
 
Realized Loss on Periodic Settlements of Interest Rate Swaps, net
Realized Gain (Loss) on Other Derivatives and Securities, net
Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Other Derivatives and Securities, net
 
Realized Loss on Periodic Settlements of Interest Rate Swaps, net
Realized Gain (Loss) on Other Derivatives and Securities, net
Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Other Derivatives and Securities, net
Unrealized Gain and
Net Interest Income on Linked Transactions, net
Interest rate swaps
 
$
(32,228
)
$
53,365

$
123,930

 
$
(11,711
)
$
(18,430
)
$
(62,586
)
$

Interest rate swaptions
 

15,193

11,398

 

(1,725
)
(4,792
)

TBA securities
 

(23,119
)
(50,095
)
 

(19,250
)
6,848


U.S. Treasuries
 

(13,786
)
7,489

 

(55
)


U.S. Treasury futures
 

9,353

(2,743
)
 




Short sales of U.S. Treasuries
 

45,669

2,939

 

(6,497
)
(3,770
)

Linked Transactions
 



 



3,384

Total
 
$
(32,228
)
$
86,675

$
92,918

 
$
(11,711
)
$
(45,957
)
$
(64,300
)
$
3,384

Interest Rate Swap Agreements
As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, our derivative portfolio included interest rate swaps, which have the effect of modifying the repricing characteristics of our repurchase agreements and cash flows on such liabilities. Our interest rate swaps are used to manage the interest rate risk created by our use of short-term repurchase agreements. Under our interest rate swaps, we typically pay a fixed rate and receive a floating rate based on LIBOR with terms usually ranging up to 15 years. As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we had interest rate swap agreements summarized in the tables below (dollars in thousands).
 
 
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Interest Rate Swaps
 
Balance Sheet Location
 
Notional Amount
 
Fair Value
 
Notional Amount
 
Fair Value
Interest rate swap assets
 
Derivative assets, at fair value
 
$
2,550,000

 
$
80,608

 
$
50,000

 
$
519

Interest rate swap liabilities
 
Derivative liabilities, at fair value
 
1,840,000

 
(22,614
)
 
2,890,000

 
(60,188
)
 
 
 
 
$
4,390,000

 
$
57,994

 
$
2,940,000

 
$
(59,669
)
September 30, 2013

 
Notional
Amount
 
Fair Value
 
Weighted Average
Current Maturity Date for Interest Rate Swaps (1)
 
 
 
Fixed
Pay Rate
 
Receive 
Rate
 
Maturity
(Years)
 ≤ 3 years
 
$
650,000


$
(5,581
)

0.87
%

0.26
%

1.7
> 3 to ≤ 5 years
 
1,215,000


(6,879
)

1.21
%

0.26
%

3.9
> 5 to ≤ 7 years
 
800,000


12,463


1.53
%

0.27
%

5.9
> 7 years
 
1,725,000


57,991


2.23
%

0.26
%

9.5
Total
 
$
4,390,000


$
57,994


1.62
%

0.26
%

6.2

18



December 31, 2012
 
 
Notional
Amount
 
Fair Value
 
Weighted Average
Current Maturity Date for Interest Rate Swaps (2)
 
 
 
Fixed
Pay Rate
 
Receive 
Rate
 
Maturity
(Years)
 ≤ 3 years
 
$
550,000

 
$
(6,639
)
 
0.81
%
 
0.31
%
 
2.3
> 3 to ≤ 5 years
 
1,215,000

 
(24,297
)
 
1.17
%
 
0.32
%
 
4.5
> 5 to ≤ 7 years
 
550,000

 
(16,256
)
 
1.55
%
 
0.34
%
 
6.4
> 7 years
 
625,000

 
(12,477
)
 
1.89
%
 
0.34
%
 
9.5
Total
 
$
2,940,000

 
$
(59,669
)
 
1.33
%
 
0.32
%
 
5.5
————————
(1) 
As of September 30, 2013, there were no interest rate swaps with deferred start dates.
(2) 
Includes swaps with an aggregate notional of $50.0 million with deferred start dates within four months from December 31, 2012.
Interest rate swaps with a notional amount of $50.0 million and asset fair value of $46.0 thousand, and interest rate swaps with a notional amount of $400.0 million and liability fair value of $(4.0) million as of September 30, 2013 were centrally cleared on a registered exchange.
Interest Rate Swaption Agreements
Our interest rate swaption agreements provide us the option to enter into interest rate swap agreements in the future where we would pay a fixed rate and receive LIBOR. The following tables present certain information about our interest rate swaption agreements as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
September 30, 2013
 
 
Option
 
Underlying Swap
Current Option Expiration Date for Interest Rate Swaptions
 
Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Weighted Average Years to Expiration
 
Notional Amount
 
Pay Rate
 
Weighted Average Term (Years)
 
 
 
 
 
 
> 3 to ≤ 12 months
 
$
29,740

 
$
27,193

 
0.5
 
$
1,375,000

 
2.77
%
 
8.3
>12 to ≤ 24 months
 
7,478

 
6,956

 
1.7
 
400,000

 
3.52
%
 
6.3
> 24 months
 
9,435

 
18,639

 
2.8
 
425,000

 
3.23
%
 
6.1
Total / weighted average
 
$
46,653

 
$
52,788

 
1.2
 
$
2,200,000

 
2.99
%
 
7.5
December 31, 2012
 
 
Option
 
Underlying Swap
Current Option Expiration Date for Interest Rate Swaptions
 
Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Weighted Average Years to Expiration
 
Notional Amount
 
Pay Rate
 
Weighted Average Term (Years)
 
 
 
 
 
 
≤ 3 months
 
$
2,156

 
$
2

 
0.2
 
$
125,000

 
3.30
%
 
10.0
> 3 to ≤ 12 months
 
635

 
3

 
0.3
 
50,000

 
2.68
%
 
7.0
>12 to ≤ 24 months
 
4,117

 
1,820

 
1.5
 
250,000

 
2.67
%
 
6.4
> 24 months
 
20,298

 
20,119

 
3.2
 
725,000

 
3.27
%
 
8.1
Total / weighted average
 
$
27,206

 
$
21,944

 
2.4
 
$
1,150,000

 
3.12
%
 
7.9

19



TBA Securities
As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we had contracts to purchase (“long position”) and sell (“short position”) TBA securities on a forward basis. The following table presents a summary of our long and short TBA positions as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (in thousands): 

 
September 30, 2013

December 31, 2012
Purchase and Sale Contracts for TBA Securities
 
Notional 
Amount (1)

Fair
Value (2)

Notional 
Amount (1)

Fair
Value (2)
TBA assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Purchase of TBA securities
 
$
800,500

 
$
16,566

 
$
182,600

 
$
580

Sale of TBA securities
 
(67,305
)
 
4,548

 

 

Total TBA assets
 
733,195

 
21,114

 
182,600

 
580

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TBA liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Purchase of TBA securities
 

 

 
572,134

 
(992
)
Sale of TBA securities
 
(2,341,045
)
 
(74,123
)
 
(1,276,922
)
 
(2,546
)
Total TBA liabilities
 
(2,341,045
)
 
(74,123
)
 
(704,788
)
 
(3,538
)
Total net TBA
 
$
(1,607,850
)
 
$
(53,009
)
 
$
(522,188
)
 
$
(2,958
)
————————
(1) 
Notional amount represents the par value or principal balance of the underlying agency security.
(2) 
Fair value represents the current market value and net carrying value of the TBA contract as of period-end.
Linked Transactions
Our Linked Transactions are evaluated on a combined basis, reported as forward (derivative) instruments on our consolidated balance sheets at fair value.  The fair value of Linked Transactions reflect the value of the underlying non-agency securities, net of repurchase agreement borrowings and accrued interest receivable and payable on such instruments.  The change in the fair value of our Linked Transactions is reported as unrealized gain (loss) and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net, a component of other gain (loss), net in our consolidated statements of operations.

The following table presents the composition of unrealized gain (loss) and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (in thousands):
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Coupon interest income
 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
302

Discount accretion
 

 

 

 
590

Interest expense
 

 

 

 
(183
)
Unrealized gain, net
 

 

 

 
2,675

Unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net
 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
3,384

U.S. Treasury Securities and Futures
We had U.S. Treasury securities with a fair value of $855.8 million and a face amount of $860.0 million as of September 30, 2013, which is presented as U.S. Treasury securities, at fair value on the consolidated balance sheets. In addition, we had a short position in U.S. Treasury futures with a fair value of $(2.7) million and a notional amount of $(150.0) million as of September 30, 2013, which is presented in derivative liabilities, at fair value on the consolidated balance sheets.
We had obligations to return U.S. Treasury securities borrowed under reverse repurchase agreements accounted for as securities borrowing transactions with a fair value of $421.1 million as of December 31, 2012. The borrowed securities were collateralized by cash payments of $418.9 million as of December 31, 2012 which are presented as receivables under reverse repurchase agreements on the consolidated balance sheets. All changes in fair value of long and short U.S. Treasury securities

20



and futures are recorded in unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations.

Credit Risk-Related Contingent Features
The use of derivatives creates exposure to credit risk relating to potential losses that could be recognized in the event that the counterparties to these instruments fail to perform their obligations under the contracts. We minimize this risk by limiting our counterparties for instruments which are not centrally cleared on a registered exchange to major financial institutions with acceptable credit ratings and monitoring positions with individual counterparties. In addition, both we and our counterparties may be required to pledge assets as collateral for our derivatives, whose amounts vary over time based on the market value, notional amount and remaining term of the derivative contract. In the event of a default by a counterparty, we may not receive payments provided for under the terms of our derivative agreements, and may have difficulty obtaining our assets pledged as collateral for our derivatives. The cash and cash equivalents pledged as collateral for our derivative instruments is included in restricted cash and cash equivalents on our consolidated balance sheets.
Each of our ISDA Master Agreements and central clearing exchange agreements contains provisions pursuant to which we are required to fully collateralize our obligations under our interest rate swap agreements if at any point the fair value of the swap represents a liability greater than the minimum transfer amount contained within our ISDA Master Agreements. We are also required to post initial collateral upon execution of certain of our swap transactions. If we breach any of these provisions, we will be required to settle our obligations under the agreements at their termination values.
Further, each of our ISDA Master Agreements also contains a cross default provision under which a default under certain of our other indebtedness in excess of a certain threshold causes an event of default under the agreement. Threshold amounts vary by lender. Following an event of default, we could be required to settle our obligations under the agreements at their termination values. Additionally, under certain of our ISDA Master Agreements, we could be required to settle our obligations under the agreements at their termination values if we fail to maintain either our REIT status or certain minimum stockholders’ equity thresholds, or comply with limits on our leverage above certain specified levels.

We did not have an amount at risk with any counterparty related to our non-centrally cleared interest rate swap and swaption agreements greater than 1% of our stockholders’ equity, as of both September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively.

In the case of centrally cleared interest rate swap contracts, we could be exposed to credit risk if the central clearing agency or a clearing member defaults on its respective obligation to perform under the contract; however, the risk is considered minimal due to initial and daily exchange of mark to market margin requirements and the clearinghouse guarantee fund and other resources that are available in the event of a clearing member default.



21



Note 8. Offsetting Assets and Liabilities

Certain of our repurchase agreements and derivative transactions are governed by underlying agreements that generally provide for a right of setoff under master netting arrangements (or similar agreements), including in the event of default or in the event of bankruptcy of either party to the transactions.  We present our assets and liabilities subject to such arrangements on a gross basis in our consolidated balance sheets.  The following tables present information about our assets and liabilities that are subject to such agreements and can potentially be offset on our consolidated balance sheets as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (in thousands):

Offsetting of Financial Assets and Derivative Assets:
 
 
Gross Amounts of Recognized Assets
 
Gross Amounts Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
Net Amounts Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
Gross Amounts Not Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial Instruments
 
Collateral Received (2)
 
Net Amount
September 30, 2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps and swaptions (1)
 
$
133,396

 
$

 
$
133,396

 
$
(16,419
)
 
$
(103,844
)
 
$
13,133

Receivable under reverse repurchase agreements
 

 

 

 

 

 

Total
 
$
133,396

 
$

 
$
133,396

 
$
(16,419
)
 
$
(103,844
)
 
$
13,133

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps and swaptions (1)
 
$
22,463

 
$

 
$
22,463

 
$
(13,250
)
 
$

 
$
9,213

Receivable under reverse repurchase agreements
 
418,888

 

 
418,888

 
(418,888
)
 

 

Total
 
$
441,351

 
$

 
$
441,351

 
$
(432,138
)
 
$

 
$
9,213


Offsetting of Financial Liabilities and Derivative Liabilities:
 
 
Gross Amounts of Recognized Liabilities
 
Gross Amounts Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
Net Amounts Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
Gross Amounts Not Offset in the Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial Instruments
 
Collateral Pledged (2)
 
Net Amount
September 30, 2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps (1)
 
$
22,614

 
$

 
$
22,614

 
$
(16,419
)
 
$
(6,195
)
 
$

Repurchase agreements
 
9,248,346

 

 
9,248,346

 

 
(9,248,346
)
 

Total
 
$
9,270,960

 
$

 
$
9,270,960

 
$
(16,419
)
 
$
(9,254,541
)
 
$

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps (1)
 
$
60,188

 
$

 
$
60,188

 
$
(13,250
)
 
$
(46,938
)
 
$

Repurchase agreements
 
6,245,791

 

 
6,245,791

 
(418,888
)
 
(5,826,903
)
 

Total
 
$
6,305,979

 
$

 
$
6,305,979

 
$
(432,138
)
 
$
(5,873,841
)
 
$

————————
(1)
Reported under derivative assets / liabilities, at fair value in the accompanying consolidated balance sheets. Refer to Note 7 for a reconciliation of derivative assets / liabilities, at fair value to their sub-components.
(2)
Includes cash and securities received / pledged as collateral, at fair value. Amounts presented are limited to collateral pledged sufficient to reduce the net amount to zero on a counterparty by counterparty basis, as applicable. Refer to Notes 4 and 5 for additional information regarding assets pledged as collateral.
Note 9. Fair Value Measurements
We have elected the option to account for all of our financial assets, including mortgage-backed securities, at fair value, with changes in fair value reflected in income during the period in which they occur. We have determined that this presentation

22



most appropriately represents our financial results and position. Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date, based on the assumptions market participants would use when pricing an asset or liability.
We determine the fair value of our agency and non-agency securities, including securities held as collateral, based upon fair value estimates obtained from multiple third-party pricing services and dealers. In determining fair value, third-party pricing sources use various valuation approaches, including market and income approaches. Factors used by third-party sources in estimating the fair value of an instrument may include observable inputs such as recent trading activity, credit data, volatility statistics, and other market data that are current as of the measurement date. The availability of observable inputs can vary by instrument and is affected by a wide variety of factors, including the type of instrument, whether the instrument is new and not yet established in the marketplace and other characteristics particular to the instrument. Third-party pricing sources may also use certain unobservable inputs, such as assumptions of future levels of prepayment, default and loss severity, especially when estimating fair values for securities with lower levels of recent trading activity. When possible, we make inquiries of third-party pricing sources to understand their use of significant inputs and assumptions.
We review the various third-party fair value estimates and perform procedures to validate their reasonableness, including an analysis of the range of third-party estimates for each position, comparison to recent trade activity for similar securities, and our Manager's review for consistency with market conditions observed as of the measurement date. While we do not adjust prices we obtain from third-party pricing sources, we will exclude third-party prices for securities from our determination of fair value if we determine (based on our validation procedures and our Manager's market knowledge and expertise) that the price is significantly different than observable market data would indicate and we cannot obtain an understanding from the third party source as to the significant inputs used to determine the price.
We utilize a three-level valuation hierarchy for disclosure of fair value measurement. The valuation hierarchy is based upon the transparency of inputs to the valuation of an asset or liability as of the measurement date. A financial instrument’s categorization within the hierarchy is based upon the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. We use the results of the validation procedures described above as part of our determination of the appropriate fair value measurement hierarchy classification. The three levels of hierarchy are defined as follows:
Level 1 Inputs -    Quoted prices (unadjusted) for identical unrestricted assets and liabilities in active markets that are accessible at the measurement date.
Level 2 Inputs -    Quoted prices for similar assets and liabilities in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and model-derived valuations whose inputs are observable or whose significant value drivers are observable.
Level 3 Inputs -    Significant unobservable market inputs that are supported by little or no market activity. The unobservable inputs represent the assumptions that market participants would use to price the assets and liabilities.
The following tables present our financial instruments carried at fair value as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, on the consolidated balance sheets by the valuation hierarchy, as described above (in thousands):
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency securities
 
