Moody's Corporation Reaffirms Full-Year 2015 Guidance

Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) today reaffirmed its full-year 2015 guidance. Full-year 2015 EPS guidance is still in the range of $4.55 to $4.65.

“We are reaffirming our 2015 earnings per share guidance of $4.55 to $4.65,” said Raymond McDaniel, President and Chief Executive Officer of Moody’s. “We continue to see generally accessible financial market conditions, as well as strong demand for many of our Moody’s Analytics products. However, market volatility and subdued economic growth in some regions continue to moderate fixed income activity.”

Certain components of Moody’s 2015 revenue guidance have been modified to reflect the Company’s current view of business conditions. While global Moody’s Investors Service (“MIS”) revenue for full-year 2015 is still expected to increase in the mid-single-digit percent range, non-U.S. MIS revenue is now expected to decrease in the low-single-digit percent range. Additionally, while global Moody’s Analytics revenue for full-year 2015 is still expected to increase in the mid-single-digit percent range, professional services revenue is now expected to decrease in the low-double-digit percent range.

A full summary of Moody’s guidance as of September 30, 2015 is included in the table at the end of this press release. Moody's outlook for 2015 is based on assumptions about many macroeconomic and capital market factors, including interest rates, corporate profitability and business investment spending, merger and acquisition activity, consumer borrowing and securitization, and the amount of debt issued. There is an important degree of uncertainty surrounding these assumptions, and, if actual conditions differ, Moody's results for the year may differ materially from the current outlook.

Moody's is holding its 2015 Investor Day conference today in New York City.

The event will also be accessible through a live conference call. Individuals within the U.S. and Canada can access the call by dialing 1-855-309-1713 toll-free. Other callers should dial 804-419-7747. Please dial into the call by 8:20 a.m. Eastern Time. The participant access code for the call is 43812405.

A replay of the event will be available approximately one week following the event on Moody’s Investor Relations website, http://ir.moodys.com, until 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time, December 31, 2015.

ABOUT MOODY'S CORPORATION

Moody's is an essential component of the global capital markets, providing credit ratings, research, tools and analysis that contribute to transparent and integrated financial markets. Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) is the parent company of Moody's Investors Service, which provides credit ratings and research covering debt instruments and securities, and Moody's Analytics, which offers leading-edge software, advisory services and research for credit and economic analysis and financial risk management. The corporation, which reported revenue of $3.3 billion in 2014, employs approximately 10,200 people worldwide and maintains a presence in 35 countries. Further information is available at www.moodys.com.

“Safe Harbor” Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995

Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for Moody’s business and operations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Moody’s outlook for 2015 and other forward-looking statements in this release are made as of September 30, 2015, and the Company disclaims any duty to supplement, update or revise such statements on a going-forward basis, whether as a result of subsequent developments, changed expectations or otherwise. In connection with the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the Company is identifying certain factors that could cause actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those indicated by these forward-looking statements. Those factors, risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the current world-wide credit market disruptions and economic slowdown, which is affecting and could continue to affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets; other matters that could affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets, including credit quality concerns, changes in interest rates and other volatility in the financial markets; the level of merger and acquisition activity in the US and abroad; the uncertain effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of U.S. and foreign government initiatives to respond to the current world-wide credit disruptions and economic slowdown; concerns in the marketplace affecting our credibility or otherwise affecting market perceptions of the integrity or utility of independent agency ratings; the introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies; pricing pressure from competitors and/or customers; the level of success of new product development and global expansion; the impact of regulation as an NRSRO, the potential for new U.S., state and local legislation and regulations, including provisions in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act and anticipated regulations resulting from that Act; the potential for increased competition and regulation in the EU and other foreign jurisdictions; exposure to litigation related to our rating opinions, as well as any other litigation to which the Company may be subject from time to time; provisions in the Dodd-Frank Act legislation modifying the pleading standards, and EU regulations modifying the liability standards, applicable to credit rating agencies in a manner adverse to credit rating agencies; provisions of EU regulations imposing additional procedural and substantive requirements on the pricing of services; the possible loss of key employees; failures or malfunctions of our operations and infrastructure; any vulnerabilities to cyber threats or other cybersecurity concerns; the outcome of any review by controlling tax authorities of the Company’s global tax planning initiatives; the outcome of those legacy tax matters and legal contingencies that relate to the Company, its predecessors and their affiliated companies for which Moody’s has assumed portions of the financial responsibility; the impact of mergers, acquisitions or other business combinations and the ability of the Company to successfully integrate acquired businesses; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the levels of capital investments; a decline in the demand for credit risk management tools by financial institutions; and other risk factors as discussed in the Company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and in other filings made by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

2015 Outlook

Moody’s outlook for 2015 is based on assumptions about many macroeconomic and capital market factors, including interest rates, corporate profitability and business investment spending, merger and acquisition activity, consumer borrowing and securitization, and the amount of debt issued. There is an important degree of uncertainty surrounding these assumptions, and, if actual conditions differ, Moody’s results for the year may differ materially from the current outlook.

Full-year 2015 Moody’s Corporation guidance
MOODY'S CORPORATIONCurrent guidance as of September 30, 2015

Last publicly disclosed guidance as of July 30, 2015

Revenue growth in the mid-single-digit percent range NC
Operating expenses growth in the mid-single-digit percent range NC
Depreciation & amortization Approximately $120 million NC
Operating margin Approximately 43% NC
Adjusted operating margin Approximately 46% NC
Effective tax rate Approximately 31% - 32% NC
EPS $4.55 to $4.65 NC
Capital expenditures Approximately $100 - $110 million NC
Free cash flow Approximately $1 billion NC
Share repurchases Approximately $1 billion (subject to available cash, market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions) NC
Full-year 2015 revenue guidance
MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICECurrent guidance as of September 30, 2015

Last publicly disclosed guidance as of July 30, 2015

MIS global growth in the mid-single-digit percent range NC
MIS U.S. growth in the low-double-digit percent range NC
MIS Non-U.S. decrease in the low-single-digit percent range Approximately flat
Corporate finance growth in the mid-single-digit percent range NC
Structured finance growth in the mid-single-digit percent range NC
Financial institutions growth in the low-single-digit percent range NC

Public, project and infrastructure finance

growth in the low-double-digit percent range

NC
MOODY'S ANALYTICS
MA global growth in the mid-single-digit percent range NC
MA U.S. growth in the low-double-digit percent range NC
MA Non-U.S. growth in the low-single-digit percent range NC
Research, data, and analytics growth in the high-single-digit percent range NC
Enterprise risk solutions growth in the mid-single-digit percent range NC
Professional services decrease in the low-double-digit percent range decrease in the high-single-digit percent range
NC- There is no difference between the Company's current guidance and the last publicly disclosed guidance for this item.

Contacts:

Michael Adler
Senior Vice President
Corporate Communications
212.553.4667
michael.adler@moodys.com
or
Salli Schwartz
Global Head of Investor Relations
212.553.4862
sallilyn.schwartz@moodys.com

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