3 Reasons to Avoid CORT and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

CORT Cover Image

Shareholders of Corcept would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 56.3% and now trades at $36.31. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in Corcept, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.

Why Is Corcept Not Exciting?

Even though the stock has become cheaper, we're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why CORT doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. EPS Trending Down

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Sadly for Corcept, its EPS declined by 6.9% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew by 22.5%. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Corcept Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

2. Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

As you can see below, Corcept’s margin dropped by 27.1 percentage points over the last five years. Continued declines could signal it is in the middle of an investment cycle. Corcept’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 18.6%.

Corcept Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

ROIC, or return on invested capital, is a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Unfortunately, Corcept’s ROIC has decreased significantly over the last few years. We like what management has done in the past, but its declining returns are perhaps a symptom of fewer profitable growth opportunities.

Corcept Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

Corcept isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 103.6× forward P/E (or $36.31 per share). This valuation tells us it’s a bit of a market darling with a lot of good news priced in - we think other companies feature superior fundamentals at the moment. Let us point you toward one of Charlie Munger’s all-time favorite businesses.

Stocks We Like More Than Corcept

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