3 Reasons to Sell CSGS and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

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CSGS Cover Image

Over the past six months, CSG has been a great trade, beating the S&P 500 by 17.9%. Its stock price has climbed to $80.28, representing a healthy 22.4% increase. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in CSG, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full breakdown from our expert analysts, it’s free.

Why Is CSG Not Exciting?

We’re happy investors have made money, but we're swiping left on CSG for now. Here are three reasons we avoid CSGS and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Regrettably, CSG’s sales grew at a mediocre 4.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This fell short of our benchmark for the business services sector.

CSG Quarterly Revenue

2. Projected Revenue Growth Shows Limited Upside

Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.

Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect CSG’s revenue to stall, a slight deceleration versus its 4.3% annualized growth for the past five years. This projection is underwhelming and suggests its products and services will see some demand headwinds.

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

ROIC, or return on invested capital, is a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Over the last few years, CSG’s ROIC averaged 4.3 percentage point decreases each year. We like what management has done in the past, but its declining returns are perhaps a symptom of fewer profitable growth opportunities.

CSG Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

CSG isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares topping the market in recent months, the stock trades at 16.5× forward P/E (or $80.28 per share). Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, but our analysis shows the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. We're pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now. We’d recommend looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.

Stocks We Would Buy Instead of CSG

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