Form 425
Filed by First Niagara Financial Group, Inc.
Pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act of 1933
and deemed filed pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Subject Company: NewAlliance Bancshares, Inc.
SEC Registration Statement No.: 0001-32007
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First Niagara Financial Group, Inc.
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First Niagara Financial |
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Group, Inc & NewAlliance |
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Bancshares, Inc Merger |
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FNFG
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Aug. 19, 2010 |
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MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION SECTION
Operator: Greetings and welcome to the First Niagaras NewAlliance Merger Announcement. At this
time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will
follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being
recorded.
It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, John Koelmel, Chief Executive Officer for First
Niagara Financial Group. Thank you, Mr. Koelmel. You may now begin.
John R. Koelmel, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you very much Robin good morning everyone. Appreciate you taking time to chat with us
today. Im very pleased proud and excited to becoming to your from New Haven, Connecticut
sitting next to Peyton Patterson, as you all know, Chairperson and CEO for NewAlliance
Bancshares.
Mike Harrington, my CFO is back up from Buffalo and Ill give you some thoughts and comments.
Peyton will do the same offer some [indiscernible]. Mike will walk you through the financial
components of the transaction that we just announced this morning, and then well open it and
all be happy to entertain your questions.
To say what I have already said incredibly proud, pleased, and excited definitely an
understatement. Very, very exciting day for our organization and Im sure you will here taking
Peyton echo the same thing. This is a classic win-win and one that advances the strategies of
both organization in an accelerated fashion, the further free [ph] where we will probably Im sure reinforce in the years ahead of the prior the regional banking franchise in the North
East.
What I think was very compelling most compelling about this transaction is that we are
putting two very strong organizations together. Certainly, our M&A path off late and the
industry at large has been how the best combine opportunistic circumstances, companies that are
to some extent challenged or in other ways inhibited and moving forward. But certainly not the
case with either us or new NewAlliance and the opportunity to accelerate the growth pattern
that we have otherwise been on and better position both of us to win is the ultimate takeaway
from this transaction.
Obviously, you are taking two incredibly strong balance sheets, putting them together, all of
which will enable us to immediately continue to focus on playing offence. And when I say
immediate, thats because there is no doubt that core conversion and initial integration
associated with this transaction, the execution risk, if you will, is incredibly low whether
that be a combination of our continuing success witnessed in the last 12 months, the Western PA
and then Eastern PA transactions, more importantly the strength, efficiency and effectiveness
of NewAlliance, as I said we are never dismissive, always retractable [ph], but incredibly
confident in our ability to execute on this transaction. And certainly its economically strong
story for both organizations and one that will clearly continue to drive incremental
shareholder value.
So we begin to take a look through the new normal window, we certainly feel that on a combined
basis we are all the more opportunistically positioned, playing offence and win on a combined
partnership deliberative basis.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 1
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Say that as you see enumerated on slide four from both the Wall Street and Main street
constituency perspective. We hear us consistently talking about doing the right things, the
right way for both Main Street as well as Wall Street. Certainly from a customer community and
employee standpoint, thats enables both organizations to bring an even more robust, suite of
products and services, continue to generate real momentum in terms of real stimulus, real
upside growth point and offerings translates through opportunities to grow that employment
base, and otherwise further invest in the communities, where both incredibly strong, our
community bank, culture heritages, and commitments. And its an easy story and a fun story to
tell in terms of the difference where we have both been making in the communities we served and
the ability to now do that on the collaborative basis.
Certainly, from an investor standpoint, whether youre on the First Niagara side, NewAlliance
side, or both, provides even better longer-term earning growth. You look at franchise volume or
franchise that were assembling as you go forward, NewAlliance those shareholders will seek
virtual double and their dividend recurred and thats repeatedly one of the best acquisitions,
all of us for bigger and better opportunities ahead.
I would say that looking at the footprint that weve framed on slide five, with all the
regional powerhouse and we dont say that was spin, we say that in really matter of fact way,
30 billion in assets, almost 350 branches 500 employees, very, very compelling story and one
that as we long talk begins the further fell out or further felt out the strategic footprint
that we have framed in puts another key stick in the ground for us in an incredibly attractive
demographic market.
In terms of overall visibility and profile, qualitatively, from FNRM [ph] would will
solidify us a Top 25 bank in the country however how we measure that on footings or on market
cap, but most important to both of us. This isnt just about being bigger. This is about being
better and we both have been driving top notch, top quartile, top decile performance, and on a
combined basis we will be better position to do just that.
Transaction itself, I think everyone is pretty familiar with the NewAlliance story as well as
First Niagara, just under 9 billion in total footings, 5 billion in deposits, similar number in
loans. Fourth largest bank in New England, most important to us, real strategic alignment, real
strong cultural fit as I already referenced a real focus on being the best community bank in
these markets and provides a terrific platform for both of us to further leverage and build out
what we expect to call our New England franchise.
In terms of building that franchise out, we are mutually excited about what we are going to be
able to bring. These markets better position us on a combined basis to compete against those
that otherwise serve these markets large and small. The strength and the power of the value
proposition we bring will be all the more enhanced and its just a terrific opportunity to talk
about playing from opposition of strength rather than trying to recreate a brand.
We stimulate a brand, as weve done in the last couple of transactions. This is to just
play-off of and build-off of on already very, very strong brand.
Obviously in terms of the markets and demographics here, and geographic positioning, weve
always being talking in past about how were continuing to focus our sales and push further
east. And this gives us a great opportunity and stronger pulling up and down at Amtrak
corridor.
Transaction itself Michael will recap furthermore of the details, but its nicely accretive rate
out of gate, very important to us returns on our investment, well exceeds cost of capital and
there is you will real strong double-digit return.
As always, we do our best to balance the sensitivities of those who focused on tangible book,
you heard our stick [ph] consistently well above trading capital for earnings trade, inherently
and building that to, and actually dilute tangible book. But again here weve been very
sensitive to ensure we get ourselves back to where we otherwise would have been in the shortest
period of time as Michael will recap for you. We are see that being no more than good chance of
even less than over the next three to four years.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 2
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And very, very importantly as we talked about prior deals and as weve come out od organization
and follow on equity offerings that I always used the phrase enable us to reload on applied.
