3 Reasons to Sell CHPT and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

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CHPT Cover Image

ChargePoint has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small loss of 0.9% while holding steady at $6.05. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 11.7% gain during that period.

Is there a buying opportunity in ChargePoint, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full breakdown from our expert analysts, it’s free.

Why Is ChargePoint Not Exciting?

We’re sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than CHPT, plus one stock we’d rather own.

1. Revenue Tumbling Downwards

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a stretched historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. ChargePoint’s recent performance marks a sharp pivot from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 7.3% over the last two years. ChargePoint Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

2. Cash Burn Ignites Concerns

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

ChargePoint’s demanding reinvestments have drained its resources over the last five years, putting it in a pinch and limiting its ability to return capital to investors. Its free cash flow margin averaged negative 48.9%, meaning it lit $48.87 of cash on fire for every $100 in revenue.

ChargePoint Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

3. Short Cash Runway Exposes Shareholders to Potential Dilution

As long-term investors, the risk we care about most is the permanent loss of capital, which can happen when a company goes bankrupt or raises money from a disadvantaged position. This is separate from short-term stock price volatility, something we are much less bothered by.

ChargePoint burned through $70.67 million of cash over the last year, and its $239.7 million of debt exceeds the $96.18 million of cash on its balance sheet. This is a deal breaker for us because indebted loss-making companies spell trouble.

ChargePoint Net Debt Position

Unless the ChargePoint’s fundamentals change quickly, it might find itself in a position where it must raise capital from investors to continue operating. Whether that would be favorable is unclear because dilution is a headwind for shareholder returns.

We remain cautious of ChargePoint until it generates consistent free cash flow or any of its announced financing plans materialize on its balance sheet.

Final Judgment

ChargePoint isn’t a terrible business, but it isn’t one of our picks. With its shares lagging the market recently, the stock trades at $6.05 per share (or a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.3×). The market typically values companies like ChargePoint based on their anticipated profits for the next 12 months, but it expects the business to lose money. We also think the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside here - there are more exciting stocks to buy. Let us point you toward the Amazon and PayPal of Latin America.

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