2 Reasons to Like MCY and 1 to Stay Skeptical

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MCY Cover Image

Mercury General trades at $102.65 and has moved in lockstep with the market. Its shares have returned 15.9% over the last six months while the S&P 500 has gained 12.7%.

Is now a good time to buy MCY? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does MCY Stock Spark Debate?

Founded in 1961 and maintaining a network of over 6,300 independent agents across the country, Mercury General (NYSE: MCY) is an insurance company that primarily sells automobile insurance policies through independent agents in 11 states, with a strong focus on California.

Two Things to Like:

1. Net Premiums Earned Skyrocket, Fueling Growth Opportunities

Insurers sell policies then use reinsurance (insurance for insurance companies) to protect themselves from large losses. Net premiums earned are therefore what's collected from selling policies less what’s paid to reinsurers as a risk mitigation tool.

Mercury General’s net premiums earned has grown at a 11.9% annualized rate over the last two years, better than the broader insurance industry and in line with its total revenue.

Mercury General Trailing 12-Month Net Premiums Earned

2. Growing BVPS Reflects Strong Asset Base

We consider book value per share (BVPS) a critical metric for insurance companies. BVPS represents the total net worth per share, providing insight into a company’s financial strength and ability to meet policyholder obligations.

Although Mercury General’s BVPS increased by a meager 5.4% annually over the last five years, the good news is that its growth has recently accelerated as BVPS grew at an incredible 31.1% annual clip over the past two years (from $29.78 to $51.20 per share).

Mercury General Quarterly Book Value per Share

One Reason to Be Careful:

Previous Growth Initiatives Haven’t Impressed

Return on equity (ROE) is a crucial yardstick for insurance companies, measuring their ability to generate returns on the capital provided by shareholders. Insurers that consistently deliver superior ROE tend to create more value for their investors over time through strategic capital allocation and shareholder-friendly policies.

Over the last five years, Mercury General has averaged an ROE of 9.9%, uninspiring for a company operating in a sector where the average shakes out around 12.5%. We’re optimistic Mercury General can turn the ship around given its success in other measures of financial health.

Mercury General Return on Equity

Final Judgment

Mercury General’s positive characteristics outweigh the negatives. At $102.65 per share (or 8.4× forward P/E), is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.

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