2 Reasons to Like ONB (and 1 Not So Much)

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ONB Cover Image

Old National Bank trades at $26.83 per share and has stayed right on track with the overall market, gaining 10.1% over the last six months. At the same time, the S&P 500 has returned 13.5%.

Is now a good time to buy ONB? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does Old National Bank Spark Debate?

Tracing its roots back to 1834 when Andrew Jackson was president, Old National Bancorp (NASDAQ: ONB) is a bank holding company that provides commercial and consumer loans, deposit services, wealth management, and treasury solutions primarily throughout the Midwest region.

Two Things to Like:

1. Net Interest Income Skyrockets, Fueling Growth Opportunities

While banks generate revenue from multiple sources, investors view net interest income as a cornerstone — its predictable, recurring characteristics stand in sharp contrast to the volatility of one-time fees.

Old National Bank’s net interest income has grown at a 30.7% annualized rate over the last five years, much better than the broader banking industry and faster than its total revenue. Its growth was driven by both an increase in its outstanding loans and net interest margin, which represents how much a bank earns in relation to its outstanding loan book.

Old National Bank Trailing 12-Month Net Interest Income

2. Forecasted Efficiency Ratio Shows Stronger Profits Ahead

Topline growth carries importance, but the overall profitability behind this expansion determines true value creation. For banks, the efficiency ratio captures this relationship by measuring non-interest expenses, including salaries, facilities, technology, and marketing, against total revenue.

Investors focus on efficiency ratio changes rather than absolute levels, understanding that expense structures vary by revenue mix. Counterintuitively, lower efficiency ratios indicate better performance since they represent lower costs relative to revenue.

For the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Old National Bank to rein in some of its expenses as it anticipates an efficiency ratio of 46.1% compared to 51.4% over the past year.

Old National Bank Trailing 12-Month Efficiency Ratio

One Reason to Be Careful:

EPS Barely Growing

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company’s incremental sales were profitable — for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Old National Bank’s EPS grew at a weak 6% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, lower than its 27.7% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Old National Bank Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Final Judgment

Old National Bank has huge potential even though it has some open questions. At $26.83 per share (or 1.2× forward P/B), is now the right time to buy the stock? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

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