3 Profitable Stocks We Find Risky

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While profitability is essential, it doesn’t guarantee long-term success. Some companies that rest on their margins will lose ground as competition intensifies — as Jeff Bezos said, “Your margin is my opportunity”.

A business making money today isn’t necessarily a winner, which is why we analyze companies across multiple dimensions at StockStory. Keeping that in mind, here are three profitable companies to steer clear of and a few better alternatives.

Hormel Foods (HRL)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 5.8%

Best known for its SPAM brand, Hormel (NYSE: HRL) is a packaged foods company with products that span meat, poultry, shelf-stable foods, and spreads.

Why Do We Think HRL Will Underperform?

  1. Declining unit sales over the past two years indicate demand is soft and that the company may need to revise its product strategy
  2. Commoditized products, bad unit economics, and high competition are reflected in its low gross margin of 16.2%
  3. Sales over the last three years were less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 6.2% annually while its revenue was flat

Hormel Foods’s stock price of $25.78 implies a valuation ratio of 16.7x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with HRL, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Haemonetics (HAE)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 11.7%

With roots dating back to 1971 and a mission to improve blood-related healthcare, Haemonetics (NYSE: HAE) provides specialized medical devices and software for blood collection, processing, and management across plasma centers, blood banks, and hospitals.

Why Do We Think Twice About HAE?

  1. Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
  2. Smaller revenue base of $1.33 billion means it hasn’t achieved the economies of scale that some industry juggernauts enjoy
  3. Below-average returns on capital indicate management struggled to find compelling investment opportunities

Haemonetics is trading at $78 per share, or 14x forward P/E. If you’re considering HAE for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Waste Connections (WCN)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 17.5%

Operating a network of municipal solid waste landfills in the U.S. and Canada, Waste Connections (NYSE: WCN) is North America's third-largest waste management company providing collection, disposal, and recycling services.

Why Does WCN Worry Us?

  1. Estimated sales growth of 5.5% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
  2. Free cash flow margin dropped by 2.6 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up
  3. ROIC of 6.6% reflects management’s challenges in identifying attractive investment opportunities, and its falling returns suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up

At $166.23 per share, Waste Connections trades at 29.6x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why WCN doesn’t pass our bar.

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