There is no reload here, NewAlliance brings an even stronger capital positions of the table and
enable us to just insistently continue to play offering.
They know that most importantly as weve recapped in the next several pages, because of the
strength of their organization, their obtained, their performance, who there about and how they
do business. And I say that would price and running through talk, and you always hear me in
similar fashion about ourselves and the success of First Niagara.
NewAlliance as weve indicated here, top notch franchise across this footprint, already have
began to build strong earnings momentum, and theyve had a real positive start to 2010, are
well-positioned to leverage the foundation they build and really do so in a very, very positive
and productive fashion.
Credit quality as we depict on the next couple pages, as well as capital, very consistent with
ours and that weve always talk of great price. We continue to distinguish and differentiate
ourselves versus the industry.
As the essence of what is we captured on slide nine, however, you have slides or compare were
mirror images of each other in terms of our performance, our position, the potential that we
have and certainly distinguish ourselves versus the industry.
On slide ten, weve again recap what you seen from us before, as weve ventured initially down
in the Western Pennsylvania then over to the Eastern part of the state. And how we compare to
tress that to the legacy footprint in Upstate New York. We now had Central Connecticut through
that.
Demographics very, very strong working from the bottom of the page, thats why we push further
east not west. Thats why we are continuing invest our time, effort and energy, as well as our
capital and to what we are convinced not only longer term more stable, but more opportunistic
market.
We entered here again with NewAlliance in a strong position to begin with, but Id also
highlight to having said that the second line market share for us its all about upside and
opportunity. And while we got a great point of entry into this new market, weve got an even
better opportunity to take meaningful share and build on a success Beth [ph] and her team have
had and doing just that in this market.
You compare as you see on page 11 some of the market demographics where youre looking at types
of businesses, the size of businesses. Again they line up very, very consistently with the
markets in which we already do business and again just further underscore all the strategies
and overall alignment of the organization match very, very well.
And as Peyton and I have talked about this opportunity overtime and got into a point where we
have obviously made the commitment we have, its been on the premise that these organizations
are very much of just to tremendous were both committed longer term shareholder value that
position our organizations to the continue to drive that, know that to do that, youve got to
keep the customer at the center of all that you do. Its customer first for all of us.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 3
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Everyone knows were very empowered organization in terms of how we manage. Same for Peyton and
her team here to be more nimble and our possible to lager competitions in the market that
includes being more flexible and more nimble in our spot process more creative in terms of how
we serve those customer and most importantly, continue to invest strongly in the community.
Both of our track records are exemplarily in terms of the benefits we bring to the community
and our ability to now do that not only sustain whats happened, but to build on it and build
on like the success collectively.
Before I flip it with to Mike to highlight and recap on the financial terms Im very, very
pleased and very, very proud to introduce Peyton and enable her to offer her thoughts and
comments and the opportunity as well.
Peyton Patterson, President and Chief Executive Officer, NewAlliance
Great, thanks John. I share Johns enthusiasm regarding the strategic and cultural fit of
our organization, and I truly believe this combination accelerate NewAlliances potential
for all stakeholders and in a way that we couldnt achieve it quickly on our own.
First, for our shareholders, we receive a 24% premium based on yesterdays growth [ph] and
dividends earnings more than doubled.
Finally, NewAlliance shareholders end-up owning more than 30% of the combined organization. But
this partnership is more than just about numbers. When you look at the DNA of these two
companies, the similarities are remarkable.
Those organizations are passionate about serving their customers and truly helping their
communities drive. Both operating under a local community banking model that allow fast,
flexible, responsive decision-making, both with strong differentiated brands that are an
attractive alternative to the large and personal multi-nationals.
All of this translates into superior financial performance that John has alluded to. I am very
proud of what my Executives and local employees have helped build and even my commitments that
I will work closely with John to make sure that the transition is seamless, and that the new
organization continues to deliver superior financial returns to its shareholders.
And with that, Id like to hand it back over to John.
John R. Koelmel, President and Chief Executive Officer
Thanks so much, Peyton and we look forward to talk more about that opportunity and the mutual
commitment we bring to the combined success throughout the Q&A. But before we jump to that, Ill ask Mike Harrington, our CFO to spend a few minutes walking through the transaction, make
sure everyone understands the NewAlliance [indiscernible] and then come back and wrap it up
and open it up. Michael.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 4
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Michael W. Harrington, Chief Financial Officer
Thanks John. Good morning everyone. Before I get started on the details, I just want to
reiterate some of the earlier comments that have been made. The strings of actions is very
attractive to us from many perspectives strategically demographically and economically.
Combined these companies will form a very competitive franchise positions like few others to
accelerate the growth trajectories of both organizations.
With that let me give you a drive by on some the deal terms. We have agreed to a fixed exchange
ratio of 1.1 based on yesterdays close that the deal value of approximately $1.4 billion. This
consideration will be split 86% stock and 14% in cash, again based on yesterdays closing price
thats all in value of $14.09 with $12.09 of FNFG stock and $2 of cash making up that $14.09.
We elected to structure the deal this way in order to provide an immediate cash returns to the
shareholders of NewAlliance, in recognition of a strong capital position of the company today
and importantly the superior capital position we will find ourselves in after the closing.
On due diligence, we conducted an expensive process and confirmed that the NewAlliance
franchise is an exceptional shop, well managed, with outstanding credit quality.
In terms of modeling, we factored in cost saves of approximately 20 to 25% in the first full
year of operation. These figures include a meaningful portion of expense saves that are a
function of legacy benefits plans which will discontinue after the merger.
Exclusive of these benefit plans, cost synergies would be in the 15 to 20% range. On the
subject to non-recurring cost related to this transaction, we expect to be in 90 to $100
million range pre-tax with approximately 50% of those expenses related to the employee
benefits.
Turning to credit, we estimate that the loan credit mark will be in a range of 140 to 180
million with the mid point of this range being approximately 3% of loans are testament to the
disciplines credit culture of NewAlliance. This transactional require approval of the
shareholders of both companies and we are anticipating an early second quarter 2011 close.