$

 
$
8,397,883

 
$

 
$
8,397,883

Non-agency securities
 

 
778,637

 
149,277

 
927,914

U.S. Treasury securities
 
855,815

 

 

 
855,815

Derivative assets
 

 
154,510

 

 
154,510

Total financial assets
 
$
855,815

 
$
9,331,030

 
$
149,277

 
$
10,336,122

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivative liabilities
 
$

 
$
99,480

 
$

 
$
99,480

Total financial liabilities
 
$

 
$
99,480

 
$

 
$
99,480


23



 
 
December 31, 2012
 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency securities
 
$

 
$
6,367,042

 
$

 
$
6,367,042

Non-agency securities
 

 
585,734

 
95,669

 
681,403

Derivative assets
 

 
23,043

 

 
23,043

Total financial assets
 
$

 
$
6,975,819

 
$
95,669

 
$
7,071,488

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivative liabilities
 
$

 
$
63,726

 
$

 
$
63,726

Obligation to return securities borrowed under repurchase agreements
 
421,077

 

 

 
421,077

Total financial liabilities
 
$
421,077

 
$
63,726

 
$

 
$
484,803

The following tables present a summary of the changes in fair value for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 of Level 3 assets carried at fair value as of September 30, 2013 and 2012 (in thousands):
 
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2013
 
 
Non-Agency Securities
Balance as of December 31, 2012
 
$
95,669

 
 
 
Unrealized gain
 
10,073

Unrealized loss
 
(6,971
)
Total unrealized gain, net
 
3,102

 
 
 
Purchases of securities
 
60,115

Sales of securities
 
(6,293
)
Principal repayments on securities
 
(9,010
)
Discount accretion
 
5,694

Balance as of September 30, 2013
 
$
149,277

 
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2012
 
 
Non-Agency Securities
 
Linked Transactions
 
Total
Balance as of December 31, 2011
 
$
5,969

 
$
1,746

 
$
7,715

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized gain
 
9,479

 
827

 
10,306

Unrealized loss
 
(723
)
 

 
(723
)
Total unrealized gain, net
 
8,756

 
827

 
9,583

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Purchases of securities
 
56,124

 

 
56,124

Principal repayments on securities
 
(6,744
)
 
(291
)
 
(7,035
)
Securities recorded upon de-linking of Linked Transactions
 
7,893

 
(7,893
)
 

Net change in borrowings underlying Linked Transactions
 

 
5,445

 
5,445

Discount accretion
 
1,671

 
159

 
1,830

Accrued interest on Linked Transactions
 

 
7

 
7

Balance as of September 30, 2012
 
$
73,669

 
$

 
$
73,669


24



There were no transfers between hierarchy levels during the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012. Unrealized gains and losses on non-agency securities are included in the consolidated statements of operations in the line item unrealized gain (loss) on non-agency securities, net and unrealized gains and losses on Linked Transactions are included on the consolidated statements of operations in the line item unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net.
Our agency securities and Prime, Alt-A and Option-ARM non-agency securities are valued using the various market data described above, which include inputs determined to be observable or whose significant value drivers are observable. Accordingly, our agency securities and Prime, Alt-A and Option-ARM non-agency securities are classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy. While our Subprime non-agency securities are valued using the same process with similar inputs, a significant amount of inputs have been determined to be unobservable due to relatively low levels of market activity and a wider range of external fair value estimates. Accordingly, our Subprime non-agency securities are classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.
The significant unobservable inputs used by external pricing sources in the fair value measurement of our Level 3 non-agency securities include assumptions for underlying loan collateral default rates and loss severities in the event of default, as well as discount rates. As discussed above, we review the various third-party fair value estimates used to determine the fair value of our securities by performing procedures to validate their reasonableness. In reviewing the fair values of our Level 3 non-agency securities, we use internal models and our own estimates of cumulative defaults and loss severities on the loans underlying our Subprime securities to estimate the range of discount rates implied by third-party pricing. The following table presents the range of our estimates of cumulative default and loss severities, together with the discount rates implicit in our Level 3 non-agency security fair values totaling $149.3 million and $95.7 million as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively:
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Unobservable Level 3 Input
 
Minimum
 
Weighted
Average
 
Maximum
 
Minimum
 
Weighted
Average
 
Maximum
Cumulative default percentage
 
40%
 
52%
 
57%
 
62%
 
68%
 
70%
Loss severity
 
55%
 
63%
 
67%
 
44%
 
65%
 
71%
Discount rate
 
3.4%
 
5.7%
 
7.6%
 
4%
 
5%
 
7%
An increase in any one of these individual inputs in isolation would likely result in a decrease in fair value measurement. However, given the interrelationship between loss estimates and the discount rate, overall Subprime non-agency security market conditions would likely have a more significant impact on our Level 3 fair values than changes in any one unobservable input.
The fair value of Linked Transactions is comprised of the fair value of the underlying securities, reduced by the repurchase agreement final settlement amount.  The non-agency securities underlying our Linked Transactions are valued using similar techniques to those used for our other non-agency securities, and as such, Linked Transactions are classified in the fair value hierarchy, based on the classification of the underlying category of non-agency securities.
For information regarding valuation of our derivative instruments, please refer to the discussion of derivative and other hedging instruments in Note 3. Our interest rate swaps and other derivatives are classified as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy.
The fair value of our obligation to return securities borrowed under reverse repurchase agreements is based upon the value of the underlying borrowed U.S. Treasury securities as of the reporting date. Both U.S. Treasury securities and our obligation to return borrowed U.S. Treasury securities are classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy.

25



Note 10. Stockholders’ Equity
Equity Offerings
During the nine months ended September 30, 2013, we issued the following shares of common stock (amounts in thousands except per share amounts):
Public Offering Date
 
Price Received Per Share (1)
 
Number of Shares
 
Net Proceeds (2)
February 2013
 
$
25.40

 
23,000

 
$
583,915

—————— 
(1)
Price received per share is net of underwriters' discount, if applicable.
(2)  
Net Proceeds are net of any underwriters' discount and other offering costs.

Stock Repurchase Program

In October 2012, our Board of Directors adopted a program that provided for stock repurchases of up to $50 million of our outstanding shares of common stock through December 31, 2013. In June 2013, our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $100 million of our outstanding shares of common stock through December 31, 2013. In September 2013, our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $150 million of our outstanding shares of common stock and extended its authorization through December 31, 2014. During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013, we made open market purchases of 3.2 million and 6.1 million shares of our common stock at an average net repurchase price of $19.58 per share and $20.44 per share, or $62.1 million and $124.1 million, respectively. As of September 30, 2013, the total remaining amount authorized for repurchases of our common stock was $169.2 million.

Dividend Reinvestment and Direct Stock Purchase Plan

We sponsor a dividend reinvestment and direct stock purchase plan through which stockholders may purchase additional shares of our common stock by reinvesting some or all of the cash dividends received on shares of our common stock. Stockholders may also make optional cash purchases of shares of our common stock subject to certain limitations detailed in the plan prospectus. We did not issue any shares under the plan during the nine months ended September 30, 2013.


26



Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (“MD&A”) provides readers of American Capital Mortgage Investment Corp.’s (“MTGE”, the “Company”, “we”, “us” and “our”) consolidated financial statements a narrative from the perspective of management, and should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and accompanying notes included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q as well as our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012. Our MD&A is presented in five sections:
Executive Overview
Financial Condition
Results of Operations
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Forward-Looking Statements
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW
We were incorporated in Maryland on March 15, 2011 and commenced operations on August 9, 2011 following the completion of our IPO. We invest in, finance and manage a leveraged portfolio of mortgage-related investments, which we define to include agency mortgage investments, non-agency mortgage investments and other mortgage-related investments. Agency mortgage investments include residential mortgage pass-through certificates and CMOs structured from residential mortgage pass-through certificates for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a GSE, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, or by a U.S. Government agency, such as Ginnie Mae. Non-agency mortgage investments include RMBS backed by residential mortgages that are not guaranteed by a GSE or a U.S. Government agency. Non-agency mortgage investments may also include prime and non-prime residential mortgage loans. Other mortgage-related investments may include CMBS, commercial mortgage loans, mortgage-related derivatives, mortgage servicing rights and other mortgage-related investments.
We operate so as to qualify to be taxed as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As such, we are required to, among other things, distribute annually at least 90% of our taxable net income. As long as we qualify as a REIT, we will generally not be subject to U.S. federal or state corporate taxes on our taxable net income to the extent that we distribute all of our annual taxable net income to our stockholders.
We are externally managed by an affiliate of American Capital and we do not have any employees.
Our Investment Strategy
Our objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to our stockholders over the long-term through a combination of dividends and net book value appreciation. In pursuing this objective, we rely on our Manager's expertise to construct and manage a diversified mortgage investment portfolio by identifying asset classes that, when properly financed and hedged, are selected to produce attractive returns across a variety of market conditions and economic cycles, considering the risks associated with owning such investments. Specifically, our investment strategy is designed to:
manage a leveraged portfolio of mortgage-related investments to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns;
capitalize on discrepancies in the relative valuations in the mortgage-related investments market;
manage financing, interest rate, prepayment rate and credit risks;
preserve our net asset value within reasonable bands;
provide regular quarterly distributions to our stockholders;
qualify as a REIT; and
remain exempt from the requirements of the Investment Company Act, as amended.
The size and composition of our investment portfolio depends on investment strategies implemented by our Manager, the availability of investment capital and overall market conditions, including the availability of attractively priced investments and suitable financing to appropriately leverage our investment portfolio. Market conditions are influenced by, among other things, current levels of and expectations for future levels of, interest rates, mortgage prepayments, market liquidity, housing prices,

27



unemployment rates, general economic conditions, government participation in the mortgage market, evolving regulations or legal settlements that impact servicing practices or other mortgage related activities.
Our Risk Management Strategy  
We use a variety of strategies to economically hedge a portion of our exposure to market risks, including interest rate, prepayment and extension risks, to the extent that our Manager believes is prudent, taking into account our investment strategy, the cost of the hedging transactions and our intention to qualify as a REIT. As a result, we may not hedge certain interest rate, prepayment or extension risks if our Manager believes that bearing such risks enhances our return relative to our risk/return profile, or the hedging transaction would negatively impact our REIT status.
Interest Rate Risk. We hedge some of our exposure to potential interest rate mismatches between the interest we earn on our longer term investments and the interest we pay on our shorter term borrowings. Because a majority of our leverage is in the form of repurchase agreements, our financing costs fluctuate based on short-term interest rate indices, such as LIBOR. Because our investments are assets that primarily have fixed rates of interest and could mature in up to 40 years, the interest we earn on those assets generally does not move in tandem with the interest that we pay on our repurchase agreements. We may experience reduced income or losses based on these rate movements. In order to attempt to mitigate a portion of such risk, we utilize certain hedging techniques to attempt to lock in a portion of the net interest spread between the interest we earn on our assets and the interest we pay on our financing costs.
Additionally, because prepayments on residential mortgages generally accelerate when interest rates decrease and slow when interest rates increase, mortgage securities typically have "negative convexity." In other words, certain mortgage securities in which we invest may increase in price more slowly than similar duration bonds, or even fall in value, as interest rates decline. Conversely, certain mortgage securities in which we invest may decrease in value more quickly than similar duration bonds as interest rates increase. In order to manage this risk, we monitor, among other things, the "duration gap" between our mortgage assets and our hedge portfolio as well as our convexity exposure. Duration is the estimated percentage change in market value of our mortgage assets or hedge portfolio that would be caused by a parallel change in short and long-term interest rates. Convexity exposure relates to the way the duration of our mortgage assets and our hedge portfolio changes when the interest rate and prepayment environment changes.
The value of our mortgage assets may also be adversely impacted by fluctuations in the shape of the yield curve or by changes in the market's expectation about the volatility of future interest rates. We analyze our exposure to non-parallel changes in interest rates and to changes in the market's expectation of future interest rate volatility and take actions to attempt to mitigate these risks.
Prepayment Risk. Because residential borrowers are able to prepay their mortgage loans at par at any time, we face the risk that we will experience a return of principal on our investments faster than anticipated. Prepayment risk generally increases when interest rates decline. In this scenario, our financial results may be adversely affected as we may have to invest that principal at potentially lower yields.
Extension Risk. Because residential borrowers have the option to make only scheduled payments on their mortgage loans, rather than prepay their mortgage loans, we face the risk that a return of capital on our investment will occur slower than anticipated. Extension risk generally increases when interest rates rise. In this scenario, our financial results may be adversely affected as we may have to finance our investments at potentially higher costs without the ability to reinvest principal into higher yielding securities.
The principal instruments that we use to hedge a portion of our exposure to interest rate, prepayment and extension risks are interest rate swaps and interest rate swaptions. We also may purchase or sell TBAs, specified agency securities on a forward basis, U.S. Treasury securities and U.S. Treasury futures contracts; purchase or write put or call options on TBA securities; and invest in other types of mortgage derivatives, such as interest-only securities.
Our hedging instruments are generally not designed to protect our net book value from "spread risk" (also referred to as "basis risk"), which is the risk of an increase of the market spread between the yield on our agency and non-agency securities and benchmark interest rates. The inherent spread risk associated with our agency and non-agency securities and the resulting fluctuations in fair value of these securities can occur independent of interest rates and may relate to other factors impacting the mortgage and fixed income markets, such as actual or anticipated monetary policy actions by the Federal Reserve, liquidity, or changes in required rates of return on different assets. Consequently, while we use interest rate swaps and other supplemental hedges to attempt to protect our net book value against moves in interest rates, such instruments typically will not protect our net book value against spread risk. As such, the value of our agency and non-agency securities and our net book value could decline.

28



The risk management actions we take may lower our earnings and dividends in the short term to further our objective of maintaining attractive levels of earnings and dividends over the long term. In addition, some of our hedges are intended to provide protection against larger rate moves and as a result may be relatively ineffective for smaller changes in interest rates. There can be no certainty that our Manager's projections of our exposures to interest rates, prepayments, extension or other risks will be accurate or that our hedging activities will be effective and, therefore, actual results could differ materially.
Income from hedging transactions that we enter into to manage risk may not constitute qualifying gross income under one or both of the gross income tests applicable to REITs. Therefore, we may have to limit our use of certain advantageous hedging techniques, which could expose us to greater risks than we would otherwise want to bear, or implement those hedges through a taxable REIT subsidiary ("TRS"). Implementing our hedges through a TRS could increase the cost of our hedging activities because a TRS is subject to tax on income and gains.
Trends and Recent Market Impacts
On September 13, 2012, the Federal Reserve ("Fed") announced their third quantitative easing program, commonly known as QE3, and extended their guidance to keep the federal funds rate at exceptionally low levels through at least mid-2015. QE3 entails large-scale purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") generally at the pace of $40 billion per month in addition to the Fed's existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency MBS into new agency MBS purchases. The program is open-ended in nature, and is intended to put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates, support mortgage markets, and help make the broader financial conditions more accommodative. The Fed plans to continue their purchases of agency MBS and employ other policy tools, as appropriate, until they foresee substantial improvement in the outlook for the U.S. labor market.
The Fed's purchases have been concentrated in newly-issued, fixed-rate agency MBS (i.e., the part of the mortgage market with the greatest impact on mortgage rates offered to borrowers). The Fed purchased an average of approximately $70 billion in agency securities per month during the first three quarters of 2013, representing nearly half of the average monthly gross issuance of fixed-rate agency MBS over this period.
The Fed's participation in the MBS market has affected asset prices and put downward pressure on net interest margins. The unpredictability and size of QE3 has further injected volatility into the pricing and availability of certain MBS assets. Following the Fed's announcement of QE3, mortgage spreads relative to U.S. Treasury securities and interest rate swaps narrowed sharply and prices across the agency MBS spectrum rose to near historical highs, with specified pre-payment protected MBS significantly outperforming generic MBS as investors were focused on pre-payment protection. By early 2013, mortgage spreads had retracted some of their decline, but remained well below their historical average with both specified and generic MBS prices remaining at or near historical highs. However, during the first quarter of 2013, investor perceptions around the future of monetary policy began to shift as concerns grew around the timing and impact of the Fed's eventual withdrawal from the mortgage market. These concerns, combined with generally stronger economic data, pushed interest rates higher and mortgage spreads returned to near pre-QE3 levels by the end of the second quarter. Price premiums (or "pay-ups" over generic MBS prices) on specified pools of securities with favorable prepayment attributes also declined during the period, as investor sentiment shifted from prepayment concerns to extension risk and "up rate" protection. The third quarter, although ending with prices and rates largely unchanged relative to the end of June 2013, experienced significant intra-quarter volatility in both interest rates and spreads as employment reports fell short of expectations and the Fed decided not to commence tapering during its September 2013 Federal Open Market Committee meeting, contrary to earlier predictions. With tapering expectations shifting to sometime between December 2013 and the second half of 2014, the near term outlook for the agency MBS market was increasingly uncertain by the end of the third quarter.
Given ongoing uncertainties related to the U.S. economic outlook, the timing of changes to QE3 and the actions of U.S. government policy makers, we expect the agency MBS market will continue to experience significant volatility. Consequently, throughout the first three quarters of 2013, we took actions to rebalance the composition of our asset portfolio toward lower duration assets, such as 15-year fixed-rate MBS, which are less sensitive to changes in interest rates and mortgage spreads and provide greater capacity to redeploy cash flows into higher yielding assets over the intermediate to longer term (two to five years) in a post QE3 higher rate environment. In addition, with the near term outlook uncertain, we continue to prioritize risk management over short-term returns. As of September 30, 2013, we lowered our "at risk" leverage ratio, inclusive of our net TBA position, to 5.7x our stockholders' equity and continued to maintain a large hedge portfolio relative to pre-QE3 levels. As of September 30, 2013, our hedges, consisting of interest rate swaps, swaptions and U.S. Treasury positions represented 88% of our repurchase agreements and net TBA position. This hedge ratio was moderately lower than our June 30, 2013 hedge ratio of 106%. We were comfortable operating with a slightly lower hedge ratio and slightly larger duration gap at the end of the third quarter due to the lower risk profile of our assets, the significant extension risk protection provided by our swaption portfolio and the relatively lower level of operating leverage.

