Butterfield Bank (NTB): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings?

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NTB Cover Image

Over the past six months, Butterfield Bank has been a great trade, beating the S&P 500 by 29.6%. Its stock price has climbed to $55.98, representing a healthy 34.9% increase. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in Butterfield Bank, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Is Butterfield Bank Not Exciting?

We’re glad investors have benefited from the price increase, but we're cautious about Butterfield Bank. Here are three reasons there are better opportunities than NTB and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Net Interest Income Points to Soft Demand

While bank generate revenue from multiple sources, investors view net interest income as a cornerstone - its predictable, recurring characteristics stand in sharp contrast to the volatility of one-time fees.

Butterfield Bank’s net interest income has grown at a 2.8% annualized rate over the last five years, much worse than the broader banking industry and slower than its total revenue.

Butterfield Bank Trailing 12-Month Net Interest Income

2. Projected Net Interest Income Growth Shows Limited Upside

Forecasted net interest income by Wall Street analysts signals a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.

Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Butterfield Bank’s net interest income to drop by 1.3%.

3. Low Net Interest Margin Reveals Weak Loan Book Profitability

Net interest margin (NIM) represents how much a bank earns in relation to its outstanding loans. It's one of the most important metrics to track because it shows how a bank's loans are performing and whether it has the ability to command higher premiums for its services.

Over the past two years, we can see that Butterfield Bank’s net interest margin averaged a poor 2.7%, reflecting its high servicing and capital costs.

Butterfield Bank Trailing 12-Month Net Interest Margin

Final Judgment

Butterfield Bank isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares beating the market recently, the stock trades at 1.7× forward P/B (or $55.98 per share). This valuation multiple is fair, but we don’t have much faith in the company. We're pretty confident there are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment. We’d recommend looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.

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