Turning to slide 14, based on the deal price and our assumptions the transaction is immediately
accretive upon closing in 2011 and base looks nicely in 2012. What we are estimating right now
is a 4 to 5% accretion on a go forward basis.
One quick word on our assumptions. We are confident that the expansion or detail noted
previously combined with the continuing momentum of NewAlliance and executing its business
strategy will lead to be relative to current street estimates. Simply stated, we feel these
estimates are low based on what we have observed and learned about this company over the last
several weeks, ahead on the reasons why we fill this way momentarily.
On capital, the effect from the increase in the dividend per share, that was noted earlier that
NewAlliance shareholders will receive after closing, these projections give no consideration to
other capital management strategies we may deploy. Thats not to imply that we wont to
continue to do the right thing when it comes to capital management quite to contrary. We push
continue doing what we have investing it wisely to propel our business forward.
Transaction more than safely clears our internal hurdle rates of return and the earn back on
the tangible book value dilution is expected to be approximately three years, again an outcome
well within our guidelines.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 5
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Turning to slide 15. Why are we confident in this organizations ability to outperform Street
estimates? First there are no distraction has been noted earlier. These are two very good
companies coming together under a common strategy that are already running hard and executing
with drive and determination.
Going forward, well be focused on playing off each other strengths, whether its First Niagara
very competitive commercial services strategy or NewAlliances strong residential mortgage
originations and asset base lending expertise.
With the goal ultimately of accelerating the deployment of our excess liquidity and expanding
net interest margins and as to pick it on the previous slide, rock solid capital levels
positioned, they are rocks our capital levels will position us to continue playing offense and
never expanding fields of opportunity.
Turning to slide 16. For those concerns about execution risk of this deal, Id d like to point
out that NewAlliance added score is some more insights to Harleysville. Additionally as to pick
it on slide 16, our last two transactions are performing very well with strong deposit
retention and outstanding loan growth. This tax coupled with our track record of successfully
integrating multiple deals over the last decade only support our claim that we are good at this
and confident that we will make this newest partnership one that benefits all parties.
On slide 17 and before I turn it back to John, Id like to spend a minute on deal pricing. As
noted previously, this is one of the regular M&A deals in a long-time and while strategic bit
and growth opportunities maybe very enticing. At the end of the day, we are all about
increasing a long-term value of this company.
With that said, this slide helps to levels our expectations when it comes to pricing. Over the
our last two deals were exceptions as they were undergoing at time of very unstable
financial markets. We never expected those levels of accretion and returns to persists when the
economy stabilize. Well here we are thus an economy getting back on its feet and deal values
that looked normal in some respect and attractive versus other metrics. Whats normal is the
market premium, which is noted earlier, which are 24% nearest at our past deals and is
indicative of the fair value being paid to NewAlliance shareholders.
What is attractive is the price paid versus tangible book value which speaks the strong capital
levels of the company and the potential of our capital to derive higher future performance.
With that, Ill turn it over to John for some closing comments.
John R. Koelmel, President and Chief Executive Officer
As both Michael and I have said and Im sure maybe a few have concluded, this may well be the
stardom even have chatted this morning on TV. The beginnings of that new normal at least as
it relates to the world of M&A. And as always, were comfortable if not proud to be helping
said that Peyton and [indiscernible] and to be able to do it in partnership with Peyton and her
team is an accomplishment that I know we both feel very, very positive of about.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 6
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Again as I wrap it all backup, youve long heard me say, were about being bigger, better and
stronger. Bigger not just for the sake of size, but size does matter gives increased
competitive hedging competitive advantage and you can certainly see that when you look at our
combined pro forma organization in the New England market and the opportunities that it will
create, certainly it is relevant if you look across the broader strategic footprints, strategic
rectangle and the opportunities that creates for us imply at an even higher level day-in and
day-out in growing our business as well as otherwise looking at opportunities stronger, because
were now molding and measuring two very, very, very well run organizations that are showing
the kind of discipline that was necessary to navigate our respective shifts through the choppy
waters [ph] and come out the other end and even better positioned then when it all started. And
all of that is what translates with all from punch line, which is being better, better for the
benefit of our shareholders and drive a long-term earnings growth and long-term shareholder
value. And thats why were here, thats why were excited, thats why this is the right
transaction at the right time for both of us to accelerate the sales up that [indiscernible] of
opportunity do so all the more assertively, all the more confidently and with that much greater
conviction.
With that Rob, I will ask to open it up and I, Michael will be happy to entertain questions
that the Group may have.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 7
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QUESTION AND ANSWER SECTION
Operator: Thank you Mr. Koelmel. Well now be conducting a question-and-session. [Operator
Instructions] Thank you. Our first question is from the line of Damon DelMonte of KBW. Please
proceed with your question.
<Q Damon DelMonte>: Hi, good morning.
<A>: Good morning, Damon.
<Q Damon DelMonte>: I guess my first question, I go to pay in, in recent quarters, you
guys have spoken lot about the opportunities that youre seeing in New England the inside
quarter as you put it with opportunities to deploy your excess capital. Im just kind of
wondering, what change in your mind set, I guess in recent weeks, months or how do you that
would lead you guys to look to combine with another institution at this point?
<A>: Well. It was really about finding the right partner and we believe that our
companies are on similar path in respect to our own business model. But also the success is
that we reach out individually in the marketplace. John and I will know that we were on healthy
competitors in the M&A stage. And this was really a way to sort of combined force force is
on a strategic point of view, and really continue to build this franchise together going
forward. Were going to continue to do and exceed market expectations for the coming quarters.
So we still very strongly about that and I am sure John can talk about other successes that he
will continue to see as well.
<A John Koelmel>: I clearly, Damon, its one plus one equal to at least three or four
response here that both of us incredibly confident continuing to pursue the path were on
separately. But you can help, but get excited and confident when you put it together that we
can get that much further, that much faster, that much more beneficially relative to
longer-term outcomes.
<Q Damon DelMonte>: And what is the combined franchise hold for U.K. [ph] and now youre going to have all kind of running the New England franchise?
<A>: You just said on Johns and my top priority as weve alluded to this is much about
getting an exceptional management team to align against First Niagara. And thats going to be
the next conversation is really how do we align this organization through our management
expertise point of view. So I think more details to come on that.