29



Collectively, we believe our actions will provide us with greater book value protection in a rising rate environment. However, in the event that interest rates decline, as of September 30, 2013, we continued to hold 75% of our fixed-rate mortgage assets (or 94% inclusive of our net short TBA position) in pre-payment protected securities (i.e., securities backed by original loan balances of up to $150,000, referred to as "lower loan balance securities", and securities backed by 100% refinance loans with original loan-to-value ratios of at least 80% originated under HARP, referred to as "HARP securities"). Substantially all of our pre-payment protected securities as of September 30, 2013 were deliverable into TBA contracts and, therefore, had largely the same liquidity profile as generic agency securities. Further, our pre-payment protected securities had a weighted average pay-up across our fixed-rate assets, inclusive of our net TBA position, of approximately 0.14% as of September 30, 2013. Therefore, if pay-ups had declined to zero, it would have resulted in less than a 1% decline in our net asset value as of September 30, 2013. For further details of our portfolio composition as of September 30, 2013 refer to Financial Condition below.
Because our primary focus in the current market environment is to prioritize protecting our net asset value and longer term earnings potential over short term returns, we expect that the combination of portfolio rebalancing actions and maintaining a large hedge ratio will result in lower net spread income (net interest income, less periodic costs on interest rate swaps and operating expenses) over the short to intermediate-term.
The table below summarizes interest rates and prices for generic agency MBS as of the end of each respective quarter since September 30, 2012.
Interest Rate / Security (1)
 
September 30, 2013
 
June 30, 2013
 
March 31, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
 
September 30, 2012
LIBOR:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1-Month
 
0.18%
 
0.19%
 
0.20%
 
0.21%
 
0.21%
3-Month
 
0.25%
 
0.27%
 
0.28%
 
0.31%
 
0.36%
U.S. Treasury Securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2-Year U.S. Treasury
 
0.32%
 
0.36%
 
0.24%
 
0.25%
 
0.23%
5-Year U.S. Treasury
 
1.38%
 
1.39%
 
0.77%
 
0.72%
 
0.63%
10-Year U.S. Treasury
 
2.61%
 
2.49%
 
1.85%
 
1.76%
 
1.63%
Interest Rate Swap Rates:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2-Year Swap Rate
 
0.46%
 
0.51%
 
0.42%
 
0.39%
 
0.37%
5-Year Swap Rate
 
1.54%
 
1.57%
 
0.95%
 
0.86%
 
0.76%
10-Year Swap Rate
 
2.77%
 
2.70%
 
2.01%
 
1.84%
 
1.70%
30-Year Fixed Rate MBS Price:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.5%
 
$101.83
 
$101.50
 
$105.58
 
$106.66
 
$107.25
4.0%
 
$104.86
 
$104.16
 
$106.61
 
$107.22
 
$107.75
4.5%
 
$106.80
 
$105.82
 
$107.73
 
$108.03
 
$108.25
15-Year Fixed Rate MBS Price:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.5%
 
$100.61
 
$100.45
 
$103.75
 
$104.61
 
$105.13
3.0%
 
$103.53
 
$102.82
 
$105.17
 
$105.61
 
$106.00
3.5%
 
$105.58
 
$104.20
 
$106.03
 
$106.14
 
$106.41
 ________________________
(1) 
Price information is for generic instruments only and is not reflective of our specific portfolio holdings. Price information can vary by source. Prices in the table above were obtained from a combination of Bloomberg and dealer indications. Interest rates were obtained from Bloomberg.


30



The table below summarizes pay-ups on specified pools over the corresponding generic agency MBS as of the end of each respective quarter for a select sample of specified securities. Price information provided in the table below is for illustrative purposes only and is not meant to be reflective of our specific portfolio holdings. Actual pay-ups are dependent on specific securities held in our portfolio and prices can vary depending on the source.
Pay-ups on Specified Mortgage Pools over Generic TBA Price (1)(2)
 
September 30, 2013
 
June 30, 2013
 
March 31, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
 
September 30, 2012
30-Year Lower Loan Balance (3):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.0%
 
$
0.03

 
$

 
$
0.13

 
$
0.69

 
$
0.09

3.5%
 
$
0.22

 
$
0.22

 
$
0.91

 
$
1.64

 
$
1.02

4.0%
 
$
0.70

 
$
0.91

 
$
3.28

 
$
4.19

 
$
3.45

30-Year HARP (4):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.0%
 
$

 
$

 
$
0.07

 
$
0.47

 
$
0.06

3.5%
 
$
0.03

 
$
0.16

 
$
0.70

 
$
1.52

 
$
1.00

4.0%
 
$
0.21

 
$
0.59

 
$
2.85

 
$
4.06

 
$
3.25

 ________________________
(1) 
Source: Bloomberg and dealer indications
(2) 
"Pay-ups” represent the value of the price premium of specified securities over generic TBA pools. The table above includes pay-ups for newly originated
specified pools. Price information is provided for information only and is not meant to be reflective of our specific portfolio holdings. Prices can vary
materially depending on the source.
(3) 
Lower loan balance pay-ups for pools with original loan balances from $85,000 to $110,000
(4) 
HARP pay-ups for pools backed by 100% refinance loans with original loan-to-value ratios between 95% and 100%

The following table summarizes recent prepayment trends for our agency investment portfolio for the nine months ended September 30, 2013.
 
 
Agency Portfolio Actual CPR (1)
January
 
6%
February
 
6%
March
 
7%
April
 
6%
May
 
7%
June
 
9%
July
 
8%
August
 
6%
September
 
6%
_______________________
(1) 
Weighted average actual one-month annualized Conditional Prepayment Rate ("CPR") released at the beginning of the month based on securities held as of the preceding month-end.

The market for legacy non-agency securities continued to perform well through May 2013, as positive developments in the U.S. housing market coupled with limited supply and strong demand provided a firm foundation. However, during June 2013 non-agency securities pricing fell significantly due to concerns over potential monetary policy changes and significant bond fund outflows. During the third quarter, the non-agency market was relatively stable, as limited supply and continued positive momentum in the housing market kept assets in demand despite the broader volatility in the interest rate market. Legacy non-agency securities continued to pay down but there was not a material supply of new non-agency securitizations. While there has indeed been an increase in new issuances this year, the overall amount was small and that market remains challenged particularly in the current environment where securitization economics are not competitive with whole loan execution.
Looking forward, however, there are a few developments that could lead to increased non-agency MBS issuance in the medium to long term. Regulatory clarity will help alleviate some issuer uncertainty, particularly around risk retention, leading to more non-agency MBS origination in general. New supply may also result from any potential reduction in FHFA loan limits

31



in the near term, although changes to these limits are expected to be gradual. There has also been increased activity in the securitization of legacy loans, both nonperforming and re-performing, and this trend is expected to continue. Finally, the GSEs have each executed a risk sharing transaction and are expected to continue with these programs as well as other mechanisms to share risk with the private sector.
While these developments should help increase participation of the private sector in mortgage finance over the next year, we expect significant change to remain relatively slow.
Strategic Initiatives
During the third quarter, a wholly-owned subsidiary of MTGE signed definitive documentation to acquire Residential Credit Solutions, Inc. (“RCS”), a servicer of mortgage loans based in Fort Worth, Texas. RCS has also obtained approvals from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae to hold and manage mortgage servicing rights. Subject to the satisfaction of the closing conditions set forth in the definitive documentation including regulatory approval, we anticipate consummating the transaction in the fourth quarter of 2013.
Summary of Critical Accounting Estimates

Our critical accounting estimates relate to the fair value of our investments and derivatives and recognition of interest income. Certain of these items involve estimates that require management to make judgments that are subjective in nature. We rely on our Manager's experience and analysis of historical and current market data in order to arrive at what we believe to be reasonable estimates. Under different conditions, we could report materially different amounts using these critical accounting policies. All of our critical accounting policies are fully described in our MD&A in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012. Our significant accounting policies are described in Note 3 to the consolidated financial statements included under Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

We have elected the option to account for all of our financial assets, including all mortgage-related investments, at fair value, with changes in fair value reflected in income during the period in which they occur. We believe this election more appropriately reflects the results of our operations for a particular reporting period, as financial asset fair value changes are presented in a manner consistent with the presentation and timing of the fair value changes of economic hedging instruments.

FINANCIAL CONDITION
As of September 30, 2013, our investment portfolio with a fair value of $7.7 billion consisted of $8.4 billion of agency MBS, $(1.6) billion in net short TBA positions, and $927.9 million of non-agency securities. Our investment portfolio grew $0.7 billion from $7.0 billion as of December 31, 2012 following the completion of a follow-on public offering of 23.0 million shares of our common stock for net proceeds of $583.9 million.
The table below presents our condensed consolidated balance sheets as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands, except per share amounts): 
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012

Balance Sheet Data:
 
 
 
 
Total agency and non-agency securities
 
$
9,325,797

 
$
7,048,445

Total assets
 
$
10,809,865

 
$
7,696,140

Repurchase agreements
 
$
9,248,346

 
$
6,245,791

Total liabilities
 
$
9,626,528

 
$
6,770,578

Total stockholders’ equity
 
$
1,183,337

 
$
925,562

Net asset value per common share
 
$
22.37

 
$
25.74


32



The following tables summarize certain characteristics of our securities portfolio by issuer and investment category as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):

 
September 30, 2013
  
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost Basis
 
Par Value
 
Weighted Average
Coupon
 
Yield (1)
Fannie Mae

$
6,883,141


$
7,002,039


$
6,702,758


3.36
%

2.62
%
Freddie Mac

1,480,484


1,515,627


1,443,823


3.45
%

2.72
%
Ginnie Mae
 
34,258

 
33,755

 
33,000

 
3.00
%
 
2.63
%
Agency total

8,397,883


8,551,421


8,179,581


3.37
%

2.64
%
Non-agency securities

927,914


856,915


1,472,299


1.41
%

7.05
%
Total

$
9,325,797


$
9,408,336


$
9,651,880


3.07
%

3.04
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2012
 
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost Basis
 
Par Value
 
Weighted Average
 
 
Coupon
 
Yield (1)
Fannie Mae
 
$
5,325,187

 
$
5,211,321

 
$
4,939,592

 
3.40
%
 
2.42
%
Freddie Mac
 
1,041,855

 
1,018,449

 
965,074

 
3.57
%
 
2.65
%
Agency total
 
6,367,042

 
6,229,770

 
5,904,666

 
3.43
%
 
2.46
%
Non-agency securities
 
681,403

 
616,707

 
1,045,891

 
1.70
%
 
7.47
%
Total
 
$
7,048,445

 
$
6,846,477

 
$
6,950,557

 
3.17
%
 
2.91
%
 
————————
(1) 
The weighted average agency security yield incorporates an average future CPR assumption of 7% and 9% as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively, based on forward rates. For non-agency securities, the weighted average yield is based on estimated cash flows that incorporate expected credit losses.


33



Agency Securities
As detailed in the tables below, the weighted average agency security portfolio yield increased by 18 basis points, while weighted average projected CPR decreased by approximately 200 basis points from December 31, 2012 to September 30, 2013. These changes were consistent with the significant increase in mortgage interest rates, and our rebalancing of the agency securities portfolio. The following table summarizes certain characteristics of our agency securities portfolio by term and coupon as of September 30, 2013 (dollars in thousands):
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost Basis
 
Par Value
 
Weighted Average
 
 
Yield
 
Projected CPR
Fixed rate
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
≤ 15-year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.5%
 
$
844,319

 
$
862,742

 
$
838,395

 
1.91
%
 
7
%
3.0%
 
849,587

 
847,965

 
821,573

 
2.30
%
 
8
%
3.5%
 
1,021,099

 
1,011,086

 
966,355

 
2.45
%
 
9
%
4.0%
 
278,079

 
278,489

 
260,340

 
2.30
%
 
10
%
4.5%
 
22,328

 
22,407

 
20,942

 
2.71
%
 
11
%
15-year total
 
3,015,412

 
3,022,689

 
2,907,605

 
2.24
%
 
8
%
20-year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.0%
 
76,073

 
79,119

 
75,963

 
2.35
%
 
6
%
3.5%
 
67,462

 
67,188

 
65,142

 
2.94
%
 
7
%
4.0%
 
6,544

 
6,533

 
6,170

 
2.88
%
 
8
%
5.0%
 
2,949

 
3,046

 
2,722

 
2.43
%
 
12
%
20-year total
 
153,028

 
155,886

 
149,997

 
2.63
%
 
7
%
30-year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.0%
 
591,687

 
604,455

 
605,296

 
3.01
%
 
5
%
3.5%
 
3,029,666

 
3,141,730

 
2,974,453

 
2.78
%
 
6
%
4.0%
 
1,020,259

 
1,042,677

 
972,889

 
3.01
%
 
7
%
4.5%
 
98,770

 
99,138

 
91,964

 
3.39
%
 
7
%
5.0%
 
40,358

 
40,473

 
37,089

 
3.46
%
 
10
%
30-year total
 
4,780,740

 
4,928,473

 
4,681,691

 
2.87
%
 
6
%
Total fixed rate securities
 
7,949,180

 
8,107,048

 
7,739,293

 
2.63
%
 
7
%
Adjustable rate securities
 
448,703

 
444,373

 
440,288

 
2.74
%
 
13
%
Total agency securities
 
$
8,397,883

 
$
8,551,421

 
$
8,179,581

 
2.64
%
 
7
%

34



The percentage of our fixed-rate agency securities portfolio allocated to HARP and lower loan balance securities was 75% (not including our net short TBA position) as of September 30, 2013 (dollars in thousands):
 
 
September 30, 2013
  
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost Basis
 
Par Value
 
Weighted Average
Coupon
 
Yield
 
Projected CPR
HARP (1)
 
$
2,733,724

 
$
2,805,085

 
$
2,656,647

 
3.61
%
 
2.84
%
 
7
%
Lower Loan Balance (2)
 
3,217,370

 
3,281,911

 
3,118,510

 
3.43
%
 
2.58
%
 
7
%
Other
 
1,998,086

 
2,020,052

 
1,964,136

 
3.05
%
 
2.44
%
 
7
%
Total fixed rate securities
 
7,949,180

 
8,107,048

 
7,739,293

 
3.40
%
 
2.63
%
 
7
%
Adjustable rate securities
 
448,703

 
444,373

 
440,288

 
2.91
%
 
2.74
%
 
13
%
Total agency securities
 
$
8,397,883

 
$
8,551,421

 
$
8,179,581

 
3.37
%
 
2.64
%
 
7
%
————————
(1)
HARP securities represent pools with loans refinanced under HARP that have original loan-to-value ratios greater than or equal to 80%. Our HARP securities had a weighted average LTV of 102% and 99% for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, as of September 30, 2013. Includes $553 million of >105% LTV pools which are not deliverable into TBA securities.
(2)
Lower loan balance securities represent pools with maximum original loan balances less than or equal to $150,000. Our lower loan balance securities had a weighted average original loan balance of $99,803 and $90,690 for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, as of September 30, 2013.


