
Wall Street is overwhelmingly bullish on the stocks in this article, with price targets suggesting significant upside potential. However, it’s worth remembering that analysts rarely issue sell ratings, partly because their firms often seek other business from the same companies they cover.
Luckily for you, we at StockStory have no conflicts of interest - our sole job is to help you find genuinely promising companies. That said, here are three stocks where Wall Street’s estimates seem disconnected from reality and some better opportunities to consider.
El Pollo Loco (LOCO)
Consensus Price Target: $20.30 (40% implied return)
With a name that translates into ‘The Crazy Chicken’, El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ: LOCO) is a fast food chain known for its citrus-marinated, fire-grilled chicken recipe that hails from the coastal town of Sinaloa, Mexico.
Why Are We Bearish on LOCO?
- Lagging same-store sales over the past two years suggest it might have to change its pricing and marketing strategy to stimulate demand
- Modest revenue base of $500.8 million gives it less fixed cost leverage and fewer distribution channels than larger companies
- Demand will likely be soft over the next 12 months as Wall Street’s estimates imply tepid growth of 2.3%
El Pollo Loco’s stock price of $14.50 implies a valuation ratio of 15x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why LOCO doesn’t pass our bar.
PENN Entertainment (PENN)
Consensus Price Target: $24.39 (37.4% implied return)
Established in 1982, PENN Entertainment (NASDAQ: PENN) is a diversified American operator of casinos, sports betting, and entertainment venues.
Why Do We Avoid PENN?
- Lackluster 7.5% annual revenue growth over the last five years indicates the company is losing ground to competitors
- Low free cash flow margin of -0.3% for the last two years gives it little breathing room, constraining its ability to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders
- Waning returns on capital from an already weak starting point displays the inefficacy of management’s past and current investment decisions
At $17.75 per share, PENN Entertainment trades at 17.8x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with PENN, check out our full research report (it’s free).
First Hawaiian Bank (FHB)
Consensus Price Target: $30.78 (19.1% implied return)
Dating back to 1858 as Hawaii's oldest bank with deep roots in the Pacific island communities, First Hawaiian (NASDAQ: FHB) operates a full-service community bank providing deposit accounts, commercial and consumer loans, credit cards, and wealth management services across Hawaii, Guam, and Saipan.
Why Do We Think FHB Will Underperform?
- 5.1% annual net interest income growth over the last five years was slower than its banking peers
- Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were less profitable, as its 1.6% annual earnings per share growth trailed its revenue gains
- Estimated tangible book value per share growth of 3.5% for the next 12 months implies profitability will slow from its two-year trend
First Hawaiian Bank is trading at $25.85 per share, or 1x forward P/B. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including FHB in your portfolio.
Stocks We Like More
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Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,460% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+1,154% between June 2020 and June 2025). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.