<Q Damon DelMonte>: Okay. Thats great. But.....
<A>: Damon, let me just add to that or reinforce that, made it clear that as we build out
our organization many have heard me say its all about people, people, people; and one of the
reasons arguably the reason this is the right transaction for us right now, is because of the
strength and quality and talents of the people around this organization and thats starts with
patent.
So I can only reinforce point some perspective. Yeah, to-date its been about the
transaction, and its been about doing whats right for the benefit of the shareholders and the
communities, but no, thats on the promise but well not only sustain, but perpetually continue
hurdles and the leadership that youve witness and seen from this organization in the months
and years ahead.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 8
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<Q Damon DelMonte>: Okay. And then, with respect to the closing in the second quarter,
are there any expectations over regulatory delay getting approval just given the massive amount
of growth that you guys have had John in the last 18 months?
<A John Koelmel>: Massive is your word, the even. We think its been very measured and
discipline. Weve had running dialogue as you can only assume and conclude with the OCC and the
FAD as weve gone through our regulatory charter conversion over the last now better part of 12
months, and certainly, as we continue to push our shopping cart. So theyve been in touch and
then tune with what stores we were opening and what else we were working and they are very much
up to speed with what was coming and what the probabilities are. So, yes there will be
customary and orderly process. Yes, in todays environment thats little more protracted than
it might have been historically, and yes, we expect thats a sort of dropout in the first
quarter of next year, which is why we talk about on early second quarter closing. So its
always in the context of what we expect to see happen and just the timeline that would
otherwise play itself out and to the extent important two top Nat show organizations together
we can otherwise circumvent the require process that will play itself out.
<Q Damon DelMonte>: Okay, great. And then just my final question, so the deal is not
close for some reasons; is there a breakup fee?
<A>: Yes. There is a breakup fees you will see on both sides of the equation; about 4%
that would fall to either party depending on the circumstance. So Ill differ [ph] to some
later dialog and discussion as the attorneys and the like, but, yeah, youll see a breakup fee
for both sides.
<Q Damon DelMonte>: Okay, great. Thats all I have for now. Thank you very much.
<A>: Thanks a lot, David [ph].
<A>: Thank you.
Operator: Our next question is from Jason ODonnell with Boenning & Scattergood. Please proceed
with your question.
<Q Jason ODonnell>: Good morning and congratulations.
<A>: Thanks very much Jason; appreciated.
<Q Jason ODonnell>: Just given a size of the loan mark; 140 million to 180 million how
should we be thinking about the impact you First Niagaras loan loss provision expense post for
close of the transaction?
<A>: Mike, you want to pick up on that.
<A Michael Harrington>: Yeah I would think Jason as you think about how the model this;
that loan mark will take care of any credit losses that are embedded in the existing portfolio
when we bring that over. So as you look at provision, now we think about that from just an
incremental standpoint. And that is something were thinking about it at 75 to 100 basis points
type of range just for the incremental loan volume its added after close.
<A>: The incremental meaning new origination, Jason.
<A Michael Harrington>: Right.
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<Q Jason ODonnell>: Okay, great. Thats very helpful. I guess my other question was on
the $100 million in M&A expense cited in the slide there, does that represent the total cost of
both institutions or is that just for First Niagara?
<A>: Thats a total of both.
<Q Jason ODonnell>: Okay. And can you give us a breakout by quarter on the M&A expense
for just First Niagara that youre modeling for?
<A>: Well I think, well start to see some of those costs in this quarter and on a
go-forward basis, but the bulk of the expenses will take place in the quarter that we close the
deal.
<Q Jason ODonnell>: Okay. Great, thanks very much.
Operator: Our next question is from line of Matthew Kelly of Sterne, Agee. Please proceed with
your question.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: Yeah hi guys. Just to understand the expense part of the equation,
could you just breakout, you said 15 to 20% on the cash expenses, is that correct?
<A>: Yeah, Michael, go ahead and....
<A Michael Harrington>: Yeah, what I was trying to get that is, we feel or confident we
got 20 to 25% cash say from an expense standpoint. What I wanted to do that was try to quantify
that a lot of that, part of that 20 to 25% is related to a number of employee benefit plans
that are in place right now, that due to the merger of those plants will discontinue once the
merger takes place. So if you strip those away the core cash savings will be in the 15 to 20%
range.
<A>: Matt, what I would add to that is, I just want you to take back here, what we are
talking about we talk there about cost savings of I think down in the 10, 15% zone on a net
basis because we could achieve efficiencies but we in turn had to build out their franchise and
build out the business. The build up isnt required here. Thats again the upside and the
benefits. So we are able to realize efficiencies that may be wouldnt have been apparent if we
compare and contrast that the couple of yields because of the strength in the organization, and
more optimally leveraging, what they already have in place.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: Okay, so just unclear dividend running about a $160 million of the
cash expenses that on 20%, that would be 32 million, and then theyve had $7 million
amortization of goodwill or quite a positive intangibles, $8 million a year, and benefits
expenses those go away such $15 million there, such $47 million of expense saves that will be
factored into that 2012 estimate, is that accurate?
<A>: Yes, I mean directionally youve got some of the numbers, but it might be beneficial
just to if you want to talk later, we could get in more than greedy of what were thinking
about.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: Okay. And then I guess the guidance you provide just assumes that
current estimates right now for provisioning expenses at NewAlliance of 15 to 20 million. Your
accretion analysis assumes that goes to zero, because it all reflected in the mark, correct?
<A>: Yeah, its zero, except for any growth that they would subsequent to the acquisition.
Yeah.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: Okay, and no revenues synergies?
<A>: What we feel very good about the trajectory that NewAlliance is on about the
momentum in their business right now, and I feel like whats the street is estimating for them
on a going forward basis a little bit lower, and thats what I just referenced in my prepared
comments.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 10
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<Q Matthew Kelly>: On fee income.
<A>: Im sorry.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: On fee income.
<A>: I dont know if its on fee income, I just think that balance sheet activity they have
going on right now especially on the loan side I think that they have a lot of opportunities there.