35



The following table summarizes certain characteristics of our agency securities portfolio by term and coupon as of December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
 
 
December 31, 2012
 
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost Basis
 
Par Value
 
Weighted Average
 
 
Yield
 
Projected CPR
≤ 15-year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.5%
 
$
1,172,193

 
$
1,165,844

 
$
1,119,368

 
1.59
%
 
10
%
3.0%
 
341,883

 
333,689

 
320,239

 
2.04
%
 
10
%
3.5%
 
348,478

 
338,364

 
324,261

 
2.36
%
 
13
%
4.0%
 
324,555

 
319,339

 
299,077

 
2.14
%
 
14
%
4.5%
 
21,860

 
21,404

 
20,004

 
2.63
%
 
13
%
15-year total
 
2,208,969

 
2,178,640

 
2,082,949

 
1.87
%
 
11
%
20-year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.0%
 
64,642

 
64,667

 
61,355

 
2.20
%
 
7
%
3.5%
 
85,218

 
82,404

 
79,112

 
2.63
%
 
11
%
4.0%
 
8,840

 
8,619

 
8,230

 
2.68
%
 
17
%
5.0%
 
3,530

 
3,648

 
3,282

 
2.30
%
 
15
%
20-year total
 
162,230

 
159,338

 
151,979

 
2.40
%
 
10
%
30-year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.0%
 
279,669

 
279,470

 
265,647

 
2.36
%
 
6
%
3.5%
 
2,113,307

 
2,063,030

 
1,956,547

 
2.74
%
 
8
%
4.0%
 
1,429,633

 
1,381,735

 
1,291,383

 
2.90
%
 
9
%
4.5%
 
122,856

 
118,314

 
110,574

 
3.29
%
 
10
%
5.0%
 
50,378

 
49,243

 
45,587

 
3.27
%
 
14
%
30-year total
 
3,995,843

 
3,891,792

 
3,669,738

 
2.79
%
 
8
%
Total Agency Securities
 
$
6,367,042

 
$
6,229,770

 
$
5,904,666

 
2.46
%
 
9
%
The percentage of our agency securities portfolio allocated to HARP and lower loan balance securities was 83% as of December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):

 
 
December 31, 2012
  
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized Cost Basis
 
Par Value
 
Weighted Average
Coupon
 
Yield
 
Projected CPR
HARP (1)
 
$
2,061,693

 
$
2,011,805

 
$
1,898,416

 
3.63
%
 
2.71
%
 
9
%
Lower Loan Balance (2)
 
3,222,159

 
3,142,014

 
2,974,055

 
3.55
%
 
2.54
%
 
9
%
Other
 
1,083,190

 
1,075,951

 
1,032,195

 
2.69
%
 
1.78
%
 
11
%
Total
 
$
6,367,042

 
$
6,229,770

 
$
5,904,666

 
3.43
%
 
2.46
%
 
9
%
————————
(1)
HARP securities represent pools with loans refinanced under HARP that have original loan-to-value ratios greater than or equal to 80%. Our HARP securities had a weighted average LTV of 94% and 109% for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, as of December 31, 2012.
(2)
Lower loan balance securities represent pools with maximum original loan balances less than or equal to $150,000. Our lower loan balance securities had a weighted average original loan balance of $98,000 and $97,000 for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, as of December 31, 2012.

36



The following table summarizes our agency securities at fair value according to their estimated weighted average life classifications as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands): 

September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Weighted Average Life
Fair
Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Weighted Average Coupon
 
Fair
Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Weighted Average Coupon
Less than or equal to three years
$
402

 
$
395

 
1.52
%
 
3.50
%
 
$

 
$

 
%
 
%
Greater than three years and less than or equal to five years
1,545,308

 
1,534,975

 
2.42
%
 
3.48
%
 
1,759,226

 
1,731,178

 
1.94
%
 
3.09
%
Greater than five years and less than or equal to 10 years
5,982,873

 
6,123,688

 
2.65
%
 
3.37
%
 
4,484,509

 
4,375,925

 
2.66
%
 
3.57
%
Greater than 10 years
869,300

 
892,363

 
2.96
%
 
3.17
%
 
123,307

 
122,667

 
2.52
%
 
3.12
%
Total
$
8,397,883

 
$
8,551,421

 
2.64
%
 
3.37
%
 
$
6,367,042

 
$
6,229,770

 
2.46
%
 
3.43
%
Actual maturities of agency MBS are generally shorter than stated contractual maturities primarily as a result of prepayments of principal of the underlying mortgages. The stated contractual final maturity of the mortgage loans underlying our portfolio of securities can range up to 40 years, but the expected maturity is subject to change based on the actual and expected future prepayments of the underlying mortgage loans.
In determining the estimated weighted average years to maturity and yields on our agency MBS, we estimate the percentage of outstanding principal that is expected to be prepaid over a period of time on an annualized basis, or CPR, based on assumptions for each security using a combination of a third-party service, market data and internal models. The third-party service estimates prepayment speeds using models that incorporate the forward yield curve, mortgage rates, current mortgage rates of the outstanding loans, loan age, volatility and other factors. We have estimated that the CPR over the remaining life of our aggregate agency investment portfolio was 7% and 9% as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. Based on these prepayment assumptions, the weighted average expected life of our agency securities was 7.7 years and 7.0 years as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. We amortize or accrete premiums and discounts associated with purchases of our agency MBS into interest income over the estimated life of our securities based on projected CPRs, using the effective yield method. Since the weighted average cost basis of our agency MBS portfolio was 104.5% of par value as of September 30, 2013, slower actual or projected prepayments can have a meaningful positive impact on our asset yields, while faster actual or projected prepayments can have a meaningful negative impact on our asset yields.


37



TBA Investments
As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we had contracts to purchase (“long position”) and sell (“short position”) TBA securities on a forward basis. The following tables summarize our net long and short TBA positions as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
 
Notional Amount (1)
 
Cost Basis (2)
 
Market
Value
(3)
 
Net Carrying Value (4)
 
 
 
15- Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.5%
 
$
(77,940
)
 
$
(73,339
)
 
$
(78,415
)
 
$
(5,076
)
3.0%
 
(591,395
)
 
(596,953
)
 
(611,585
)
 
(14,632
)
3.5%
 
220,000

 
230,146

 
232,271

 
2,125

Subtotal
 
(449,335
)
 
(440,146
)
 
(457,729
)
 
(17,583
)
30-Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.0%
 
(125,815
)
 
(120,379
)
 
(122,668
)
 
(2,289
)
3.5%
 
(1,613,200
)
 
(1,591,367
)
 
(1,638,946
)
 
(47,579
)
4.0%
 
505,500

 
517,718

 
529,353

 
11,635

4.5%
 
75,000

 
77,293

 
80,100

 
2,807

Subtotal
 
(1,158,515
)
 
(1,116,735
)
 
(1,152,161
)
 
(35,426
)
Portfolio total
 
$
(1,607,850
)
 
$
(1,556,881
)
 
$
(1,609,890
)
 
$
(53,009
)
 
 
December 31, 2012
 
 
Notional Amount (1)
 
Cost Basis (2)
 
Market
Value
(3)
 
Net Carrying Value (4)
 
 
 
15- Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.5%
 
$
182,600

 
$
190,437

 
$
191,017

 
$
580

3.0%
 
(68,300
)
 
(72,035
)
 
(72,131
)
 
(96
)
Subtotal
 
114,300

 
118,402

 
118,886

 
484

30-Year
 
 
 
 
 


 

3.0%
 
572,134

 
600,067

 
599,075

 
(992
)
3.5%
 
(735,122
)
 
(783,041
)
 
(783,869
)
 
(828
)
4.0%
 
(473,500
)
 
(505,246
)
 
(506,868
)
 
(1,622
)
Subtotal
 
(636,488
)
 
(688,220
)
 
(691,662
)
 
(3,442
)
Portfolio total
 
$
(522,188
)
 
$
(569,818
)
 
$
(572,776
)
 
$
(2,958
)
————————
(1)
Notional amount represents the par value or principal balance of the underlying agency securities.
(2)
Cost basis represents the forward price to be paid for the underlying agency securities.
(3)
Market value represents the current market value of the agency securities underlying the TBA contracts as of period-end.
(4)
Net carrying value represents the difference between the market value of the TBA contract as of period-end and the cost basis and is reported in derivative assets / (liabilities), at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.


38



Non-Agency Investments
Non-agency MBS yields are based on our estimate of the timing and amount of future cash flows and our cost basis. Our cash flow estimates for these investments are based on our observations of current information and events and include assumptions related to interest rates, prepayment rates and the timing and amount of credit losses and other factors.
The following tables summarize our non-agency securities portfolio as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
September 30, 2013
 
 
Fair
  Value
 
Gross Unrealized
 
Amortized Cost
 
Discount
 
Par/ Current Face
 
Weighted Average
Category
 
 
Gains
 
Losses
 
 
 
 
Coupon (1)
 
Yield
Prime (2)
 
$
177,915

 
$
13,429

 
$
(4,678
)
 
$
169,164

 
$
(225,818
)
 
$
394,982

 
1.97
%
 
6.19
%
Alt-A
 
499,961

 
41,506

 
(4,987
)
 
463,442

 
(218,615
)
 
682,057

 
1.65
%
 
7.07
%
Option-ARM
 
100,761

 
12,886

 
(2,442
)
 
90,317

 
(41,834
)
 
132,151

 
0.47
%
 
7.49
%
Subprime
 
149,277

 
18,490

 
(3,205
)
 
133,992

 
(129,117
)
 
263,109

 
0.42
%
 
7.73
%
Total
 
$
927,914

 
$
86,311

 
$
(15,312
)
 
$
856,915

 
$
(615,384
)
 
$
1,472,299

 
1.41
%
 
7.05
%
————————
(1)
Weighted average coupon rates are floating, except for $14.8 million and $24.4 million fair value of prime and Alt-A non-agency securities, respectively, as of September 30, 2013.
(2) 
Prime non-agency securities include interest only investments with a fair value of $11.4 million and a current face value of $210.5 million as of September 30, 2013.
December 31, 2012
 
 
Fair
  Value
 
Gross Unrealized
 
Amortized Cost
 
Discount
 
Par/ Current Face
 
Weighted Average
Category
 
 
Gains
 
Losses
 
 
 
 
Coupon (1)
 
Yield
Prime
 
$
113,351

 
$
10,338

 
$

 
$
103,013

 
$
(33,406
)
 
$
136,419

 
3.13
%
 
7.15
%
Alt-A
 
403,522

 
30,325

 
(911
)
 
374,108

 
(226,224
)
 
600,332

 
2.02
%
 
7.36
%
Option-ARM
 
68,861

 
12,761

 

 
56,100

 
(38,617
)
 
94,717

 
0.60
%
 
8.08
%
Subprime
 
95,669

 
12,183

 

 
83,486

 
(130,937
)
 
214,423

 
0.38
%
 
7.92
%
Total
 
$
681,403

 
$
65,607

 
$
(911
)
 
$
616,707

 
$
(429,184
)
 
$
1,045,891

 
1.70
%
 
7.47
%
————————
(1)
Weighted average coupon rates are floating, except for $11.3 million and $18.6 million fair value of prime and Alt-A non-agency securities, respectively, as of December 31, 2012.

The following table summarizes our non-agency securities by their estimated weighted average life classifications as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands): 
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
Weighted Average Life
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Weighted Average Coupon
 
Fair Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Weighted
Average
Yield
 
Weighted Average Coupon
≤ 5 years
 
$
141,042

 
$
134,523

 
5.96
%
 
1.58
%
 
$
90,919

 
$
85,595

 
6.43
%
 
1.53
%
> 5 to ≤ 7 years
 
211,813

 
201,410

 
6.47
%
 
2.39
%
 
266,090

 
240,472

 
7.24
%
 
2.00
%
>7 years
 
575,059

 
520,982

 
7.55
%
 
1.15
%
 
324,394

 
290,640

 
7.96
%
 
1.55
%
Total
 
$
927,914

 
$
856,915

 
7.05
%
 
1.41
%
 
$
681,403

 
$
616,707

 
7.47
%
 
1.70
%
Our non-agency securities are subject to risk of loss with regard to principal and interest payments. As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, our non-agency securities have generally either been assigned below investment grade ratings by rating agencies, or have not been rated. Credit ratings are based on the par value of the non-agency securities. However, the

39



non-agency securities in our portfolio were generally purchased at a significant discount to par value. The following table summarizes the credit ratings of our non-agency securities as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012:
Credit Rating (1)
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
AAA
6
%
 
%
A
2
%
 
%
BBB
%
 
3
%
BB
4
%
 
2
%
B
5
%
 
8
%
Below B
57
%
 
79
%
Not Rated
26
%
 
8
%
Total
100
%
 
100
%
————————
(1)
Represents the lowest of S&P, Moody's and Fitch credit ratings, stated in terms of the S&P equivalent.
We evaluate each investment based on the characteristics of the underlying collateral and securitization structure, rather than relying on rating agencies. These securities were collateralized by mortgages with original weighted average amortized loan to value ratios ("LTVs") of 75% and 72% as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. However, as the home values associated with these mortgages have generally experienced significant price declines since origination and the LTVs are calculated based on the original home values, we believe that current market-based LTVs would be significantly higher. Additionally, 20% and 22% of the mortgages underlying these securities as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively, are either 60 or more days delinquent, undergoing foreclosure or bankruptcy processes, or held as real estate owned by the trusts. Credit enhancement, or protection provided at the security level to absorb future credit losses due to defaults on underlying collateral is another important component of this evaluation. Our non-agency securities had weighted average credit enhancements of 5% and 4% as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively.

