Ride sharing service Lyft (NASDAQ: LYFT) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, but sales rose 10.6% year on year to $1.59 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.30 per share was 6.1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Lyft (LYFT) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.59 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.61 billion (10.6% year-on-year growth, 1.5% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.30 vs analyst estimates of $0.28 (6.1% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $129.4 million vs analyst estimates of $124.4 million (8.1% margin, 4.1% beat)
- EBITDA guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $135 million at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
- Operating Margin: 0.2%, up from -1.9% in the same quarter last year
- Active Riders: 26.1 million, up 2.4 million year on year
- Market Capitalization: $5.47 billion
StockStory’s Take
Lyft’s second quarter performance was mixed, falling short of Wall Street’s revenue expectations but delivering stronger-than-expected non-GAAP profits. Management cited robust rider growth and increased engagement, with active riders expanding by 2.4 million year-over-year. CEO David Risher emphasized operational improvements, including a lower driver cancellation rate and growth in high-value partnerships, as key contributors to the quarter’s results. He highlighted, “Our marketplace is thriving, setting us up for an even stronger second half of the year.” Despite the revenue miss, management pointed to record highs in gross bookings and adjusted EBITDA, driven by improved driver retention and new rider acquisition.
Looking forward, Lyft’s guidance is shaped by continued investments in international expansion, integration of the FREENOW acquisition in Europe, and the anticipated rollout of autonomous vehicles. Management underscored the significance of partnerships with major brands like United Airlines and DoorDash, and the scaling of market-expanding offerings such as Lyft Silver. CFO Erin Brewer noted that the company expects ride growth in the mid-teens for the next quarter, supported by ongoing product innovation and the broadening of service options. As Risher stated, “AVs are going to be a big unlock… it will absolutely have some pricing impact over time.”
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management attributed the latest quarter’s performance to operational execution, new rider growth, and the expansion of strategic partnerships across both North America and Europe.
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Active rider growth: Lyft saw a double-digit increase in new riders for the second consecutive quarter, with frequency of use rising alongside this growth. Management credited improved service reliability and operational excellence for driving increased engagement.
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Partnership expansion: The company highlighted new and refreshed partnerships with United Airlines, Chase, DoorDash, and Alaska Airlines as key contributors to rider acquisition and retention. These agreements often provide value to riders through loyalty points or discounts, helping Lyft remain competitive in pricing and customer experience.
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FREENOW acquisition integration: The acquisition of FREENOW marks Lyft’s entry into nine European markets, with management emphasizing the opportunity to digitize a largely offline taxi sector. The initial focus is on leveraging Lyft’s technology to improve service and capture growth without significant incremental investment.
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Autonomous vehicle strategy: Management described autonomous vehicles (AVs) as a major future growth lever, particularly through a new partnership with Baidu. The company expects AVs to help lower costs and expand the addressable market, starting with pilot deployments in Europe in 2026.
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Profitability and cash flow discipline: CFO Erin Brewer reported record trailing twelve-month free cash flow, attributing it to both underlying business growth and disciplined cost management, particularly in insurance and operational processes.
Drivers of Future Performance
Lyft’s outlook is driven by international expansion, autonomous vehicle initiatives, and continued partnership growth, all balanced against ongoing regulatory and market risks.
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International expansion and FREENOW: Management believes growth in Europe, particularly through the newly acquired FREENOW platform, will be a key driver in the coming quarters. The focus will be on digitizing taxi operations and leveraging partnership strategies to increase market share, with minimal short-term incremental investment required.
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Autonomous vehicles and innovation: Lyft sees autonomous vehicles as a fundamental change to its business model, expecting pilot launches in Europe to expand both supply and demand. The company is also investing in technology enhancements like Price Lock and loyalty integrations to retain riders and differentiate from competitors.
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Regulatory and cost pressures: Management acknowledged that insurance costs and local regulations, especially in the U.S., remain important headwinds that could impact pricing and profitability. The company’s ability to manage these pressures, while maintaining affordable rides and driver earnings, is central to its future performance.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace of FREENOW integration and digital adoption in European taxi markets, (2) progress on autonomous vehicle pilot launches and partnerships, and (3) further expansion and monetization of high-value partnerships in North America. Execution in lowering cost pressures and optimizing insurance will also be key to sustaining momentum.
Lyft currently trades at $13.45, down from $14.04 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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