You saw their margin start to expand last quarter and theyre doing a great job managing their
deposit cost. So the combination of those two we feel really good about where their margin is
headed.
<A>: Very good. If we look at strategically Matt, for a minute, non-traditional fee income,
no question in terms of more optimally leveraging, our model in this franchise obviously
traditional fees will challenge there, but these guys just announced Monday, new product rollout
that they and we are excited about in terms of its opportunity to mitigate some of that impact. You
take our commercial model and layer on top, you accelerate their transition. Theyve recently
started down the asset based lending path. They give us a broader opportunity to play that across
the full or franchise. Those of the types of our strategic here leaves [ph] an opportunity that
will trend place through incremental revenues. So thats just a quick little drive by thrusters
more under the covers there, will be attract leasing or other synergies as well. This is what you
are melding [ph] to real strong organizations, not just flop and how kind there. This is taken
best of our both roles in as I said before make one plus one of these people to three.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: And your GAAP accretion estimate is not a good thing, assume which you
get into that loan market back to earnings, correct?
<A>: Thats correct.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: Okay.
<A>: Not the credit component of it.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: Right.
<A>: GAAP accounts Matt.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: And then 95 million shares issued is roughly a number?
<A>: Yeah. Thats directionally correct. Yeah. They write in the ballpark.
<Q Matthew Kelly>: Okay. I let others to come back. Thank you.
<A>: Thanks, Matt.
Operator: Our next question is from Christen [ph] [indiscernible] Asset Management. Please
proceed with your question.
<Q>: Yes. Congratulations.
<A>: Good morning, Christen.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 11
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<Q>: Good morning. Just a question on the initial integration in the first 90 to 120 days.
What are the one or two deliver balls that youre going to focus on it exclusively?
<A>: Although its about the customer and our focus is on ensuring theyre in a good place.
They are comfortable with transition. Theyre going to see all the same basis whether that be in
the branch, whether that be with their lending team. The frontline will continue to push forward.
And exactly you talk about the communities and the confidence in the conviction and evidence that
they will see of that can anomaly that continuing, but frankly and even stronger commitment coming
out of the strong both organizations.
So, whether you will see from a customer standpoint, but I am confident will be seamless initial
conversion in mapping products and aligning services or systems to ensure there is no hiccups or
whether be the opportunity do not take advantage and even of an even broader array of products
and services or whether be the communities say ample and visible evidence of an even stronger, even
more focused community based organization.
<Q>: Great. Thank you.
<A>: Thank you.
Operator: Our next question is from Collyn Gilbert with Stifel Nicolaus. Please proceed with your
question.
<Q Collyn Gilbert>: Thanks. Good morning everybody.
<A>: Good morning, Collyn.
<Q Collyn Gilbert>: Just kind of follow-on I think to Marks question and Mike you sort of
talked a little bit about this, but just related to the specific no answers of NewAlliances
balance sheet. I am trying to get kind of improvement in earnings there, Mike, do you see or
foresee any balance sheet restructuring or sizable gains to be taken thats part one of the
question.
And part two is I know that obviously NewAlliance is the cost of funds and deposit cost are very
strong, but there are still little bit I think, if I calculate it right higher than yours, is
there strategy there on the deposit pricing side?
<A Michael Harrington>: Ill take the first question and we no there is no gains
and no restructurings factor then what weve talked about today
Collyn....
<Q Collyn Gilbert>: Okay.
<A
Michael Harrington>: And on the deposit cost front as I mentioned earlier I think there
theyd have a strategy, theyre defiantly headed in the right direction in terms of where they are
going with deposit costs have been very effective at managing those cost down, and you combine that
with what they are doing on the asset side of the balance sheet relative to their loan growth theyre getting especially in the commercial side of things, and thats where we feel good about where
the margins headed.
<A Peyton Patterson>: Collyn, its Peyton, how are you?
<Q Collyn Gilbert>: I am good, thanks, Peyton.
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<A Peyton Patterson>: Good. Well maybe just to add a word from the NewAlliance side on the
margin and cost of deposits, as you know weve been hard to working that, and as we said in our
second quarter earnings, we continue to see some movements on our cost of deposit, so thats good
news, while still continuing to grow deposits. But I think what youll also see is margin
improvement as a result of the really healthy loan growth that weve seen, not just from our new
asset based lending business, but just a strong momentum were seeing just generally on the
commercial side.
<A>: Right, and Ill add to that Collyn. Picking up on your securities portfolio question.
This is I think on a pro-forma basis were going to have 11, $12 billion securities portfolio and
theres no question, therell be opportunities to do, Im sure advantageous things that help
ourselves better position that work in the balance sheet general, Michael referenced earlier, we
have in fact our capital management and the benefits of that into thinking or thought process and
you can read what you want into the statement, you guys all know, weve long managed and always
true for NewAlliance capital well and affectively whether we leverage it, deploy it or manage it.
We havent attempted to clatter the analysis with those types of new answers, not because we dont
break the opportunities are very real and that we wouldnt otherwise expect to take advantage of
them. Weve done our best to keep this as clean and simple as we can, so trust we are going to be
as smart and as sophisticated ideally even more so working together on a joint basis as we have
been separately, we just have an opted a set of co-mingle [ph] all of that footwork and more
sophisticated management effort into or otherwise, we think its a very strong and compelling story
on its own.
<Q Collyn Gilbert>: Okay. Okay, thats helpful. And then just one final question, I guess
Dr. John to you as well Peyton, is on your future advertising/marketing/branding strategy, Peyton
you guys have done a fantastic job as building out your brand. In that market you are on the phase
of the NewAlliance franchise and John to your credit, two you guys have done a phenomenal job in
the Pennsylvania market changing the brand and getting the name in there, how does the dynamic work
now with the combined institutions, I know you said obviously the signage is going to change under
First Niagara, but whats the sort of the branding/marketing strategy and then Mike question to
you, whats the cost structure of that strategy?