40



The following tables present the fair value and weighted average purchase price for each of our non-agency investment categories, together with certain of their respective underlying loan collateral attributes and current performance metrics as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
September 30, 2013
 
 
Fair
  Value
 
Weighted Average Purchase Price
 
Weighted Average
Collateral Attributes
 
Weighted Average
Current Performance
Category
 
 
 
Loan Age (months)
 
Original LTV
 
Original FICO (1)
 
60+ Day Delinquent (2)
 
3-Month CPR (3)
Prime (4)
 
$
177,915

 
$
48.63

 
63
 
71
%
 
747
 
6
%
 
12
%
Alt-A
 
499,961

 
66.76

 
96
 
75
%
 
711
 
21
%
 
13
%
Option-ARM
 
100,761

 
67.45

 
94
 
74
%
 
709
 
25
%
 
16
%
Subprime
 
149,277

 
50.52

 
89
 
80
%
 
622
 
32
%
 
12
%
Total
 
$
927,914

 
$
59.13

 
88
 
75
%
 
703
 
20
%
 
13
%
December 31, 2012
 
 
Fair
  Value
 
Weighted Average Purchase Price
 
Weighted Average
Collateral Attributes
 
Weighted Average
Current Performance
Category
 
 
 
Loan Age (months)
 
Original LTV
 
Original FICO (1)
 
60+ Day Delinquent (2)
 
3-Month CPR (3)
Prime
 
$
113,351

 
$
75.19

 
88
 
70
%
 
733
 
12
%
 
13
%
Alt-A
 
403,522

 
62.18

 
87
 
72
%
 
711
 
21
%
 
13
%
Option-ARM
 
68,861

 
59.59

 
86
 
74
%
 
710
 
26
%
 
10
%
Subprime
 
95,669

 
39.36

 
76
 
75
%
 
621
 
33
%
 
9
%
Total
 
$
681,403

 
$
59.11

 
85
 
72
%
 
702
 
22
%
 
12
%
————————
(1)
FICO represents a mortgage industry accepted credit score of a borrower based on a scale of 300 to 850 with a score of 850 being the highest quality rating.
(2) 
60+ day delinquent represents the percentage of mortgage loans underlying each category of non-agency securities that were delinquent for at least 60 days.
(3) 
Three-month CPR is reflective of the prepayment and default rate on the underlying securitization; however, it does not necessarily indicate the proceeds received on our non-agency securities. Proceeds received for each security are dependent on the position of the individual security within the structure of each deal.    
(4) 
Prime non-agency securities include interest only investments with a fair value of $11.4 million, a current face value of $210.5 million and an average purchase price of $4.31 as of September 30, 2013.    
The mortgage loans underlying our non-agency securities are located throughout the United States. The following table presents the five states with the largest geographic concentrations of underlying mortgages as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012:
 
 
% of Non-Agency Portfolio
 
 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
California
 
38
%
 
37
%
Florida
 
9
%
 
11
%
Virginia
 
5
%
 
5
%
New York
 
5
%
 
4
%
Maryland
 
4
%
 
4
%
Total
 
61
%
 
61
%


41



Repurchase Financing and Hedging
The following table summarizes our borrowings under repurchase arrangements and weighted average interest rates classified by remaining maturities as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands): 

 
September 30, 2013
 
December 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
Weighted Average
 
 
 
Weighted Average
 
 
Borrowings
Outstanding
 
Interest Rate
 
Days to Maturity
 
Borrowings
Outstanding
 
Interest Rate
 
Days to Maturity
Agency and non-agency repurchase agreements
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
≤ 1 month
 
$
2,820,044

 
0.60
%
 
17

 
$
2,547,674

 
0.61
%
 
19

> 1 to ≤ 2 months
 
2,324,368

 
0.46
%
 
46

 
2,035,551

 
0.56
%
 
46

> 2 to ≤ 3 months
 
1,686,793

 
0.42
%
 
77

 
1,315,109

 
0.54
%
 
76

> 3 to ≤ 6 months
 
1,083,261

 
0.53
%
 
154

 
243,877

 
0.51
%
 
143

> 6 to ≤ 9 months
 
35,131

 
0.46
%
 
260

 
14,317

 
0.62
%
 
269

> 9 to ≤ 12 months
 
153,029

 
0.49
%
 
342

 
89,263

 
0.62
%
 
319

> 12 months
 
250,000

 
0.62
%
 
945

 

 
%
 

Total
 
8,352,626

 
0.51
%
 
90

 
6,245,791

 
0.57
%
 
50


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Overnight
 
895,720

 
0.14
%
 
1

 

 
%
 

Total repurchase agreements
 
$
9,248,346

 
0.48
%
 
81

 
$
6,245,791

 
0.57
%
 
50

As of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, we had interest rate swap agreements outstanding where we pay a fixed rate and receive a floating rate based on LIBOR, summarized in the tables below (dollars in thousands):
September 30, 2013

Notional
Amount
 
Fair Value
 
Weighted Average
Current Maturity Date for Interest Rate Swaps (1)
 
 
Fixed
Pay Rate
 
Receive 
Rate
 
Maturity
(Years)
 ≤ 3 years
$
650,000

 
$
(5,581
)
 
0.87
%
 
0.26
%
 
1.7
> 3 to ≤ 5 years
1,215,000

 
(6,879
)
 
1.21
%
 
0.26
%
 
3.9
> 5 to ≤ 7 years
800,000

 
12,463

 
1.53
%
 
0.27
%
 
5.9
> 7 years
1,725,000

 
57,991

 
2.23
%
 
0.26
%
 
9.5
Total
$
4,390,000

 
$
57,994

 
1.62
%
 
0.26
%
 
6.2
December 31, 2012
 
Notional
Amount
 
Fair Value
 
Weighted Average
Current Maturity Date for Interest Rate Swaps (2)
 
 
Fixed
Pay Rate
 
Receive 
Rate
 
Maturity
(Years)
 ≤ 3 years
$
550,000

 
$
(6,639
)
 
0.81
%
 
0.31
%
 
2.3
> 3 to ≤ 5 years
1,215,000

 
(24,297
)
 
1.17
%
 
0.32
%
 
4.5
> 5 to ≤ 7 years
550,000

 
(16,256
)
 
1.55
%
 
0.34
%
 
6.4
> 7 years
625,000

 
(12,477
)
 
1.89
%
 
0.34
%
 
9.5
Total
$
2,940,000

 
$
(59,669
)
 
1.33
%
 
0.32
%
 
5.5
————————
(1)
As of September 30, 2013, there were no interest rate swaps with deferred start dates.
(2)
Includes swaps with an aggregate notional of $50.0 million with deferred start dates within four months from December 31, 2012.

42



The following tables present certain information about our interest rate swaption agreements as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 (dollars in thousands):
September 30, 2013
 
 
Option
 
Underlying Swap
Current Option Expiration Date for Interest Rate Swaptions
 
Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Weighted Average Years to Expiration
 
Notional Amount
 
Pay Rate
 
Weighted Average Term (Years)
 
 
 
 
 
 
> 3 to ≤ 12 months
 
$
29,740

 
$
27,193

 
0.5
 
1,375,000

 
2.77
%
 
8.3
>12 to ≤ 24 months
 
7,478

 
6,956

 
1.7
 
400,000

 
3.52
%
 
6.3
> 24 months
 
9,435

 
18,639

 
2.8
 
425,000

 
3.23
%
 
6.1
Total / weighted average
 
$
46,653

 
$
52,788

 
1.2
 
$
2,200,000

 
2.99
%
 
7.5
December 31, 2012
 
 
Option
 
Underlying Swap
Current Option Expiration Date for Interest Rate Swaptions
 
Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Weighted Average Years to Expiration
 
Notional Amount
 
Pay Rate
 
Weighted Average Term (Years)
 
 
 
 
 
 
≤ 3 months
 
$
2,156

 
$
2

 
0.2
 
$
125,000

 
3.30
%
 
10.0
> 3 to ≤ 12 months
 
635

 
3

 
0.3
 
50,000

 
2.68
%
 
7.0
>12 to ≤ 24 months
 
4,117

 
1,820

 
1.5
 
250,000

 
2.67
%
 
6.4
> 24 months
 
20,298

 
20,119

 
3.2
 
725,000

 
3.27
%
 
8.1
Total / weighted average
 
$
27,206

 
$
21,944

 
2.4
 
$
1,150,000

 
3.12
%
 
7.9


43



RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The table below presents our consolidated statements of operations during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands, except per share amounts):
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Interest income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency securities
 
$
54,587

 
$
37,311

 
$
145,823

 
$
82,938

Non-agency securities
 
15,847

 
6,949

 
39,871

 
12,518

Other
 
77

 
95

 
311

 
196

Interest expense
 
(10,949
)
 
(7,329
)
 
(28,098
)
 
(13,779
)
Net interest income
 
59,562

 
37,026

 
157,907

 
81,873

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other gains (losses):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Realized gain (loss) on agency securities, net
 
(71,179
)
 
23,566

 
(83,484
)
 
46,633

Realized gain on non-agency securities, net
 
5,884

 
952

 
15,610

 
952

Realized loss on periodic settlements of interest rate swaps, net
 
(14,449
)
 
(6,855
)
 
(32,228
)
 
(11,711
)
Realized gain (loss) gain on other derivatives and securities, net
 
65,258

 
(29,132
)
 
86,675

 
(45,957
)
Unrealized gain (loss) gain on agency securities, net
 
80,894

 
95,477

 
(290,810
)
 
164,994

Unrealized gain (loss) on non-agency securities, net
 
(424
)
 
33,118

 
6,303

 
34,506

Unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net
 

 

 

 
3,384

Unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net
 
(105,138
)
 
(3,118
)
 
92,918

 
(64,300
)
Total other gains (losses), net
 
(39,154
)
 
114,008

 
(205,016
)
 
128,501

 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
Expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Management fees
 
4,725

 
2,945

 
14,248

 
6,633

General and administrative expenses
 
1,781

 
1,415

 
5,486

 
3,509

Total expenses
 
6,506

 
4,360

 
19,734

 
10,142

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before excise tax
 
13,902

 
146,674

 
(66,843
)
 
200,232

Excise tax
 
200

 
432

 
377

 
441

Net income (loss)
 
$
13,702

 
$
146,242

 
$
(67,220
)
 
$
199,791

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding—basic and diluted
 
54,515

 
36,262

 
53,348

 
25,411

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) per common share—basic and diluted
 
$
0.25

 
$
4.03

 
$
(1.26
)
 
$
7.86



44



Interest Income and Asset Yields
The tables below present the interest income and weighted average yield for our agency and non-agency securities during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012:
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
 
Average Amortized Cost
 
Weighted Average Yield
 
Interest Income
 
Average Amortized Cost
 
Weighted Average Yield
 
Interest Income
Agency securities (1)
 
$
8,424,136

 
2.59
%
 
$
54,587

 
$
6,011,801

 
2.48
%
 
$
37,311

Non-agency securities
 
857,048

 
7.40
%
 
15,847

 
399,704

 
6.95
%
 
6,949

Total
 
$
9,281,184

 
3.04
%
 
$
70,434

 
$
6,411,505

 
2.76
%
 
$
44,260

 
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
 
Average Amortized Cost
 
Weighted Average Yield
 
Interest Income
 
Average Amortized Cost
 
Weighted Average Yield
 
Interest Income (2)
Agency securities (1)
 
$
7,246,783

 
2.68
%
 
$
145,823

 
$
4,157,117

 
2.66
%
 
$
82,938

Non-agency securities
 
746,741

 
7.12
%
 
39,871

 
250,984

 
7.12
%
 
13,409

Total
 
$
7,993,524

 
3.10
%
 
$
185,694

 
$
4,408,101

 
2.91
%
 
$
96,347

—————— 
(1)  
Does not include TBA dollar roll income reported in gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations.
(2) 
For the nine months ended September 30, 2012, interest income from non-agency securities includes $0.9 million of interest income on securities classified as Linked Transactions.
The following is a summary of the estimated impact of changes in the principal elements of interest income during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (in thousands):
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30, 2013 vs. September 30, 2012
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2013 vs. September 30, 2012
 
 
 
 
Due to Change in Average (1)
 
 
 
Due to Change in Average (1)
 
 
Increase
 
Volume
 
Yield
 
Increase
 
Volume
 
Yield
Agency securities
 
$
17,276

 
$
15,567

 
$
1,709

 
$
62,885

 
$
62,259

 
$
626

Non-agency securities
 
8,898

 
8,430

 
468

 
26,462

 
26,468

 
(6
)
Total
 
$
26,174

 
$
23,997

 
$
2,177

 
$
89,347

 
$
88,727

 
$
620

—————— 
(1)  
Variances that are the combined effect of volume and yield, but cannot be separately identified, are allocated to the volume and yield variances based on their respective relative amounts.
Interest income was significantly higher during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 compared to the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012 due primarily to higher average investment balances as a result of issuances of common stock during 2012 and the first quarter of 2013.
We amortize or accrete premiums and discounts associated with agency securities and non-agency securities of high credit quality into interest income over the life of such securities using the effective yield method. The effective yield (or asset yield) on these securities is based on actual CPRs realized for individual securities in our investment portfolio through the reporting date and assumes a CPR over the remaining projected life of our aggregate investment portfolio. We estimate projected CPRs on these securities using a third-party service and market data. We update our estimates on at least a quarterly basis, and more frequently when economic or market conditions warrant. The effective yield on these securities is adjusted retrospectively for differences between actual and projected CPR estimates or for changes in our projected CPR estimates. Our projected CPR estimate for our agency securities was 7% and 9% as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. The actual

45



CPR realized for individual agency securities in our investment portfolio was approximately 6.7% and 6.7% for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and 6.8% and 5.9% for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively.
Interest income from our agency securities is net of premium amortization expense of $12.8 million and $12.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $31.1 million and $23.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. The change in our weighted average CPR estimates resulted in the recognition of approximately $(0.8) million and $4.4 million of "catch up" premium amortization benefit (expense) during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013, respectively. The amortized cost basis of our agency securities portfolio was 104.5% and 105.5% of par value, and the net unamortized premium balance of our aggregate agency securities portfolio was $371.8 million and $325.1 million, as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively.
At the time we purchase non-agency securities that are not of high credit quality, we determine an effective yield based on our estimate of the timing and amount of future cash flows and our cost basis. On at least a quarterly basis, we review the estimated cash flows and make appropriate adjustments with any changes in effective yield recognized prospectively based on the current amortized cost of the investment as adjusted for credit impairment, if any. Our estimates of future cash flows are based on input and analysis received from external sources, internal models and judgment about interest rates, prepayment rates, the timing and amount of credit losses and other factors. Interest income from our non-agency securities, including those non-agency securities underlying Linked Transactions, includes discount accretion of $10.5 million and $4.1 million for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $25.4 million and $8.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. The weighted average cost basis of the non-agency portfolio was 58% of par as of September 30, 2013. The total net discount remaining was $615.4 million, with $255.5 million designated as credit reserves as of September 30, 2013.
Leverage
Our leverage, when adjusted for the net payables and receivables for unsettled securities and our net TBA position, was 5.7x and 6.7x our stockholders’ equity as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. Our actual leverage will vary from time to time based on various factors, including our Manager’s opinion of the level of risk of our assets and liabilities, our view of the attractiveness of the return environment, composition of our investment portfolio, our liquidity position, our level of unused borrowing capacity, over-collateralization levels required by lenders when we pledge securities to secure our borrowings and the current market value of our investment portfolio. Our net position of TBA commitments should also be considered when determining our effective leverage. While TBA commitments are treated as derivatives under GAAP and thus not included in our actual leverage calculations, they do carry similar risks to agency security purchases on our balance sheet. In addition, certain of our master repurchase agreements and master swap agreements contain a restriction that prohibits our leverage from exceeding certain levels. We do not expect these restrictions to adversely impact our operations.
The table below presents our quarterly average and quarter end repurchase agreement balances outstanding and average leverage ratios for the three months ended September 30, 2013, June 30, 2013, March 31, 2013, December 31, 2012, and September 30, 2012 (dollars in thousands): 
 
 
Repurchase Agreements
 
Average
Interest
Rate as of Period End (2)
 
Average Leverage During the Period (3)
 
Leverage as of Period End (4)
 
Adjusted Leverage as of Period End (5)
Quarter Ended
 
Average Daily Amount Outstanding (1)
 
Maximum Daily Amount Outstanding (2)
 
Ending Amount Outstanding (2)
 
September 30, 2013
 
$
8,298,648

 
$
9,256,112

 
$
9,248,346

 
0.48
%
 
6.8x
 
7.0x
 
5.7x
June 30, 2013
 
$
7,172,551

 
$
8,190,661

 
$
7,978,748

 
0.49
%
 
5.1x
 
6.3x
 
6.4x
March 31, 2013
 
$
5,832,005

 
$
6,245,791

 
$
6,137,343

 
0.52
%
 
4.9x
 
4.3x
 
7.4x
December 31, 2012
 
$
5,894,642

 
$
6,299,981

 
$
6,245,791

 
0.57
%
 
6.4x
 
6.7x
 
6.7x
September 30, 2012
 
$
5,834,747

 
$
6,117,783

 
$
6,117,783

 
0.51
%
 
6.9x
 
6.6x
 
6.6x
————————
(1)
Excludes repurchase agreements collateralized by U.S. Treasury securities
(2) 
Includes repurchase agreements collateralized by U.S. Treasury securities
(3) 
Average leverage for the period was calculated by dividing our daily weighted average agency and non-agency repurchase agreements (including those within Linked Transactions) by our average month-end stockholders’ equity for the period.
(4) 
Leverage as of period end was calculated by dividing the amount outstanding under our agency and non-agency repurchase agreements and net payables and receivables for unsettled agency and non-agency securities by our stockholders’ equity at period end.
(5) 
Adjusted leverage as of period end was calculated by dividing the sum of the amounts outstanding under our agency and non-agency repurchase agreements, the cost basis (or contract price) of our net TBA position and net payables and receivables for unsettled agency and non-agency securities by our total stockholders’ equity at period end.

