
3M's fourth quarter was marked by a challenging market reaction, as shares fell following its report despite exceeding Wall Street’s revenue and adjusted EPS expectations. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to strong execution in industrial, electronics, and safety segments, which offset ongoing weakness in consumer markets and roofing granules. CEO Bill Brown pointed to commercial excellence initiatives and a significant uptick in new product launches as key drivers. However, he also acknowledged persistent softness in consumer demand and noted that promotional activity and discounts pressured margins, describing the environment as “relatively soft” for several end markets.
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3M (MMM) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $6.02 billion vs analyst estimates of $5.94 billion (3.7% year-on-year growth, 1.5% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.83 vs analyst estimates of $1.80 (1.7% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $1.58 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.58 billion (26.3% margin, in line)
- Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $8.60 at the midpoint, in line with analyst estimates
- Operating Margin: 13.2%, down from 18.7% in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 2.2% year on year (miss)
- Market Capitalization: $84.59 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From 3M’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Jeff Sprague (Vertical Research): Asked about the shift toward priority verticals and whether it involves portfolio exits or investment focus; CEO Bill Brown explained about 10% of the business is under review for possible divestiture, with most R&D focused on higher-growth areas.
- Scott Davis (Melius Research): Inquired about customer inventory normalization; Brown confirmed industrial inventories are stable, while consumer inventories are coming down but still slightly elevated.
- Julian Mitchell (Barclays): Questioned the balance of macro factors versus self-help in driving growth; Brown stated that outperformance is increasingly due to internal initiatives, particularly commercial excellence and new product introduction.
- Joe O'Dea (Wells Fargo): Sought details on manufacturing footprint consolidation; Brown said factory and distribution center reductions are planned, but specific numbers will be determined over time as part of the broader transformation.
- Nicole DeBlase (Deutsche Bank): Requested clarity on the impact of potential new European tariffs; Brown estimated a possible $30–$40 million impact in 2026 if enacted, but noted this is not yet included in guidance.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, our analysts will closely watch (1) the pace of new product launches and their impact on sales vitality, (2) progress on operational transformation, especially manufacturing and supply chain consolidation, and (3) recovery trends in consumer and auto-related markets. Additional attention will be paid to tariff developments and the effectiveness of margin management initiatives.
3M currently trades at $159.90, down from $167.80 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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