<A>: Well the substance of my response would be, weve got two incredibly strong brands and
the really nice protocol problems/challenge/opportunity is the higher leverage, the separate
momentum most effectively on a combined collaborative basis. You were just alluded Collyn, our
approach is to reposition our official brand under the First Niagara and [indiscernible] intend to
that here, but whether as you said you look at the great work this organization has done Mark
Gibson [ph] and his team whether you look at the work their organization has done Bill Freeman and
our team, the Marks and the Bills, too very bright lights will work together to figure out how we
make sure, we address your question most effectively, but again its going to be within the context
of leveraging and playing off of two great stories with tremendous momentum.
<Q Collyn Gilbert>: Okay, okay.
<A>: On the expense front, our one-time cost that weve outlined here, component of that
includes initial branding or changeover in the brand takes place will take place around the
closing in the afternoon. The ongoing costs we thought about that I mean they were spending the
dollars that NewAlliance has been spending on marketing, we would expect that to continue on a go
forward basis. Theyve been spending more dollars in marketing, the brand themselves, and well
just transition their cost into branding for First Niagara.
<A>: And now they will do that. Collyn, we now have the right word re-branding ourselves
within the context of todays market, but weve done the context of tomorrows market as we look
ahead across our broader New England franchise.
www.CallStreet.com 1-877-FACTSET Copyright © 2001-2010 CallStreet 13
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<Q Collyn Gilbert>: Great. Okay. Thats very helpful. Thanks, guys.
Operator: Our next question is from Tom Alonso with Macquarie Bank. Please proceed with your
question.
<Q Thomas Alonso>: Good morning, guys.
<A>: Good morning, Tom.
<Q Thomas Alonso>: Just kind of most of my questions already been answered, but sort of
your capital you guys like to put on the map for what youre looking this kind of takes you, if you
like on the real term youve kind of hit the four corners now, like your Pittsburg fought after
you, obviously in New York and now you kind of moved into New England. Does this give you a
footprint to look further a field, or are you going to stay within that that trap is right on the
go forward basis as you like to say as you push your cart around.
<A>: Well, for clarity, Ill call it a parallelogram. I want to be exercise versus
parallelogram, little lower there Tom. I think, I got an A in
Geometry back in .....
<Q Thomas Alonso>: Apparently, I didnt.
<A>: And thats why were proud of that. So, you mean consistently talk, response for this
question otherwise, we very much like the footprint that we planned. And youre correct and playing
back what I referenced upfront, why among other reasons this is the right transaction at the right
time for us.
First time for us collectively as it does just what you said, really play in the tent under which
we would expect to work going-forward. So the idea of being able to put another strong, strong
stake in the ground in New England that allows us strech their franchise from Buffalo to Boston to
Philly to Pittsburgh yeah, youve accurately recap that.
And I remain very confident that its further ground work day in and day out most importantly for
organic growth and build out whether that be on either side of the balance sheet commercial and or
our retail customers, as well as future by M&A opportunities.
So thats why weve stayed focused. Thats why weve stayed disciplined just as NewAlliance has and
its being said earlier, now we are chasing these together rather as competitors. So you can count
on us to stay very focused, knowing that opportunities we believe relatively are bound in the
footprint we further defined and framed.
<Q Thomas Alonso>: Okay. Thanks.
Operator: Your next question is from Emily Burns with Citi of New Heaven. Please proceed with
your question.
<Q John DeStefano>: Actually this is John DeStefano from the Citi of New Heaven. Thank you
for calling me this morning, John good talking to you for the first time. I do want to acknowledge
your statement John about becoming a more focused community based organization and actually in
response to Toms question just recently about liking the footprint that you have right now. The
city indeed imposed apposed New Haven Savings Bank demutualization back in 2004 largely against
this day, when we might see purchase by a larger institution. We see that, I see that as ultimately loss of local decision-making and then some understanding of our market. So Im interest
to how you reflect, why I should see this in my communities interest?
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<A>: Well, Im happy Mayer, and I appreciate the opportunity and look forward to meeting in
person over hopefully the next day or two.
<Q John DeStefano>: Yes, I understand on New Haven.
<A>: Yes, Im sitting with Peyton in her board room, so look forward to catching up with you
over the next 25 hours or so.
<Q John DeStefano>: Im sure, youll enjoy that.
<A>: As you learn more about us youll see that were community bank not in main but in
practice. Theres no organization that better wants to talk than First Niagara and whether you look
at what we do, day-in and day-out and then resting in our communities whether you look at a very
significant place that weve made whether itd be helping Mayor Michael Nutter reopening is the
swimming pool in Philadelphia whether we itd be helping Mayor Byron Brown further invest in the
Larkin district in the community that we have there, whether itd be helping Governor David
Paterson reenergize the empire state games across the entire state of New York or the other
activities that we just do day-in and day-out, were all about community and we live community, we
take pride and being at community bank, and I assure you there will be not only no back up, but youll see ample evidence of even stronger momentum going forward. So youll see us continue to invest
in this community as well as others. And we more than understand its a four legged tool to success
one of those is shareholders, one of those is customers, one of those is employees, but that
community leg is widely important as well.
<Q John DeStefano>: I appreciate the comment about swimming pools but New Haven will pay
for its own swimming pools, I am more interest in larger issues of wealth creation to community
lending. So Id be particularly interested to learn about your record and just to reflect again
about the comfort with this footprint. What is the likelihood than at some point First Niagara, the
larger First Niagaras indeed purchase?
<A>: Well, we are not here today to talk about that Mayer. And as I said I am happy and look
forward to as across the basking [ph] and chatting with you more and talking about how strong we
are as the community player, as an investor, as the lender. As youll quickly learn, taken a look
at our story we lead the industry in terms of community lending and growth.
Weve been consistent in terms of our execution for the benefit of not only our customers but our
market and you will see that further leverage the momentum that Peyton and her team have created
here. So if I can might ask that we differ this conversation to one that we can have in person, so
Rob if we can if we can move on to the next question and Mayer thanks so much, appreciate and
welcome to the neighborhood and look forward to seeing you soon.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Ivan of Loop Capital. Please proceed
with your question.
<Q Ivan Gulich>: Thank. Good morning everyone.
<A>: Good morning.
<Q Ivan Gulich>: I have a question about like whats the max cost in this bill, and also
is there any like material average is that related to the NewAlliance [indiscernible]?
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<A>: The material average change part; I missed the second part of your question Emily, Im
sorry.