46



Our average leverage and leverage as of period end included in the table above does not include the impact of TBA positions, which have the effect of increasing or decreasing our "at risk" leverage. A net long position increases our at risk leverage, while a net short position reduces our at risk leverage. As of September 30, 2013, we had a net short TBA position with a notional value of $(1,607.9) million and an underlying cost basis of $(1,556.9) million. Our total at risk leverage including the effect of net TBA positions is shown as the adjusted leverage as of period end in the table above.
Interest Expense and Cost of Funds
Interest expense of $10.9 million and $7.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $28.1 million and $13.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, was comprised of interest expense on our repurchase agreements. We also incurred expense for our net periodic interest settlements related to our interest rate swaps of $14.4 million and $6.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $32.2 million and $11.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, which is included in realized loss on periodic settlements of interest rate swaps, net, on our consolidated statements of operations. In addition, we recorded $0.2 million of expense for repurchase agreements reported as Linked Transactions during the nine months ended September 30, 2012, which is included in unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net on our consolidated statements of operations.

The table below presents our average adjusted cost of funds during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands):
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
 
Average
Balance / Notional
 
Rate
 
Adjusted Cost of Funds (1)
 
Average
Balance / Notional
 
Rate
 
Adjusted Cost of Funds (1)
Repurchase agreements
 
$8,298,648
 
0.52%
 
$10,949
 
$5,834,747
 
0.50%
 
$
7,329

Interest rate swaps
 
$5,027,500
 
0.69%
 
14,449
 
$3,033,750
 
0.46%
 
6,855

Total adjusted cost of funds
 
 
 
1.21%
 
$25,398
 
 
 
0.96%
 
$
14,184


 
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
 
Average
Balance / Notional
 
Rate
 
Adjusted Cost of Funds (1)
 
Average
Balance / Notional
 
Rate
 
Adjusted Cost of Funds (1)(2)
Repurchase agreements
 
$7,078,584
 
0.53%
 
$28,098
 
$3,993,233
 
0.46%
 
$
13,962

Interest rate swaps
 
$4,655,000
 
0.61%
 
32,228
 
$2,253,000
 
0.40%
 
11,711

Total adjusted cost of funds
 
 
 
1.14%
 
$60,326
 
 
 
0.86%
 
$
25,673


————————
(1)
Our adjusted cost of funds excludes any impacts from other supplemental hedges such as U.S. Treasury securities and swaptions, and the implied financing cost or benefit of our net TBA dollar roll position reported in gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net in our consolidated statements of operations.
(2)
For the nine months ended September 30, 2012, repurchase agreement interest expense includes $0.2 million of interest expense on repurchase agreements related to securities underlying Linked Transactions.
The increase in our adjusted cost of funds for the three months ended September 30, 2013 compared to 2012 was attributable primarily to increases in average interest rate swap notional and repurchase agreement balances, together with higher fixed-pay interest rate swap rates.
The increase in our adjusted cost of funds for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 compared to 2012 was primarily attributable to higher average interest rate swap notional and repurchase agreement balances, together with higher fixed-pay interest rate swap and repurchase agreement rates.


47



The following is a summary of the impact of changes in the principal elements of our adjusted cost of funds during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (in thousands):
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30, 2013 vs. September 30, 2012
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2013 vs. September 30, 2012
 
 
 
 
Due to Change in Average (1)
 
 
 
Due to Change in Average (1)
 
 
Increase
 
Volume
 
Rate
 
Increase
 
Volume
 
Rate
Repurchase agreements
 
$
3,620

 
$
3,240

 
$
380

 
$
14,319

 
$
11,952

 
$
2,367

Interest rate swaps
 
7,594

 
4,358

 
3,236

 
20,517

 
13,759

 
6,758

Total adjusted cost of funds
 
$
11,214

 
$
7,598

 
$
3,616

 
$
34,836

 
$
25,711

 
$
9,125

—————— 
(1)  
Variances that are the combined effect of volume and yield, but cannot be separately identified, are allocated to the volume and yield variances based on their respective relative amounts.

Realized and Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Securities, Net
Sales of securities are driven by our Manager’s execution of our active portfolio management strategy. Our strategy for the period presented was largely focused on positioning our portfolio towards securities with attributes that our Manager believes reduce the level of prepayment risk and overall exposure to interest rate risk in light of current and anticipated interest rates, federal government programs, general economic conditions and other factors.
The following table is a summary of our net realized gains and losses on agency securities during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands): 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Proceeds from agency securities sold
 
$
2,076,462

 
$
1,266,425

 
$
5,356,680

 
$
2,639,053

Increase (decrease) in receivable for agency securities sold
 
39,397

 
(328,216
)
 
201,968

 
(165,241
)
Less agency securities sold, at cost
 
(2,187,038
)
 
(914,643
)
 
(5,642,132
)
 
(2,427,179
)
Net realized gains (losses) on sale of agency securities
 
$
(71,179
)
 
$
23,566

 
$
(83,484
)
 
$
46,633

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gross realized gains on sale of agency securities
 
$
241

 
$
31,223

 
$
18,965

 
$
54,309

Gross realized losses on sale of agency securities
 
(71,420
)
 
(7,657
)
 
(102,449
)
 
(7,676
)
Net realized gains (losses) on sale of agency securities
 
$
(71,179
)
 
$
23,566

 
$
(83,484
)
 
$
46,633


The following table is a summary of our net realized gains and losses on non-agency securities during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands): 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Proceeds from non-agency securities sold
 
$
41,026

 
$
4,575

 
$
160,405

 
$
4,575

Less: non-agency securities sold, at cost
 
(35,142
)
 
(3,623
)
 
(144,795
)
 
(3,623
)
Net realized gains on sale of non-agency securities
 
$
5,884

 
$
952

 
$
15,610

 
$
952

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gross realized gains on sale of non-agency securities
 
$
6,836

 
$
952

 
$
17,543

 
$
952

Gross realized losses on sale of non-agency securities
 
(952
)
 

 
(1,933
)
 

Net realized gains on sale of non-agency securities
 
$
5,884

 
$
952

 
$
15,610

 
$
952



48



Unrealized gain (loss) on agency and non-agency securities, net was attributable to the changes in market pricing on the underlying instruments as described above in Trends and Recent Market Impacts, as well as the realization of gains and losses on sales of securities during the periods presented.
Gain (Loss) on Derivatives and Other Securities, Net
The following table is a summary of our realized and unrealized loss on derivatives and other securities, net, during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands): 
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Realized loss on periodic settlements of interest rate swaps, net
 
$
(14,449
)
 
$
(6,855
)
 
$
(32,228
)
 
$
(11,711
)
Realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps
 
$
53,365

 
$
(18,430
)
 
$
53,365

 
$
(18,430
)
Interest rate swaptions
 
18,625

 
(1,454
)
 
15,193

 
(1,725
)
TBA securities
 
(42,505
)
 
(2,903
)
 
(23,119
)
 
(19,250
)
U.S. Treasury securities sold short
 
41,839

 
(6,567
)
 
45,669

 
(6,497
)
U.S. Treasury securities
 
(12,716
)
 
222

 
(13,786
)
 
(55
)
U.S. Treasury futures
 
6,650

 

 
9,353

 

Total realized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net
 
$
65,258

 
$
(29,132
)
 
$
86,675

 
$
(45,957
)
Unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TBA securities
 
$
3,433

 
$
7,598

 
$
(50,095
)
 
$
6,848

Interest rate swaps
 
(53,588
)
 
(8,996
)
 
123,930

 
(62,586
)
Interest rate swaptions
 
(32,498
)
 
137

 
11,398

 
(4,792
)
U.S. Treasury securities sold short
 
(30,695
)
 
(1,857
)
 
2,939

 
(3,770
)
U.S. Treasury securities
 
18,140

 

 
7,489

 

U.S. Treasury futures
 
(9,930
)
 

 
(2,743
)
 

Total unrealized gain (loss) on other derivatives and securities, net
 
$
(105,138
)
 
$
(3,118
)
 
$
92,918

 
$
(64,300
)
Unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized gain on Linked Transactions
 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
2,675

Interest income on non-agency securities within Linked Transactions
 

 

 

 
892

Interest expense on repurchase agreements underlying Linked Transactions
 

 

 

 
(183
)
Total unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net
 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
3,384


For further details regarding our derivatives and related hedging activity please refer to Notes 3 and 7 to our consolidated financial statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

Management Fees and General and Administrative Expenses
We pay our Manager a base management fee payable monthly in arrears in an amount equal to one twelfth of 1.50% of our Equity. Our Equity is defined as our month-end GAAP stockholders’ equity, adjusted to exclude the effect of any unrealized gains or losses included in retained earnings as computed in accordance with GAAP. There is no incentive compensation payable to our Manager pursuant to the management agreement. We incurred management fees of $4.7 million and $2.9 million during the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $14.2 million and $6.6 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. The period-over-period increase was primarily a function of our follow-on equity raises, net of share repurchases and net realized losses on sales of agency securities and settlement, expiration or termination of our derivative instruments.
General and administrative expenses were $1.8 million and $1.4 million during the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $5.5 million and $3.5 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012,

49



respectively. Our general and administrative expenses primarily consist of prime brokerage fees, information technology costs, research and data service fees, audit fees, Board of Directors fees and insurance expenses.
Our operating expenses as a percentage of our average stockholders’ equity on an annualized basis was 2.1% and 2.0% for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and 2.1% and 2.3% for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively.

Dividends and Income Taxes

We had estimated taxable income of $46.5 million and $48.1 million (or $0.85 and $1.33 per share) for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $128.4 million and $91.3 million (or $2.41 and $3.59 per share) for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. The following is a reconciliation of our GAAP net income to our estimated taxable income during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands).
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Net income (loss)
 
$
13,702

 
$
146,242

 
$
(67,220
)
 
$
199,791

Book to tax differences:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unrealized (gains) and losses, net
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency securities
 
(80,894
)
 
(95,477
)
 
290,810

 
(164,994
)
Non-agency securities
 
424

 
(33,118
)
 
(6,303
)
 
(34,506
)
Non-agency securities underlying Linked Transactions
 

 

 

 
(2,676
)
Derivatives and other securities
 
105,138

 
3,118

 
(92,918
)
 
64,300

Premium amortization, net
 
44

 
4,104

 
(3,821
)
 
7,045

Capital losses in excess of capital gains (1)
 
63,131

 

 
63,131

 

Realized gains (losses), net (1)
 
(55,220
)
 
22,846

 
(55,629
)
 
21,919

Other
 
164

 
373

 
335

 
416

Total book to tax difference
 
32,787

 
(98,154
)
 
195,605

 
(108,496
)
Estimated taxable income
 
$
46,489

 
$
48,088

 
$
128,385

 
$
91,295

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding -
basic and diluted
 
54,515

 
36,262

 
53,348

 
25,411

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Estimated taxable income per common share
 
$
0.85

 
$
1.33

 
$
2.41

 
$
3.59

—————— 
(1)  
Capital losses in excess of capital gains represents calendar year 2013 year to date capital losses in excess of capital gains. Our estimated taxable income for the third quarter excludes $(1.16) per share of estimated net capital losses, which are not deductible from our ordinary taxable income but may be carried forward for up to five years and applied against future net capital gains, as well as $0.98 per share of gains on terminated swaps and $0.26 per share of gains on terminated or expired swaptions, which for income tax purposes are deferred and amortized into future ordinary taxable income over the remaining terms of the underlying swaps.

The decrease in our estimated taxable income per share is primarily a function of lower net interest spreads and a decline in estimated taxable net gains on investments and hedging instruments.
We declared dividends of $0.70 and $0.90 per common share for the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and $2.40 and $2.70 per common share for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively.
As of September 30, 2013, we had distributed all of our 2012 taxable income under the available spill-back provision so that we will not be subject to federal or state corporate income tax for our 2012 tax year. We expect to distribute all of our 2013 taxable income within the allowable time frame, including the available spill-back provision, so that we will not be subject to federal or state corporate income tax. However, as a REIT, we are still subject to a nondeductible federal excise tax of 4% to the extent that the sum of (i) 85% of our ordinary taxable income, (ii) 95% of our capital gains and (iii) any undistributed taxable

50



income from the prior year, exceeds our dividends declared in such year and paid by January 31 of the subsequent year. As of September 30, 2013, we had an estimated $31.7 million (or $0.60 per common share) of undistributed taxable income, net of the dividend payable as of September 30, 2013 of $37.0 million.

Key Statistics

The table below presents key statistics during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands, except per share amounts):
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Average agency securities, at cost
 
$
8,424,136

 
$
6,011,801

 
$
7,246,783

 
$
4,157,117

Average agency securities, at par
 
$
8,060,321

 
$
5,726,255

 
$
6,882,738

 
$
3,968,074

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Average non-agency securities, at cost
 
$
857,048

 
$
399,704

 
$
746,741

 
$
250,984

Average non-agency securities, at par
 
$
1,484,249

 
$
664,628

 
$
1,274,097

 
$
412,127

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net short TBA position - as of period end, at fair value
 
$
(1,609,890
)
 
NM

 
$
(1,609,890
)
 
NM

Average TBA dollar roll position, at cost
 
$
(689,331
)
 
NM

 
$
1,139,984

 
NM

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Average total assets, at fair value
 
$
10,619,499

 
$
7,527,346

 
$
9,407,623

 
$
5,007,216

Average repurchase agreements
 
$
8,298,648

 
$
5,834,747

 
$
7,078,584

 
$
3,993,233

Average stockholders' equity
 
$
1,212,720

 
$
851,093

 
$
1,239,384

 
$
588,155

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Average coupon
 
3.05
%
 
3.32
%
 
3.31
 %
 
3.40
%
Average asset yield
 
3.04
%
 
2.76
%
 
3.10
 %
 
2.91
%
Average adjusted cost of funds (1)
 
1.22
%
 
0.96
%
 
1.14
 %
 
0.86
%
Average net interest rate spread
 
1.82
%
 
1.80
%
 
1.96
 %
 
2.05
%
Average net interest rate spread, including estimated TBA dollar roll income (2)
 
1.63
%
 
NM

 
2.09
 %
 
NM

Average actual CPR for agency securities held during the period
 
6.7
%
 
6.7
%
 
6.8
 %
 
5.9
%
Average projected life CPR for agency securities as of period end
 
7.3
%
 
12.7
%
 
7.3
 %
 
12.7
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Leverage- average during the period (3)
 
6.8x

 
6.9x

 
5.7x

 
6.8x

Leverage- average during the period, including average TBA dollar roll position
 
6.3x

 
NM

 
6.6x

 
NM

Leverage- as of period end (4)
 
7.0x

 
6.6x

 
7.0x

 
6.6x

Leverage- as of period end, including net TBA position
 
5.7x

 
NM

 
5.7x

 
NM

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Expenses % of average total assets
 
0.24
%
 
0.23
%
 
0.28
 %
 
0.27
%
Expenses % of average stockholders' equity
 
2.13
%
 
2.03
%
 
2.13
 %
 
2.31
%
Net book value per common share as of period end
 
$
22.37

 
$
25.21

 
$
22.37

 
$
25.21

Dividends declared per common share
 
$
0.70

 
$
0.90

 
$
2.40

 
$
2.70

Net return (loss) on average stockholders' equity
 
4.5
%
 
68.2
%
 
(7.3)
 %
 
45.5
%
————————
  *
Average numbers for each period are weighted based on days on our books and records. All percentages are annualized.
NM = Not meaningful. Prior to the first quarter of 2013, our net TBA position consisted of short TBAs used for hedging purposes.


51



(1)
Weighted average adjusted cost of funds includes periodic settlements of interest rate swaps.
(2)
Estimated TBA dollar roll income is net of short TBAs used for hedging purposes. Dollar roll income excludes the impact of other supplemental hedges, and is recognized in gain (loss) on derivative instruments and other securities, net.
(3)
Leverage during the period was calculated by dividing our daily weighted average agency and non-agency repurchase agreements, for the period by our average month-ended stockholders' equity for the period.
(4)
Leverage as of period end was calculated by dividing the sum of the amount outstanding under our agency and non-agency repurchase agreements and the net receivable/payable for unsettled agency and non-agency securities at period end by our stockholders' equity at period end.

Net Spread Income
GAAP interest income does not include interest earned on non-agency securities underlying our Linked Transactions, and GAAP interest expense does not include either interest related to repurchase agreements underlying our Linked Transactions, or periodic settlements associated with undesignated interest rate swaps. Interest income and expense related to Linked Transactions is reported within unrealized gain and net interest income on Linked Transactions, net and periodic interest settlements associated with undesignated interest rate swaps are reported in realized loss on periodic settlements of interest rate swaps, net on our consolidated statements of operations. As we believe that these items are beneficial to the understanding of our investment performance, we provide a non-GAAP measure called adjusted net interest income, which is comprised of net interest income plus the net interest income related to Linked Transactions, less net periodic settlements of interest rate swaps. Additionally, we present net spread income as a measure of our operating performance. Net spread income is comprised of adjusted net interest income, less total operating expenses. Net spread income excludes all unrealized gains or losses due to changes in fair value, realized gains or losses on sales of securities, realized losses associated with derivative instruments and income taxes. Net spread income does not include any impact from other hedging activities, such as the use of swaptions, U.S Treasuries and TBA positions. Net spread and dollar roll income includes the estimated net carry income or loss (also known as dollar roll income/loss) associated with net purchases or sales of agency MBS on a forward-settlement basis through the TBA market.
The table below presents a reconciliation from GAAP net interest income to adjusted net interest income and net spread income during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 (dollars in thousands):
 
 
For the Three Months Ended September 30,
 
For the Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Interest income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agency securities
 
$
54,587

 
$
37,311

 
$
145,823

 
$
82,938

Non-agency securities and other
 
15,924

 
7,044

 
40,182

 
12,714

Interest expense
 
(10,949
)
 
(7,329
)
 
(28,098
)
 
(13,779
)
Net interest income
 
59,562

 
37,026

 
157,907

 
81,873

Net interest income on non-agency securities underlying Linked Transactions
 

 

 

 
708

Realized loss on periodic settlements of interest rate swaps, net
 
(14,449
)
 
(6,855
)
 
(32,228
)
 
(11,711
)
Adjusted net interest income
 
45,113

 
30,171

 
125,679

 
70,870

Operating expenses
 
(6,506
)
 
(4,360
)
 
(19,734
)
 
(10,142
)
Net spread income
 
38,607

 
25,811

 
105,945

 
60,728

Dollar roll income (loss)
 
(6,827
)
 

 
24,421

 

Net spread and dollar roll income
 
$
31,780

 
$
25,811

 
$
130,366

 
$
60,728

 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - basic and diluted
 
54,515

 
36,262

 
53,348

 
25,411

 
 
 
 


 


 
 
Net spread income per common share – basic and diluted
 
$
0.71

 
$
0.71

 
$
1.99

 
$
2.39

Net spread and dollar roll income per common share – basic and diluted
 
$
0.58

 
$
0.71

 
$
2.44

 
$
2.39


The period-over-period decline in net spread income per common share is primarily a function of margin compression due to higher cost of funds. During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012, we did not have dollar roll income since we primarily held short TBA contracts for hedging purposes.


52



We believe that the above non-GAAP financial measures provide information useful to investors because net spread and dollar roll income is a financial metric used by management and investors and estimated taxable income is directly related to the amount of dividends we are required to distribute in order to maintain its REIT tax qualification status.
We also believe that providing investors with our net spread and dollar roll income, estimated taxable income and certain financial metrics derived from such non-GAAP financial information, in addition to the related GAAP measures, gives investors greater transparency to the information used by management in its financial and operational decision-making. However, because net spread income and estimated taxable income are incomplete measures of our financial performance and involve differences from net income computed in accordance with GAAP, they should be considered as supplementary to, and not as a substitute for, our net income computed in accordance with GAAP as a measure of our financial performance. In addition, because not all companies use identical calculations, our presentation of net spread income and estimated taxable income may not be comparable to other similarly-titled measures of other companies.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Our primary sources of funds are borrowings under master repurchase agreements, equity offerings, asset sales and monthly principal and interest payments on our investment portfolio. Because the level of our borrowings can be adjusted on a daily basis, the level of cash and cash equivalents carried on the balance sheet is significantly less important than the potential liquidity available under our borrowing arrangements. We currently believe that we have sufficient liquidity and capital resources available for the acquisition of additional investments, repayments on borrowings, maintenance of any margin requirements and the payment of cash dividends as required for our continued qualification as a REIT. To qualify as a REIT, we must distribute annually at least 90% of our taxable income. To the extent that we annually distribute all of our taxable income in a timely manner, we will generally not be subject to federal and state income taxes. We currently expect to distribute all of our taxable income in a timely manner so that we are not subject to Federal and state income taxes. This distribution requirement limits our ability to retain earnings and thereby replenish or increase capital from operations.
Equity Capital

To the extent we raise additional equity capital through follow-on equity offerings, we currently anticipate using cash proceeds from such transactions to purchase additional investment securities, to make scheduled payments of principal and interest on our repurchase agreements and for other general corporate purposes. There can be no assurance, however, that we will be able to raise additional equity capital at any particular time or on any particular terms.

Follow-on Common Stock Offerings
During the nine months ended September 30, 2013, we issued the following shares of common stock (amounts in thousands except per share amounts):
Offering Date
 
Price Received Per Share (1)
 
Number of Shares
 
Net Proceeds (2)
February 2013
 
$
25.40

 
23,000

 
$
583,915

—————— 
(1)
Price received per share is net of underwriters' discount, if applicable.
(2)  
Net Proceeds are net of any underwriters' discount and other offering costs.
    
Stock Repurchase Program

In October 2012, our Board of Directors adopted a program that provided for repurchases of up to $50 million of our outstanding shares of common stock through December 31, 2013. In June 2013, our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $100 million of our outstanding shares of common stock through December 31, 2013. In September 2013, our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $150 million of the Company's outstanding shares of common stock and extended its authorization through December 31, 2014. Shares may be purchased in the open market, including through block purchases, or through privately negotiated transactions, or pursuant to any trading plan that may be adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.  The timing, manner, price and amount of any repurchases will be determined at our discretion and the program may be suspended, terminated or modified at any time for any reason.  We intend to repurchase shares only when the purchase price is less than our estimate of our current net asset value per share. Generally, when we repurchase our common stock at a discount to our net asset value, the net asset value of our remaining shares outstanding increases. In addition, we do not intend to repurchase any

53



shares from directors, officers or other affiliates. The program does not obligate us to acquire any specific number of shares, and all repurchases will be made in accordance with SEC Rule 10b-18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which sets certain restrictions on the method, timing, price and volume of stock repurchases.

During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013, we made open market purchases of 3.2 million and 6.1 million shares of our common stock at an average net repurchase price of $19.58 and $20.44 per share, or $62.1 million and $124.1 million, respectively. As of September 30, 2013, the total remaining amount authorized for repurchases of our common stock was $169.2 million.

Dividend Reinvestment and Direct Stock Purchase Plan

We sponsor a dividend reinvestment and direct stock purchase plan through which stockholders may purchase additional shares of our common stock by reinvesting some or all of the cash dividends received on shares of our common stock. Stockholders may also make optional cash purchases of shares of our common stock subject to certain limitations detailed in the plan prospectus. We did not issue any shares under the plan during the nine months ended September 30, 2013.

Debt Capital
As part of our investment strategy, we borrow against our agency and non-agency securities pursuant to master repurchase agreements. We expect that our borrowings pursuant to repurchase transactions under such master repurchase agreements generally will have maturities of less than one year. When adjusted for net payables and receivables for unsettled agency and non-agency securities, our leverage ratio was 7.0x and 6.7x the amount of our stockholders’ equity as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively, excluding amounts borrowed under U.S. Treasury repurchase agreements. Our cost of borrowings under master repurchase agreements generally corresponds to LIBOR plus or minus a margin. We had repurchase agreements with 30 financial institutions as of September 30, 2013. In addition, less than 9% of our equity was at risk with any one counterparty, with the top five counterparties representing less than 27% of our equity at risk as of September 30, 2013.
As of September 30, 2013, borrowings of $7.8 billion and $595.9 million, with weighted average remaining days to maturity of 94 and 35, were secured by agency and non-agency securities, respectively.
The table below includes a summary of our repurchase agreement funding and number of counterparties by region as of September 30, 2013. Refer to Note 6 to our consolidated financial statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for further details regarding our borrowings under repurchase agreements and weighted average interest rates as of September 30, 2013.
 
 
September 30, 2013
Counterparty Region
 
Number of Counterparties
 
Percent of Repurchase Agreement Funding
North America
 
16
 
55%
Asia
 
5
 
17%
Europe
 
9
 
28%
Total
 
30
 
100%
Amounts available to be borrowed under our repurchase agreements are dependent upon lender collateral requirements and the lender’s determination of the fair value of the securities pledged as collateral, based on recognized pricing sources agreed to by both parties to the agreement. Collateral fair value can fluctuate with changes in interest rates, credit quality and liquidity conditions within the investment banking, mortgage finance and real estate industries. Our counterparties also apply a "haircut” to the fair value of our pledged collateral, which reflects the underlying risk of the specific collateral and protects our counterparties against a decrease in collateral value, but conversely subjects us to counterparty risk and limits the amount we can borrow against our investment securities. Our master repurchase agreements do not specify the haircut, rather haircuts are determined on an individual repurchase transaction basis. Throughout the nine months ended September 30, 2013, haircuts on our pledged collateral remained stable and as of September 30, 2013, our weighted average haircut on agency and non-agency securities held as collateral were 5% and 29%, respectively.
Under our repurchase agreements, we may be required to pledge additional assets to repurchase agreement counterparties in the event the estimated fair value of the existing pledged collateral under such agreements declines and such counterparties demand additional collateral (a margin call), which may take the form of additional securities or cash. Specifically, margin calls

54



would result from a decline in the value of our securities securing our repurchase agreements and prepayments on the mortgages securing such securities. Similarly, if the estimated fair value of our investment securities increases due to changes in interest rates or other factors, counterparties may release collateral back to us. Our repurchase agreements generally provide that the valuations for the securities securing our repurchase agreements are to be obtained from a generally recognized source agreed to by the parties. However, in certain circumstances and under certain of our repurchase agreements, our lenders have the sole discretion to determine the value of the securities securing our repurchase agreements. In such instances, our lenders are required to act in good faith in making such valuation determinations. Our repurchase agreements generally provide that in the event of a margin call we must provide additional securities or cash on the same business day that a margin call is made if the lender provides us notice prior to the margin notice deadline on such day.
As of September 30, 2013, we have met all margin requirements and had unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $204.1 million and unpledged securities of $209.9 million, excluding unsettled purchases of securities, available to meet margin calls on our repurchase agreements and derivative instruments as of September 30, 2013.
Although we believe that we will have adequate sources of liquidity available to us through repurchase agreement financing to execute our business strategy, there can be no assurances that repurchase agreement financing will be available to us upon the maturity of our current repurchase agreements to allow us to renew or replace our repurchase agreement financing on favorable terms or at all. If our repurchase agreement lenders default on their obligations to resell the underlying securities back to us at the end of the term, we could incur a loss equal to the difference between the value of the securities and the cash we originally received.
We maintain an interest rate risk management strategy under which we use derivative financial instruments to help manage the adverse impact of interest rates changes on the value of our investment portfolio as well as our cash flows. In particular, we attempt to mitigate the risk of the cost of our short-term variable rate liabilities increasing at a faster rate than the earnings of our long-term assets during a period of rising interest rates. The principal derivative instruments that we use are interest rate swaps, supplemented with the use of TBA agency securities, interest rate swaptions, and other instruments.
Refer to Notes 3 and 7 to our consolidated financial statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for further details regarding our outstanding interest rate swaps as of September 30, 2013 and the related activity for the period ended September 30, 2013.

Our derivative agreements typically require that we pledge/receive collateral on such agreements to/from our counterparties in a similar manner as we are required to under our repurchase agreements. Our counterparties, or the clearing exchange in the case of our centrally cleared interest rate swaps, typically have the sole discretion to determine the value of the derivative instruments and the value of the collateral securing such instruments. In the event of a margin call, we must generally provide additional collateral on the same business day.

TBA Dollar Roll Transactions

We also enter into TBA dollar roll transactions as a means of investing in and financing agency securities. TBA dollar roll transactions represent a form of off-balance sheet financing and are accounted for as derivative instruments in our accompanying consolidated financial statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Inclusive of our net TBA position as of September 30, 2013, our total "at risk" leverage, net of unsettled securities, was 5.7x our stockholders' equity.

Under certain market conditions, it may be uneconomical for us to roll our TBA contracts into future months and we may need to take physical delivery of the underlying securities. If we were required to take physical delivery of a long TBA contract, we would have to fund the total purchase commitment with cash or other financing sources and our liquidity position could be negatively impacted. However, as of September 30, 2013, we had a net short TBA position with a cost basis and fair value of the securities underlying our net short TBA position each totaling $(1.6) billion.

Our TBA dollar roll contracts are also subject to margin requirements governed by the Mortgage-Backed Securities Division ("MBSD") of the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation and by our prime brokerage agreements, which may establish margin levels in excess of the MBSD. Such provisions require that we establish an initial margin based on the notional value of the TBA contract, which is subject to increase if the estimated fair value of our TBA contract or the estimated fair value of our pledged collateral declines. The MBSD has the sole discretion to determine the value of our TBA contracts and of the collateral pledged securing such contracts. In the event of a margin call, we must generally provide additional collateral on the same business day.


55



Settlement of our net long TBA obligations by taking delivery of the underlying securities as well as satisfying margin requirements could negatively impact our liquidity position. However, since we do not use TBA dollar roll transactions as our primary source of financing, we believe that we will have adequate sources of liquidity to meet such obligations.
Asset Sales and TBA Eligible Securities

We maintain a portfolio of highly liquid agency MBS securities. We may sell our agency securities through the TBA market by delivering securities into TBA contracts for the sale of securities, subject to "good delivery" provisions promulgated by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association ("SIFMA"). We may alternatively sell agency securities that have more unique attributes on a specified basis when such securities trade at a premium over generic TBA securities or if the securities are not otherwise eligible for TBA delivery. Since the agency TBA market is the second most liquid market (second to the U.S. Treasury market), maintaining a significant level of agency securities eligible for TBA delivery enhances our liquidity profile and provides price support for our TBA eligible securities in a rising interest rate scenario at or above generic TBA prices. As of September 30, 2013, approximately 93% of our agency MBS portfolio was eligible for TBA delivery.
OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS
As of September 30, 2013, we did not maintain any relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, such as entities often referred to as structured finance, or special purpose or variable interest entities, established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements or other contractually narrow or limited purposes. Further, as of September 30, 2013, we had not guaranteed any obligations of unconsolidated entities or entered into any commitment or intent to provide funding to any such entities.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

All statements contained herein that are not historical facts including, but not limited to, statements regarding anticipated activity are forward looking in nature and involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are the following: (i) changes in the market value of our assets; (ii) changes in net interest rate spreads; (iii) changes in the amount or timing of cash flows from our investment portfolio; (iv) risks associated with our hedging activities; (v) availability and terms of financing arrangements; (vi) the receipt of regulatory approval or other closing conditions for a transaction; (vii) further actions by the U.S. government to stabilize the economy; (viii) changes in our business or investment strategy; (ix) legislative and regulatory changes (including changes to laws governing the taxation of REITs); (x) our ability to meet the requirements of a REIT (including income and asset requirements); and (xi) our ability to remain exempt from registration under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended. For a discussion of the risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward looking statements, please see the information under the caption “Risk Factors” described in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. We caution readers not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which statements are made pursuant to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended and, as such, speak only as of the date made.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk
Market risk is the exposure to loss resulting from changes in market factors such as interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, commodity prices and equity prices. The primary market risks that we are exposed to are interest rate risk, spread risk, prepayment risk, liquidity risk, credit risk, extension risk and inflation risk.
Interest Rate Risk
Interest rate risk is highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary and tax policies, domestic and international economic and political considerations and other factors beyond our control.
Changes in the general level of interest rates, including both parallel and non-parallel interest rate moves, can affect our net interest income, which is the difference between the interest income earned on interest-earning assets and the interest expense incurred in connection with our interest-bearing liabilities, by affecting the spread between our interest-earning assets and interest bearing liabilities. Changes in the level of interest rates can also affect the rate of prepayments of our securities and

56



the value of the securities that constitute our investment portfolio, which affects our net income and ability to realize gains from the sale of these assets and impacts our ability and the amount that we can borrow against these securities.
We may utilize a variety of financial instruments to limit the effects of changes in interest rates on our operations, including interest rate swap agreements, interest rate swaptions, interest rate cap or floor contracts and futures or forward contracts. We may also purchase or short TBA securities, U.S. Treasury securities and U.S. Treasury futures contracts, purchase or write put or call options on TBA securities or we may invest in other types of mortgage derivative securities, such as interest-only securities, and synthetic total return swaps. When we use these types of derivatives to hedge our interest-earning assets or interest-bearing liabilities, we may be subject to certain risks, including the risk that losses on a hedge position will reduce the funds available for payments to holders of our common stock and that the losses may exceed the amount we invested in the instruments.
Our profitability and the value of our investment portfolio (including derivatives used for economic hedging purposes) may be adversely affected during any period as a result of changing interest rates including changes in forward yield curves.