<Q Ivan Gulich>: Is there any like what is the maximum delinquent loans can NewAlliance
have before the deal closed. Is there any math related to the delinquent loans; impaired loans;
yeah?
<A>: There is nothing in terms of the loans if youre referencing for instance, the metric
that we put in place at Harleysville this is real apples and oranges. This is incredibly high
quality credit shop. So...
<Q Ivan Gulich>: Okay.
<A>: The needs to manage the downside risk on the credit book just as it relevant here. So
no, there is nothing similar to that. I think thats were going with your question.
<Q Ivan Gulich>: Okay. Thank you very much.
<A>: Hi, thank you.
Operator: Our next question is from Joe French with Sandler ONeill. Please proceed with your
question.
<Q Joseph French>: Good morning.
<A John Koelmel>: Hey, Joe.
<A>: Hey, John, you guys said earlier this year John, that you were conducting a national
search for selling the service President of the company, does this does this still at all alter
that search process in terms of the type of person you are looking forward; you may be now look for
couple of very senior people or do you look for sort of one person the sort of tied to four major
pieces of the franchise, and can you update us and how you are thinking about the senior management
structure?
<A>: As we chatted little bit ago Joe, now having this specific combination together, because
you well know what we know, when we know to make decisions organization. So well we rethink and
reassess where we are and where we go down the Executive leadership path. Im very, very
comfortable with the team we have and all the more so with the benefit of the combined leadership
organization that well have and well further asses, further reassess, how we best frame and shape
our leadership team to position us for tomorrow as we look ahead in the coming weeks and months.
<Q Joseph French>: Fair enough. Thanks john. And my other questions are answered.
<A>: All right thanks Joe.
Operator: Your next question is from Matthew Kelley with Sterne Agee. Please proceed with your
question.
<Q Matthew Kelley>: Yeah, Mike just another modeling question, whats the core to positive
intangible expense, which were using and kind of the methodology, and then the dollar amount?
<A>: What would be applying a few percent core deposit intangible value? I dont know if I
have that in front of me right now. Matt.
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<Q Matthew Kelley>: and thats on core deposits, X jumbo CDs correct?
<A>: Yeah.
<Q Matthew Kelley>: Okay.
<A>:
Were going to do some of the [indiscernible] digit for 10 years.
<Q Matthew Kelley>: Got you.
<A>: Obviously thats what weve assumed also revaluated in due course, but thats
reasonably directionally a correct assumption Matt.
<Q Matthew Kelley>: Okay, and just to be clear the accretion guidance that youre providing
4 to 5%, thats based upon a buck 11 for First Niagara, the current first call consensus?
<A>: Correct. I mean, we talked about Wall Street estimates for us.
<A>: Right.
<Q Matthew Kelley>: Okay.
<A>: Thats just incremental accretion relative to the acquisition.
<Q Matthew Kelley>: And I dont know if [indiscernible] or John, if you could just talk
about how long these discussions have been going on, when this started, and how quickly it came
together?
<A>: Well as you know, these things takes a little bit of time, but John and I have know each
other sort of in the field that you will, for quite some time. And have developed a mutual
admiration for each other. And so I would say that this came together in the normal due process,
as we really got serious about whats the tremendous opportunity at this particular point in time
in the cycle represented, first to really go on office together, so and I dont know if you might
want to comment as well.
<A John Koelmel>: Its been a running dialog, Matt, over the last several months and is
picked up pace in earnings in fairly recent time here. So, but its one thats been very powerful
by both sides and there was no rush to judgment. I assure you here in one as we both evaluated our
respective opportunities, weve given as long and thorough consideration as to how we evaluate that
one plus one equals three opportunity.
<Q Matthew Kelley>: And actually just a question for patent, how did the recent low rate
environment deflationary type environment impact your thinking, just given the fact that you guys
have a pretty good size mortgage portfolio. Curious how that part of discussion factoring into the
boards thinking to sell now?
<A>: Yeah. I dont think it played a role at all really. I mean, as you know we got fairly
rigorous residential mortgage lending or fairly act as insensitive and really this was more about
strategic opportunity and what we saw as a way to built shareholders value in the short-term but
really aggressively take advantage of what we see it is a great M&A environment sort of picking up
and no better than the two of our companies to be able to do that given where our competitors are
at this stage and time.
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<Q Matthew Kelley>: And just play after Reg E aspect of that Matt, dont go through where
other than very much in the Reg E game. These guys and this market it
is jumble arm. Market the
portfolio that same product in the legacy footprint just hasnt been a lot of that opportunity. But
as you take this market and this environment there is no question of residential mortgage business
always has been and will be an important business unit, business line product for us and how we
managed our balance sheet historically versus going forward. I think youll see some migration
there as well, so dont consider anything from the fact that, the more traditional tripped focused
orientation and how that converts to ours again, another example of how the business model very
neatly and tightly aligned.
<Q Matthew Kelley>: Okay, got it, Thank you very much.
Operator: Our next question is from Mark [ph] from Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your
question.
<Q>: Hi, good morning its [indiscernible] from Goldman Sachs Asset Management. Two questions,
the first one have you broken up the composition of the loan marks on the acquisition? And
secondly, in terms of any debt issuance related to the steel are going forward? Thank you.
<A>: Michael, Ill take the later one quickly. No debt issuance required rather we are
funded with internal resources, Michael you can rearticulate that and maybe respond on the loan
mark.
<A Michael Harrington>: Yes, I mean not that weve established a long term practice here,
but the 150 is the global credit mark weve obviously internally broken that up, between the
different categories but havent shared that in the past, and wed prefer to stay away from getting
into too much detail, I mean there I think more than schedule there in eight or nice categories
maybe upto 10, where the loan marks allocated to these different components of their loan
portfolio, I cant say that the majority or at least 40% of that loan marks is relative, related to
the residential portfolio just because of the size of the residential portfolio relative to the
total loan portfolio.
<A>: Thats the directional guidance we can offer market soon 40, 50% on the resi side and we
can allocate the rest accordingly. But again, we want to reaffirm the 3% credit mark I think that
compares to was probably in the sixth or seventh zone in the last couple deals or maybe even a
pad higher further information of the quality of this portfolio.