Primary measures of an instrument's price sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations are its duration and convexity. The duration of our investment portfolio changes with interest rates and tends to increase when interest rates rise and decrease when rates fall. The "negative convexity" generally increases the interest rate exposure of our investment portfolio by more than what is measured by duration alone.

We estimate the duration and convexity of our portfolio using both a third-party risk management system and market data. We review the duration estimates from the third-party model and may make adjustments based on our Manager's judgment. These adjustments are intended to, in our Manager's opinion, better reflect the unique characteristics and market trading conventions associated with certain types of securities, such as HARP and lower loan balance securities. These adjustments generally result in shorter durations than what the unadjusted third party model would otherwise produce. Without these adjustments, in rising rate scenarios, the longer unadjusted durations may underestimate price projections on certain securities with slower prepayment characteristics, such as HARP and lower loan balance securities, to a level below those of generic or TBA securities. However, in our Manager's judgment, because these securities are typically deliverable into TBA contracts, the price of these securities is unlikely to drop below the generic or TBA price in rising rate scenarios. The accuracy of the estimated duration of our portfolio and projected agency security prices depends on our Manager's assumptions and judgments. Our Manager may discontinue making these duration adjustments in the future or may choose to make different adjustments. Other models could produce materially different results.

The table below quantifies the estimated changes in net interest income (including periodic interest costs on our interest rate swaps) and the estimated changes in the fair value of our investment portfolio (including derivatives and other securities used for economic hedging purposes) and in our net asset value should interest rates go up or down by 50 and 100 basis points, assuming instantaneous parallel shifts in the yield curve, and includes the impact of both duration and convexity.

All changes in income and value are measured as percentage changes from the projected net interest income, investment
portfolio value and net asset value at the base interest rate scenario. The base interest rate scenario assumes interest rates and prepayment projections as of September 30, 2013. We apply a floor of 0% for the down rate scenarios on our interest bearing liabilities and the variable leg of our interest rate swaps, such that any hypothetical interest rate decrease would have a limited positive impact on our funding costs beyond a certain level.

Actual results could differ materially from estimates, especially in the current market environment. To the extent that these estimates or other assumptions do not hold true, which is likely in a period of high price volatility, actual results will likely differ materially from projections and could be larger or smaller than the estimates in the table below. Moreover, if different models were employed in the analysis, materially different projections could result. Lastly, while the table below reflects the estimated impact of interest rate increases and decreases on a static portfolio, we may from time to time sell any of our agency or non-agency securities as a part of our overall management of our investment portfolio.

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Interest Rate Sensitivity (1) As of September 30, 2013
 
 
Percentage Change in Projected
Change in Interest Rate
 
Net Interest Income (2)
 
Portfolio Value (3) (4)
 
Net Asset Value (3) (5)
+100 basis points
 
(10.6
)%
 
(1.2
)%
 
(8.0
)%
+50 basis points
 
(5.3
)%
 
(0.6
)%
 
(4.1
)%
-50 basis points
 
6.9
 %
 
0.6
 %
 
3.7
 %
-100 basis points
 
5.3
 %
 
0.7
 %
 
4.7
 %
————————
(1)
Interest rate sensitivity is derived from models that are dependent on inputs and assumptions provided by third parties as well as by our Manager, assumes there are no changes in mortgage spreads and assumes a static portfolio. Actual results could differ from these estimates.
(2) 
Estimated dollar change in net interest income expressed as a percent of net interest income based on asset yields and cost of funds as of September 30, 2013. Includes the effect of periodic interest costs on our interest rate swaps, but excludes TBA dollar roll income and costs associated with other supplemental hedges, such as swaptions and short U.S. Treasury or TBA positions. Estimated dollar change in net interest income does not include the one time impact of retroactive "catch-up" premium amortization benefit/cost due to an increase/decrease in the projected CPR.
(3)     Includes the effect of derivatives.
(4)    Estimated change in portfolio value expressed as a percent of the total fair value of our investment portfolio as of September 30, 2013.
(5) 
Estimated change in net asset value expressed as a percent of stockholders' equity as of September 30, 2013.
Spread Risk
    
When the market spread between the yield on our MBS and benchmark interest rates widens, our net book value could decline if the value of our agency securities fall by more than the offsetting fair value increases on our hedging instruments, creating what we refer to as "spread risk" or "basis risk". The spread risk associated with our agency and non-agency securities and the resulting fluctuations in fair value of these securities can occur independent of changes in benchmark interest rates and may relate to other factors impacting the mortgage and fixed income markets, such as actual or anticipated monetary policy actions by the Federal Reserve, market liquidity, or changes in required rates of return on different assets. Consequently, while we use interest rate swaps and other supplemental hedges to attempt to protect against moves in interest rates, such instruments typically will not protect our net book value against spread risk.

The table below quantifies the estimated changes in the fair value of our investment portfolio (including derivatives and other securities used for economic hedging purposes) and in our net asset value should spreads between our mortgage assets and benchmark interest rates go up or down by 10 and 25 basis points. The table assumes a spread duration of 6.1 years based on interest rates and MBS prices as of September 30, 2013. However, our portfolio's sensitivity of mortgage spread changes will vary with changes in interest rates and will generally increase as interest rates rise and prepayments slow. Further, the estimated impact of spread changes included in the table below is in addition to our sensitivity to interest rate shocks included in the above interest rate shock table.
MBS Spread Sensitivity (1) As of September 30, 2013
 
 
Percentage Change in Projected
Change in MBS Spread
 
Portfolio Market Value (2) (3)
 
Net Asset
Value (2) (4)
-25 basis points
 
1.2
 %
 
8.0
 %
-10 basis points
 
0.5
 %
 
3.2
 %
+10 basis points
 
(0.5
)%
 
(3.2
)%
+25 basis points
 
(1.2
)%
 
(8.0
)%
————————
(1)
Spread sensitivity is derived from models that are dependent on inputs and assumptions provided by third parties as well as by our Manager, assumes there are no changes in interest rates and assumes a static portfolio. Actual results could differ from these estimates.
(2)    Includes the effect of derivatives and other securities used for economic hedging purposes.
(3)    Estimated dollar change in portfolio market value expressed as a percent of the total fair value of our investment portfolio as of September 30, 2013.
(4) 
Estimated dollar change in net asset value expressed as a percent of stockholders' equity as of September 30, 2013.
Prepayment Risk

Premiums or discounts associated with the purchase of agency securities and non-agency securities of higher credit quality are amortized or accreted into interest income over the projected lives of the securities, including contractual payments

58



and estimated prepayments using the effective interest method. Changes to the GSEs' underwriting standards, further modifications to existing U.S. Government sponsored programs such as HARP, or the implementation of new programs could materially impact prepayment speeds. In addition, GSE buyouts of loans in imminent risk of default, loans that have been modified, or loans that have defaulted will generally be reflected as prepayments on agency securities and also increase the uncertainty around these estimates. Our policy for estimating prepayment speeds for calculating the effective yield is to evaluate published prepayment data for similar securities, market consensus and current market conditions. If the actual prepayment experienced differs from our estimate of prepayments, we will be required to make an adjustment to the amortization or accretion of premiums and discounts that would have an impact on future income.
Liquidity Risk
The primary liquidity risk for us arises from financing long-term assets with shorter-term borrowings through repurchase agreements. Our assets that are pledged to secure repurchase agreements are agency securities, non-agency securities and cash. As of September 30, 2013, we had unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $204.1 million and unpledged securities of $209.9 million, excluding unsettled purchases of securities, available to meet margin calls on our repurchase agreements, derivative instruments and for other corporate purposes. However, should the value of our securities pledged as collateral or the value of our derivative instruments suddenly decrease, margin calls relating to our repurchase and derivative agreements could increase, causing an adverse change in our liquidity position. Further, there is no assurance that we will always be able to renew (or roll) our repurchase agreements. In addition, our counterparties have the option to increase our haircuts (margin requirements) on the assets we pledge, thereby reducing the amount that can be borrowed against an asset even if they agree to renew or roll the repurchase agreement. Significantly higher haircuts can reduce our ability to leverage our portfolio or even force us to sell assets, especially if correlated with asset price declines or faster prepayment rates on our assets.
In addition, we may utilize TBA dollar roll transactions as a means of acquiring and financing purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities. Under certain economic conditions we may be unable to roll our TBA dollar roll transactions prior to the settlement date and we may have to take physical delivery of the underlying securities and settle our obligations for cash, which could negatively impact our liquidity position, result in defaults or force us to sell assets under adverse conditions.
Credit Risk
We are exposed to credit risk related to our non-agency investments, certain derivative transactions, and our collateral held by funding and derivative counterparties. We accept credit exposure at levels we deem prudent as an integral part of our diversified investment strategy. Therefore, we may retain all or a portion of the credit risk on our non-agency investments. We seek to manage this risk through prudent asset selection, pre-acquisition due diligence, post-acquisition performance monitoring, sale of assets where we have identified negative credit trends and the use of various types of credit enhancements. We may also use non-recourse financing, which limits our exposure to credit losses to the specific pool of mortgages subject to the non-recourse financing. Our overall management of credit exposure may also include the use of credit default swaps or other financial derivatives that we believe are appropriate. Additionally, we intend to vary the percentage mix of our non-agency mortgage investments and agency mortgage investments in an effort to actively adjust our credit exposure and to improve the risk/return profile of our investment portfolio. Our credit risk related to certain derivative transactions is largely mitigated through daily adjustments to collateral pledged based on changes in market value and we limit our counterparties to major financial institutions with acceptable credit ratings. There is no guarantee that our efforts to manage credit risk will be successful and we could suffer significant losses if credit performance is worse than our expectations or if economic conditions worsen.
Extension Risk
The projected weighted-average life and the duration (or interest rate sensitivity) of our investments is based on our Manager’s assumptions regarding the rate at which the borrowers will prepay the underlying mortgage loans or default on their loans. In general, we use interest rate swaps to help manage our funding cost on our investments in the event that interest rates rise. These swaps allow us to reduce our funding exposure on the notional amount of the swap for a specified period of time by establishing a fixed rate to pay in exchange for receiving a floating rate that generally tracks our financing costs under our repurchase agreements.
However, if prepayment rates decrease in a rising interest rate environment, the average life or duration of our fixed-rate assets generally extends. This could have a negative impact on our results from operations, as our interest rate swap maturities are fixed and will, therefore, cover a smaller percentage of our funding exposure on our mortgage assets to the extent that their average lives increase due to slower prepayments. This situation may also cause the market value of our securities collateralized by fixed rate mortgages to decline by more than otherwise would be the case while most of our hedging instruments (with the exception of short TBA mortgage positions, interest-only securities and certain other supplemental

59



hedging instruments) would not receive any incremental offsetting gains. In extreme situations, we may be forced to sell assets to maintain adequate liquidity, which could cause us to incur realized losses.
Inflation Risk
Virtually all of our assets and liabilities are interest rate sensitive in nature. As a result, interest rates and other factors influence our performance more so than does inflation. Changes in interest rates do not necessarily correlate with inflation rates or changes in inflation rates. Further, our consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP and our distributions are determined by our Board of Directors based primarily on our net income as calculated for income tax purposes. In each case, our activities and balance sheet are measured with reference to historical cost and/or fair market value without considering inflation.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures

We maintain disclosure controls and procedures that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in our Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act") reports is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC's rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure based on the definition of "disclosure controls and procedures" as promulgated under the Exchange Act and the rules and regulations thereunder. In designing and evaluating the disclosure controls and procedures, management recognized that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management necessarily was required to apply its judgment in evaluating the cost-benefit relationship of possible controls and procedures.

We, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures as of September 30, 2013. Based on the foregoing, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were effective.

Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting

There have been no significant changes in our internal controls over financial reporting or in other factors that could significantly affect the internal controls over financial reporting during the quarter ended September 30, 2013.



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PART II
OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
 
We are not party to any material litigation or legal proceedings, or to the best of our knowledge, any threatened litigation or legal proceedings, which, in our opinion, individually or in the aggregate, would have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.
Item 1A. Risk Factors
There have been no material changes to the risk factors previously disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012.

Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

The following table presents information with respect to purchases of our common stock made during the three months ended September 30, 2013, by us or any “affiliated purchaser” of us, as defined in Rule 10b-18(a)(3) under the Exchange Act (in thousands, except per share amounts).

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Total Number of Shares Purchased (1)
 
Average Price Paid per Share
 
Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs (2)
 
Maximum Number of Shares That May Yet Be Purchased Under the Publicly Announced Plans or Programs
July 2013
 
 
$—
 
 
N/A
August 2013
 
2,850
 
$19.53
 
2,850
 
N/A
September 2013
 
318
 
$20.08
 
318
 
N/A
—————— 
(1)  
All shares were purchased by us pursuant to the stock repurchase and dividend program described in the notes to the consolidated financial statements accompanying our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
(2) 
In October 2012, our Board of Directors adopted a program that may provide for repurchases of up to $50 million of our outstanding shares of common stock through December 31, 2013. In June 2013, our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $100 million of the Company's outstanding shares of common stock through December 31, 2013. In September 2013, our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $150 million of the Company's outstanding shares of common stock and extended its authorization through December 31, 2014. As of September 30, 2013, the total remaining amount authorized for repurchases of our common stock was $169.2 million.

Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities

None.
Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures
Not applicable.
Item 5. Other Information
 
None.

Item 6. Exhibits
Exhibit No. 
 
Description 
*3.1
 
American Capital Mortgage Investment Corp. Articles of Amendment and Restatement, incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.1 of Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2011 (File No. 001-35260), filed November 14, 2011.
 
 
 
*3.2
 
American Capital Mortgage Investment Corp. Amended and Restated Bylaws, as amended by Amendment No. 1, incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.2 to Amendment No. 4 to Form S-11 (Registration Statement No. 333-173238), filed July 29, 2011.
 
 
 
*4.1
 
Form of Certificate for Common Stock, incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 4.1 to Amendment No. 3 to Form S-11 (Registration Statement No. 333-173238), filed July 20, 2011.
 
 
 
*4.2
 
Instruments defining the rights of holders of securities: See Article VI of our Articles of Amendment and Restatement, incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.1 of Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2011 (File No. 001-35260), filed November 14, 2011.
 
 
 
*4.3
 
Instruments defining the rights of holders of securities: See Article VII of our Amended and Restated Bylaws, as amended by Amendment No. 1, incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.2 to Amendment No. 4 to Form S-11 (Registration Statement No. 333-173238), filed July 29, 2011.
 
 
 
31.1
 
Certification of CEO Pursuant to Section 302(a) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
 
 
 
31.2
 
Certification of CFO Pursuant to Section 302(a) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
 
 
 
32
 
Certification of CEO and CFO Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
 
 
 
101.INS**
 
XBRL Instance Document
 
 
 
101.SCH**
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document
 
 
 
101.CAL**
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document
 
 
 
101.LAB**
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Labels Linkbase Document
 
 
 
101.PRE**
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document
 
 
 
101.DEF**
 
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document
______________________
*        Previously filed
**        This exhibit is being furnished rather than filed, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing, in accordance with Item 601 of Regulation S-K

62




SIGNATURES
 
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
 
American Capital Mortgage Investment Corp.
 
 
By:
 
/s/    MALON WILKUS 
 
 
Malon Wilkus
 
 
Chair of the Board of Directors
and Chief Executive Officer
 
Date:
November 12, 2013



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