<Q>: Great, thank you.
<A>: Thank you.
Operator: Gentlemen, our last question is from line of Gary Lu [ph] with First Investors Group.
<Q>: Hi, thanks for taking my call. I just want to follow-up with the loan mark question
first. Why 3% its sound high because NewAlliance had just 18 million progression in 2009, so
this is essentially ten times the provision commenced in 2009?
<A>: Well, Ill give you a quick and Michael can play out for that. The purpose for the loan
mark as to estimate the exposure over the remaining life of the portfolio. So the provision is
point in time as a function of adjusting an allowance the different path and a different luck when
you evaluate the credit marks under current whatever it is 141 our current gap accounting, but
Michael will translate that more specifically.
<A Michael Harrington>: Yeah. Well, our credit team went in and looked at the charge-off
history for this each of these individual portfolios over the last five to six quarters, and then,
apply
that to as John just noted to what thats going to be over the life of this assets and thats
where we come up with a 3% credit mark.
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<Q>: Okay. A NewAlliance had 1% reserve ratio. How does that does that mean you
essentially mark down the loan by 4%?
<A>: Well, that goes away that allowance and then we apply our 3% mark.
<Q>: Okay. And then second thing is on the pro-forma TCE ratio 8.2%, why does it go down
that you have 8.6 NewAlliance having 11% flows, is it because of the loan mark and EDI [ph]
intangibles?
<A>: Yeah, there is some intangibles on loan mark for some cash and that the others been
paid. So again, 8.6 and then moving to 8.2 still very, very strong capital position on a
pro-forma basis.
<A>: But you hit the pieces Gary that step you down as you model it out. Its 200 million
of cash plus the loan mark and the intangibles, if you got it.
<Q>: How much room can you play offense with our 8.2% TCE ratio?
<A>: Very comfortable and confident in our ability to continue to do that. I think one
can wrestle over whats the most relevant metric you look at total risk base to be it north of
15, you look at tier 1 common being where it is. Mike and I consistently talked about 5 to 7 is
the zone that hang together on the TCE front. We have managed it north of that over the last
couple of years just because of the environment in reality, but, on the promise that this is
the front end of a new normal. However redefined I know look at 8% as a necessary frankly where
the loan sustainable capital level. We need to more optimally leverage and deploy it in the
years ahead.
<Q>: Okay. And my last question is on dividend, any change on the dividend policy?
<A>: For more than committed and as you are modeling will elevate this great tremendous
earnings power for the combined organization and as weve all said, terms of our $0.56 current
run rate, I think NewAlliance, its about half of that. On a pro forma basis, it will double
there, and youll see the dividend payout ratio; were progressively stepping into a more
traditional historic patterns, as the earnings would comes, and if anything Ive alluded before
the question is when we increase the dividend, not whether or not
were at risk for decreasing
it. So, youll see that and you can read between the lines in term of capital management going
forward. The pro forma earnings capacity of this organization is substantial, and hence
managing the base we have for other loan; how we do that with the benefit of even stronger
earnings left. Its the part of the nice opportunities, nice challenge we have within
organization.
<Q>: Great. Thank you so much.
<A>: Thank you very much.
Operator: Thank you. Mr. Koelmel. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to
turn the floor back over to you for closing comments.
John R. Koelmel, President and Chief Executive Officer
Rob, thank you very much. Nice job of facilitating all of that. More importantly, everyone on
the phone, we appreciate youre willingness on the short notice to up on and listen our story,
and engage us in what I think its been terrific discussion and commentary. And I think on behalf of
both Peyton and I; we can say, what I said upfront. Were excited. Were enthused and we are proud
of what weve announced this morning. And as you hear from me consistently, further evidence that
our best days are clearly ahead of us. Thank you very much everyone. Have a good day. Well be in
touch.
Operator:
This concludes todays teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time.
Thank you for your participation.
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Additional Information for Stockholders
In connection with the proposed merger, First Niagara Financial Group, Inc. will file with the
Securities and Exchange Commission a Registration Statement on Form S-4 that will include a Proxy
Statement of NewAlliance Bancshares, Inc. and a Prospectus of First Niagara, as well as other
relevant documents concerning the proposed transaction. Shareholders are urged to read the
Registration Statement and the Proxy Statement/Prospectus regarding the merger when it becomes
available and any other relevant documents filed with the SEC, as well as any amendments or
supplements to those documents, because they will contain important information. A free copy of
the Proxy Statement/Prospectus, as well as other filings containing information about First Niagara
and NewAlliance, may be obtained at the SECs Internet site (http://www.sec.gov). You will also be
able to obtain these documents, free of charge, from First Niagara at www.fnfg.com under the tab
Investor Relations and then under the heading Documents or from NewAlliance by accessing
NewAlliances website at www.newalliancebank.com under the tab Investors and then under the
heading SEC Filings.
First Niagara and NewAlliance and certain of their directors and executive officers may be deemed
to be participants in the solicitation of proxies from the shareholders of NewAlliance in
connection with the proposed merger. Information about the directors and executive officers of
First Niagara is set forth in the proxy statement for First Niagaras 2010 annual meeting of
shareholders, as filed with the SEC on a Schedule 14A on March 19, 2010. Information about the
directors and executive officers of NewAlliance is set forth in the proxy statement for
NewAlliances 2010 annual meeting of shareholders, as filed with the SEC on a Schedule 14A on March
11, 2010. Additional information regarding the interests of those participants and other persons
who may be deemed participants in the transaction may be obtained by reading the Proxy
Statement/Prospectus regarding the proposed merger when it becomes available. Free copies of this
document may be obtained as described in the preceding paragraph.
Forward-Looking Statements
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constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995 (the Act), notwithstanding that such statements are not specifically
identified as such. In addition, certain statements may be contained in our future filings with
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by us or with our approval that are not statements of historical fact and constitute
forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Act. Examples of forward-looking statements
include, but are not limited to: (i) projections of revenues, expenses, income or loss, earnings or
loss per share, the payment or nonpayment of dividends, capital structure and other financial
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customers and our assessment of that impact, changes in the level of non-performing assets and
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